EIA Dec Drilling Rpt: Marcellus Production Continues Rocket Ride

Yesterday MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. For the past two reports, estimating production for November and December, Marcellus natgas has increased. The trend continues in this latest report, which forecasts production for the coming month of January. The October report predicted Marcellus production would increase in November by 73 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). The November report predicted Marcellus production would increase in December by 130 MMcf/d. The current December report predicts Marcellus production will go up by another 160 MMcf/d in January. Yikes! Another trend observed: four of the seven shale plays will increase production in January, one (the Utica) will produce about the same in January, and only two will produce less gas in January than they did in December. Translation: shale gas production is once again on the rise–which breaks a five month record of month over month declines across all seven plays. It seems we’ve turned a corner…

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