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Study: Landfills Bigger Leakers of Fugitive Methane than O&G Wells

It doesn’t happen often, but every once in a while, academic researchers do real, actual, in-the-field research, as opposed to running computer simulations. Such an act of real research was just published in the journal Science last Thursday. A research group led by Carbon Mapper, with researchers from NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Arizona State University, University of Arizona, Scientific Aviation, and the Environmental Protection Agency used advanced aircraft to conduct the largest direct measurement-based survey of active municipal solid waste landfills to date from 2018 through 2022, looking for fugitive methane emissions. They found that 52% of surveyed landfills had “observable point source emissions” (i.e, they are super-emitters), as compared with a 0.2% to 1% detection rate observed for super-emitters from surveyed oil and gas infrastructure in California and the Permian Basin.
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Ohio Utica Quickly Becoming an Oil Play – “Could Go On for Decades”

Oil production in the Ohio Utica hit a record 27.8 million barrels in 2023, up 41% from 2022, according to researchers at the Levin College of Public Affairs and Education at Cleveland State University. In December, eastern Ohio oil wells pumped 93,000 barrels of crude, up one-third from December 2022, according to federal data. Oil has been locked away in the Utica/Point Pleasant shale layer for millennia. Aubrey McClendon, co-founder and former CEO of Chesapeake Energy, was the first to see the vision of freeing oil from the Utica. However, it was a successor company, Encino Energy, that figured out how to coax large quantities of oil out of the Utica shale.
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Drops 3 @ 621, M-U Even @ 42

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count dropped another three rigs after dropping five the week before. The count went from 624 active rigs two weeks ago down to 621 last week. The national count is officially rangebound. Since last October, the national count has gone as low as 616 and as high as 629. And that’s it. No higher and no lower. The Marcellus/Utica remained the same last week at 42 active rigs. No rigs moved around within the three M-U states. Pennsylvania kept 21 active rigs, Ohio had 12 rigs, and West Virginia ran 9 rigs.
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U.S. NatGas Production Grew by 4% in 2023; M-U Grew 3% – 1.2 Bcf/d

According to the data geeks at the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. natural gas production grew by 4% in 2023, which was similar to the growth in 2022. U.S. gas production in 2023 averaged a whopping 125.0 Bcf/d (billion cubic feet per day). In 2023, more natural gas was produced in the Appalachia (Marcellus/Utica) region of the Northeast than in any other U.S. region, accounting for 29%, or 37.7 Bcf/d, of gross natural gas production. However, production growth in Appalachia slowed because our region doesn’t have enough pipeline takeaway capacity to transport more natural gas out of the region to the markets that would buy it.
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Want a Great Job? Work for O&G! 2 Million Employed, Average $79K/Yr

According to Texas Independent Producers and Royalty Owners Association’s (TIPRO) latest State of Energy report, the U.S. oil and gas industry directly employed 2.04 million workers in 2023. That’s a net increase of 56,373 direct jobs compared to 2022. According to the report, the oil and gas industry paid a national average wage of $79,427 in 2023. Workers in Crude Oil Extraction earned the highest annual average wage of all oil and gas industry sectors at $220,863. Want a great job? Work in the O&G industry!
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Drops 5 @ 624, M-U Drops 1 @ 42

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count dropped five rigs after adding seven the week before. The count went from 629 active rigs two weeks down to 624 last week. The national count is officially rangebound. Since last October, the national count has gone as low as 616 and as high as 629. And that’s it. No higher and no lower. The Marcellus/Utica cumulatively lost one rig (in Pennsylvania) last week and now runs 42 rigs. The number of gas rigs cumulatively across the country fell to its lowest number since January 2022.
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Study: PA’s Emissions Decrease as Marcellus-Fired Power Increases

Thanks to abundant, clean Marcellus shale gas, Pennsylvania remained the country’s top electricity exporter in 2023 while simultaneously reaching a new low for carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from electricity generation, according to the Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office’s (IFO) latest analysis. Yes, you read that right. PA is producing more electricity than ever, yet CO2 emissions from electric generation are lower than ever. How can that be?
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EIA Mar DPR: NatGas Production Continues to Drop, Oil Grows

The latest monthly U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) for March, issued yesterday (below), shows EIA believes shale gas production across the seven major plays tracked in the monthly DPR for April will decrease production from the prior month of March. This is the ninth month in a row that EIA has predicted shale gas production will decrease for the combined seven plays. However, it won’t decrease everywhere. Gas-focused plays like the Marcellus/Utica and the Haynesville will see the biggest drop in production. In contrast, the oily Permian play will boost the production of “associated” natural gas — the gas that comes out of the ground along with oil. The Permian is also boosting oil production in April.
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Adds 7 @ 629, M-U Drops 1 @ 43

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count added the seven rigs it had lost the week before. The count went from 622 active rigs two weeks ago back up to 629 last week. The national count is officially rangebound. Since last October, the national count has gone as low as 616 and as high as 629. And that’s it. No higher and no lower. The Marcellus/Utica cumulatively lost one rig last week and now runs 43 rigs. Pennsylvania lost two rigs and now operates 22 rigs. Ohio stayed the same at 12 rigs. And West Virginia picked up one of PA’s rigs and now operates nine rigs (up from eight the prior week).
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Loses 7 @ 622, M-U Even @ 44

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count lost seven rigs after gaining three rigs the week before. The count went from 629 active rigs two weeks ago to 622 last week. The national count has consistently stayed between 620 and 625 (or one or two above or below that range) since last October until recently, when it went higher for a few weeks. But now it’s back in the same long-term range. The Marcellus/Utica remained the same last week with Pennsylvania at 24 rigs (the most since last June), Ohio with 12 rigs, and West Virginia with 8 rigs. The M-U combined is running 44 rigs, which it has run in four of the last five weeks.
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Dog Research Debunks Link Between Fracking and Cancer

Last year, University of Pittsburgh (Pitt) researchers released three studies commissioned by the State Dept. of Health supposedly investigating whether or not there is a connection between shale drilling and childhood diseases, including cancer (see Pitt Releases Fake Research, Claims PA Fracking Linked to Kid Cancer). It was fake research, as we pointed out in a follow-up post (see Serious Flaws Revealed in Pitt’s So-Called Fracking/Cancer Studies). A new set of researchers with access to real data about cancer rates in dogs decided to see if a connection exists between dogs with cancer and their nearness to fracking operations. The new research finds no such correlation.
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Report Claims Associated Gas Cheaper to Produce than M-U Dry Gas

Bayou City Energy (BCE), an E&P-focused private equity firm, yesterday published a VERY INTERESTING white paper titled “Natural Gas Producers: Why Don’t You Stay?” (full copy below). The thesis of the white paper (or report) is that drillers in gas-focused plays can’t produce natural gas as cheaply as oil producers who produce gas as a side benefit (called associated gas). Therefore, gas-focused drillers need to drastically, immediately change their capital allocation strategies (spend less on new drilling, for now). The author also makes the case that gas-focused drillers should look for opportunities to merge with a “liquids-rich producer.”
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Americans’ Access to Life Saving Medicine Depends on Natural Gas

Yesterday, the American Gas Association (AGA) unveiled a new study, “Advancing America’s Pharmaceuticals: The Value of Natural Gas to U.S. Pharmaceutical Manufacturing” (full copy below). Natural gas and other petrochemicals are irreplaceable for manufacturing medicines, with 99% of pharmaceutical feedstocks and reagents derived from natural gas and other petrochemicals. Face masks, disposable gloves, and syringes are also manufactured from petrochemical feedstocks like natural gas and are critical to combatting the spread of disease. Without natural gas, we would all live short, brutish lives. Billions would die.
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Adds 3 @ 629, M-U Adds 1 @ 44

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count gained three rigs after losing two rigs the week before. The count went from 626 active rigs two weeks ago to 629 last week. It is the highest total rig count in the U.S. since September 22, 2023! The national count had consistently stayed between 620 and 625 (or one or two above or below that range) since last October, but now appears to be breaking out of that pattern and moving higher. The Marcellus/Utica regained the one rig it had lost two weeks ago. Pennsylvania remained at 24 rigs (the most since last June). Ohio stayed at 12 rigs. West Virginia regained a rig it had lost in the prior week and now operates 8 rigs. The M-U combined is running 44 rigs.
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Pa. 2023: NatGas Production Up 1%, Wells Drilled Lowest in 10 Yrs

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Yesterday, the Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its latest quarterly Natural Gas Production Report for October through December 2023 (full copy below). There were 110 new horizontal wells spud (drilled) in 4Q23, a decrease of 26 wells (-19%) compared to 4Q22. However, 4Q’s spud number was up from the 102 drilled in 3Q23. Natural gas production volume was 1,939 billion cubic feet (Bcf) in 4Q23, up 82 Bcf (4.4%) from 1,857 Bcf produced in 4Q22. There were two pieces of big news in this report: (1) Production for all of 2023 actually went up (now down) by 1%; (2) The total number of new wells drilled in 2023 was the lowest it has been in a decade.
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Adds 5 @ 626, M-U Loses 1 @ 43

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count gained five rigs after losing two rigs the week before. The count went from 621 active rigs two weeks ago to 626 last week. The national count has consistently stayed between 620 and 625 (or one or two above or below that range) since last October. The Marcellus/Utica lost one rig last week. Pennsylvania actually added two rigs last week and now operates 24 rigs (the most since last June). Ohio and West Virginia each lost one rig, with Ohio now at 12 active rigs and West Virginia at seven active rigs.
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