One Year Later: NatGas Inventories & Rig Counts Down, Price Up 2X

MDN’s favorite Seeking Alpha blogger and energy analyst, Richard Zeits, has posted a top-notch analysis about the price of natural gas and where he believes it’s headed—and why. The article is extensive and well worth the time to read it if you care about the price of natural gas. He points out “what a difference a year makes,” noting that in just one year natural gas inventory surpluses are gone (even contracting), rig counts are at their lowest numbers in decades, and the price of natural gas has doubled from a low of $2 MMBtu to near $4 MMBtu. Surprisingly, he notes that recent supply numbers for natural gas show a slight contraction overall, despite the huge expansion of production in the Marcellus, Utica and Bakken.

Zeits says the fundaments for natural gas trading look very good. He makes the following points in the article:

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