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EOG Essentially Confirms DT Midstream Building Its Utica Pipeline

In 2020, EOG Resources, one of the largest oil and gas drillers in the U.S. (with international operations in Trinidad and China), sold *all* of its Marcellus assets, which were located in Bradford County, PA, to Tilden Resources for $130 million (see EOG Resources Sells Marcellus Assets for $130M, Exits Basin). EOG left the M-U building, so to speak. But the company couldn’t stay away. Last November, we told you that EOG admitted to stealthily amassing 395,000 net acres in the Ohio Utica for very little money (see EOG Resources Accumulates 395K Acres in Ohio Utica for Under $500M/). EOG calls its new position the “Ohio Utica combo play,” and it concentrates on oil drilling in the Utica. What did EOG say about its Utica program in the company’s second quarter 2023 update?
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As Rig Count Slips, U.S. Oil & Gas Production Begins to Flatten

According to analysis by John Kemp at Reuters, lower prices for oil and a slowdown in drilling activity are finally causing crude oil output to peak and turn down. In May, crude and condensates production for the Lower 48 states (excluding Gulf of Mexico production) rose by just 19,000 barrels per day compared with April. However, production was still up by more than 1 million barrels per day (+9%) compared with May 2022. What about natural gas? Like oil, gas production continued to increase in a lagged response to very high prices during the second and third quarters of 2022. As prices began to fall starting late last year, the number of drilling rigs targeting gas fell from an average of 162 in September 2022 to an average of 132 in July 2023. Gas production growth is set to slow sharply in the second half of 2023 and into the first half of 2024.
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Energy Sec. Granholm Secretly Colluded with China re SPR Releases

Some disturbing news has just come to light thanks to an investigation by Fox News. According to internal Dept. of Energy (DOE) calendars obtained by Americans for Public Trust, DOE Secretary Jennifer Granholm secretly consulted China’s National Energy Administration Chairman Zhang Jianhua, a senior member of the Chinese Communist Party, on Nov. 19, 2021, and then again two days later on Nov. 21, 2021. On Nov. 23, 2021, the White House announced a release of 50 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). After releasing the oil, Granholm’s DOE then sold millions of barrels of oil to China! In other words, Granholm sold cheap oil to China to prop up that country’s economy while making our own country less energy secure. China is America’s #1 enemy.
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EIA: U.S. Energy Spending in 2021 Balooned, Up 25% Over 2020

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) published a post noting the increase in the use of energy in the U.S. from 2020 to 2021. Energy usage increased by 25%, adjusted for inflation, in 2021. Why? In 2020 we were deep in the throes of lockdowns due to COVID. Nobody was going anywhere, pretty much, which significantly decreased the use of gasoline and diesel. Once the country emerged from the COVID pandemic, and people began to move around again, energy usage (petroleum products) soared.
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Exxon Working on Second Shale Revolution Using New Innovations

Earlier this month, we noticed a short Bloomberg article about a stray comment made by Exxon Mobile CEO Darren Woods. He was speaking at the Bernstein Annual Strategic Decisions Conference held on June 1 in New York City. Woods said he has tasked the brainiacs who work for Exxon to figure out a way to improve fracking, which (Woods said), is still “not well understood.” Woods wants to double oil recovery from fracked wells. Folks, doubling oil (and gas!) recovery via fracking would launch the second shale revolution!
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Oil Prod. in Northern Utica Comes Alive – Encino Cracks Oil Code

The Ohio Dept. of Natural Resources (ODNR) recently released production numbers for the first quarter of 2023, and wow! What a surprise! Oil production in the northern Utica Shale skyrocketed, led by wells drilled by Encino Energy. According to an analysis by the Youngstown Business Journal, four shale wells drilled by Encino in Columbiana County have “shattered previous production figures in the county.” Adding up all oil production by all drillers, Encino had the most oil production in the state, with 53.7% of the total oil produced in the Utica/Point Pleasant during the first quarter. It certainly looks like Encino has cracked the oil code in the Buckeye State!
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LOL! Bloomberg Predicts (Wait for it….) Peak Oil Demand by 2029

Almost from the first day when MDN editor Jim Willis began to write the MDN blog/news site, he heard of the concept of “peak oil.” For many years, peak oilers said that the world’s oil supply would soon run out–there’s just not enough oil left to extract out of the ground. Which is a joke. When the world saw the power of shale energy, it became evident even to the most hardened liars that they could no longer sell the concept of peak oil supply. Seemingly overnight, they changed and began to peddle peak oil demand. The lefties at Bloomberg are now predicting peak oil (for all uses) is coming in 2029. Which reminds us of the end-of-the-world predictions that surface from various cults every few years. This time it’s a prediction coming from the cult of anti-fossil fuelism.
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Stock Analyst/Trader Predicts Global Energy Crisis in ~100 Days

An energy analyst and trader writing on the Seeking Alpha investor’s website published an intriguing post this morning that claims we are a few months away from the “potential start of a global energy crisis.” He predicts a massive energy price spike starting this fall and into next year, with both oil and gas prices potentially setting new all-time highs. He cites cuts in OPEC+ oil production, the big drop in U.S. shale drilling, and Europe’s “precarious” natural gas situation will combine to spike energy prices. Is he right?
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Increased Bonding Won’t Plug PA’s Abandoned Oil & Gas Wells

Yesterday MDN told you about a new assault on the oil and gas industry in Pennsylvania coming from the Chairman of the House Environmental Resources & Energy Committee, anti-fossil fuel zealot Greg Vitali, who (along with 13 other leftists) introduced House Bill (HB) 962, aimed at raising the bonding rates for drilling new conventional wells in the state (see PIOGA Responds to Bill Raising Bonding Rates for Conventional Wells). We brought you the Pennsylvania Independent Oil & Gas Association (PIOGA) official communique to Vitali and others on the committee outlining why the bill is unnecessary and harmful. Today we have an editorial from PIOGA running in the Pennsylvania Capital-Star.
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Another False Prediction of “The End of American Shale Revolution”

We read with some amusement a column by the CEO of Qamar Energy (an OPEC-tied consultancy based in Dubai, UAE) that says yep, American shale oil output has hit its zenith. It’s all downhill from here. The Big Oil companies have taken over all of the good shale assets in the States and they plan to drill less in places like the Permian Basin (in West Texas and eastern New Mexico). This latest prediction makes us laugh out loud. How many times before have we heard the same thing uttered from noobs, both domestic and (in this case) foreign. They consistently underestimate American ingenuity. Just when everyone predicts “peak oil” and declares shale production is all over, a new discovery is made. A new piece of technology is introduced. A new shale layer is explored. A new technique is adopted. This is the American way. And it confounds the “experts” every single time. Such is the power of free enterprise and capitalism.
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April STEO Trims 2023 Henry Hub by Another 3% to $2.94/MMBtu

Once a month, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) analysts issue the agency’s Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), their best guess about where energy prices and production will go in the next 12 months. Yesterday’s latest edition once again revises down the price EIA believes the Henry Hub will average for all of 2023. Last month’s STEO predicted an annual average of $3.02/MMBtu in 2023. This month’s STEO says the HH will average $2.94. Let’s add some color around that prediction.
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EIA Predicts Assoc. Gas Grows Next 30 Yrs, Up to 32% of Production

Using numbers from its recently published Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) for 2023, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts natural gas production coming from oil-focused plays, called “associated gas,” will continue to grow for the next 30 years. EIA says associated gas will make up somewhere between 20% and 32% of all natural gas produced over that period of time. As oil drilling continues to expand, so too will associated gas production.
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Natural Gas is the New Oil – World Events Affect Price Everywhere

Some interesting insights from S&P Global Commodity Insights into how the world has changed. S&P’s analysts say the Russia-Ukraine war is in the process of “resetting” the energy sector, with natural gas turning into a global and interconnected market affected by events and dynamics far beyond its traditional physical scope. In fact, S&P says natural gas is now similar, to some extent, to what oil used to be for decades. We will explain.
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EIA Predicts Steady Demand for Oil & Gasoline Thru 2050 & Beyond

In March, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) published its Annual Energy Outlook for 2023 (see EIA Annual Outlook Predicts O&G, M-U Still Going Strong in 2050). We noted at the time that a chart showing the dominance of oil and gas energy over the next 30 years had disappeared from the report. Since that time, EIA has published a few “deep dive” posts on its Today in Energy website. Yesterday was another such post, this one showing charts for the production of “petroleum and other liquids.” The charts show EIA’s expectation that (yes) oil and its related products will still be going strong 30 years from now.
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Why Does NatGas Production Keep Rising with Lower Prices?

The NYMEX futures price for natural gas recently hit a 30-month low (see NYMEX Henry Hub Crashing and Burning – Lowest Close in 30 Months). There’s an old economics bromide that goes, “The cure for low prices is low prices.” Meaning when prices get low enough, manufacturers (or producers, in the case of oil and natural gas) stop or greatly scale back their activity, taking inventory off the market, which ultimately drives prices higher to the point it is once again profitable to make the widget (or produce more O&G). But that doesn’t seem to be happening with natural gas. U.S. gas production will hit a new all-time high this year. Why is the market not responding to low natgas prices rationally?
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US Shale Companies Break Bread with OPEC Dictators at CERAWeek

U.S. energy officials from some of the largest U.S. shale drillers had a private dinner last night with the tyrants and dictators of OPEC at CERAWeek in Houston. The annual confab between our shale drillers and OPEC is something of a tradition now (this is the fifth year it has taken place). Not much is known about the discussions at the meeting since it was private. However, Devon Energy CEO Rick Muncrief summarized the main takeaway as a general concern there is very little extra capacity in world oil markets right now.
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