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Researchers Claim They Can Turn NatGas Wells into Hydrogen Wells

The first known and recorded miracle performed by Jesus of Nazareth was when he changed 120 gallons of water into wine at a wedding feast in Cana, Galilee. A company in Denmark and a researcher from the University of Manchester (UK) recently published a paper in the Society of Petroleum Engineers’ SPE Journal that claims a similar miracle. They say using a special downhole completion tool, they can convert methane (natural gas) wells into hydrogen (H2) production wells. Wave the magic wand and say the secret phrase, presto magico!
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NatGas Grew Its Share of Electric Power 7% in 2023, New Record High

Yesterday the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) published a post to announce that U.S. natural gas consumption set annual and monthly records during 2023. In 2023, some 89.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of natural gas was consumed in the United States, the most on record. Since 2018, U.S. natural gas consumption has increased by an average of 4% annually. Why the significant increase in gas usage? It wasn’t due to residential, commercial, or industrial usage — all of which stayed even or decreased last year. It was (as you may have guessed) a huge increase in the use of natural gas to feed gas-fired power plants.
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PennState Estimates Methane Emissions for Closed Shale Wells

A team led by Penn State researchers has developed a new tool that can estimate the emissions potential of shale wells after they are no longer active. The researchers claim drillers can analyze their own drill cuttings (samples of shale rock) to determine how much potential there is for methane leakage after a well is abandoned. Which is interesting and perhaps even useful information for Marcellus/Utica drillers. However, a tangential factoid in the news story is what caught our interest and got our mental wheels churning. The factoid is this…
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Adds 2 @ 619, M-U Drops 1 @ 41

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count regained a couple of rigs; for the first time in five weeks, the count has gone up instead of down. The count went from 617 active rigs two weeks ago up to 619 last week. Since last October, the national count has gone as low as 616 and as high as 629. And that’s it. No higher and no lower. The Marcellus/Utica lost one rig last week and now runs 41 rigs. Pennsylvania remained constant with 22 rigs; Ohio lost a rig and now operates 11 rigs; and West Virginia remained the same with 8 rigs.
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How Much Lithium (for EVs) is Sitting in PA Marcellus Brine?

In October 2019, Eureka Resources, which operates three frack wastewater treatment facilities in the Marcellus Shale (and is building a fourth facility in Dimock, PA), began extracting lithium from Marcellus wastewater at one of its plants in Bradford County, PA (see Marcellus Wastewater Plant in PA Extracts 1st Batch of Lithium). In 2020, the company said its plants could theoretically supply up to 25% of the country’s annual lithium demand–solely with lithium recovered from Marcellus wastewater (see Eureka Can Supply 25% of US Lithium Demand from Marc. Wastewater). Just how much lithium, theoretically, is there in Marcellus brine (wastewater)? A new study published this week on the Nature.com website helps answer that question.
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BRG Study Proves U.S. LNG Has Lowest GHG Emissions for Powergen

Berkeley Research Group (BRG) published a very important new study yesterday that has Big Green tied up in knots. The study, “Comparative GHG Footprint Analysis for European and Asian Supplies of USLNG, Pipeline Gas, and Coal” (full copy below), analyzes methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions across leading fuel supply chains for power generation in 13 European and Asian end markets. The study has been under development since 2021. It uses a “bottom-up methodology” to arrive at a comprehensive comparison of the emissions intensity of the primary fuel sources, as well as continuously updated data from numerous sources. It’s far more rigorous and reliable than the typical Big Green propaganda that relies on aggregated emissions information to develop general theoretical conclusions. This is real science.
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EIA Predicts U.S. LNG Exports to Jump 18% in 2025 with New Plants

The EIA says the U.S. natural gas trade will continue to grow with the startup of new LNG export projects. In a Today in Energy post, the EIA says (based on its recent Short-Term Energy Outlook report) that it expects U.S. LNG exports will increase just 2% this year over last year. However, in 2025, LNG exports will soar by 18% due to three new LNG export facilities currently under construction that will come online next year.
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Federal Reserve Survey of O&G Execs re NYMEX NatGas Price

It must be its “predict the future price of natgas” season, along with tax season. Yesterday, we told you that BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, hauled out its crystal ball to make predictions about the “front month” contract price for NYMEX natural gas (based on the Henry Hub) for the next five years, beginning with 2024 (see Latest Predictions for NYMEX Henry Hub Price 2024-2028 (5 Years)). Today, we have more opinions on the same topic. However, this time, the opinions come from oil and natural gas executives in the Midcontinent and Rocky Mountain regions, people whose opinions we trust more than those of analysts.
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EIA Apr DPR: M-U & Haynesville Slash Gas Production, Permian Soars

U.S. Major Shale Plays (click for larger version)

The latest monthly U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) for April, issued yesterday (below), shows EIA believes shale gas production across the seven major plays tracked in the monthly DPR for May will decrease production from the prior month of April. This is the tenth month in a row that EIA has predicted shale gas production will decrease for the combined seven plays. However, it won’t decrease everywhere. Gas-focused plays like the Marcellus/Utica and the Haynesville will see the most significant drop in production (a combined loss of 359 MMcf/d). In contrast, the oily Permian play will see a massive boost in the production of “associated” natural gas — the gas that comes out of the ground along with oil. The Permian is also adding another 12,000 barrels per day of oil production in May.
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Drops 3 @ 617, M-U Even @ 42

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count dropped three more rigs. It is the fourth week in a row the count has dropped. The count went from 620 active rigs two weeks ago down to 617 last week. Since last October, the national count has gone as low as 616 and as high as 629. And that’s it. No higher and no lower. The national count is 18% lower than this time last year (down 131 rigs). The Marcellus/Utica remained the same last week at 42 active rigs — the fourth week in a row for that count. Pennsylvania operates 22 rigs; Ohio operates 12 rigs; and West Virginia operates 8 rigs.
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11 Charts Show Why the U.S. is a Natural Gas Superpower

Robert Bryce is an American author and journalist based in Austin, Texas. His excellent articles on energy, politics, and other topics have appeared in numerous publications, including the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Real Clear Energy, Counterpunch, and National Review. Bryce also writes on his own Substack site. Last week, he posted a column called “Natty Nation: These 11 Charts Show Why The U.S. Is A Natural Gas Superpower.” Bryce completely delivers on the promise of the headline. In the leadup to sharing 11 great charts, he says this: “The notion that the U.S. should get rid of natural gas or that doing so would be a “bonanza” is — to use a technical term — total bonkers crazy town.” About 47% of all the homes in the U.S. rely on natural gas furnaces for heating. Heating with gas is far cheaper than heating with electricity. Yet the Bidenistas and the environmental left are attempting to force the entire country to give up natural gas. TOTAL BONKERS CRAZY TOWN.
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April STEO – U.S. Electric Use to Hit New Record High in 2024/25

Once a month, the analysts at the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) issue the agency’s Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), their best guess about where energy prices and production will go in the next 12 months or so. We sometimes poke good-natured fun at the EIA because their predictions go up in one month, and in the next month, they go down, etc. What about the latest STEO dart board, published on Tuesday? EIA predicts the average spot price for natural gas will be $2.20/MMBtu in 2024. That’s down significantly (17%) from the $2.65 it predicted just two months ago in February’s report (see EIA Predicts NYMEX Henry Hub to Average $2.40/MMBtu in Feb/Mar). EIA says the average spot price for gas will hit $2.90 in 2025. Still way too low, in our opinion, but moving in the right direction. On the shorter-term horizon, EIA believes the spot price will average under $2 for the second quarter. No duh! It hasn’t been above $2 since January!
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Kentucky Experiments with Replacing Sand with Fly Ash in Fracking

fly ash

Kentucky, like West Virginia, is known as a coal state. When coal is burned it produces (among another things) a fine powdery substance called fly ash that must be disposed of. Fly ash is composed mainly of silica. Sand! Fly ash is often used to make concrete and cement products. Researchers at the University of Kentucky got the bright idea of using fly ash as a substitute for sand in fracking old/existing oil and gas wells in the state. After experimenting, researchers found that in some cases, the wells have “surpassed original production levels.”
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Electric Grid Study Finds NatGas Best for Reliability, Environment

A joint report from Northwood University’s McNair Center for the Advancement of Free Enterprise and Entrepreneurship and the Mackinac Center for Public Policy ranks eight key energy industry sectors based on their ability to meet the growing demand for affordable, reliable, and clean electricity generation. The sectors ranked were natural gas, coal, petroleum, nuclear, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and geothermal. Only one electricity source scored an “A” on the report card — natural gas. Solar and wind both flunked, receiving an “F.”
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Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Drops 1 @ 620, M-U Even @ 42

Last week, the Baker Hughes rig count dropped another rig. The count went from 621 active rigs two weeks ago down to 620 last week. This is the third week in a row the national count has lost rigs. Since last October, the national count has gone as low as 616 and as high as 629. And that’s it. No higher and no lower. The Marcellus/Utica remained the same last week at 42 active rigs. However, there were some musical chairs. Pennsylvania gained one rig and now operates 22 rigs. West Virginia lost a rig and now operates 8 rigs. Ohio remained steady with 12 active rigs.
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Morgan Stanley Predicts Gas Market Oversupply Next Few Years

Natural gas is, as we have often pointed out, one of the purest commodity markets in existence. The classic supply/demand curve is at work. If there’s more supply than demand, prices for gas move down. And conversely, if there’s more demand than supply, prices move higher. We have been stuck in a sucky price pattern this year, not helped by a very moderate winter. The phrase on the lips of every landowner and driller is, When will the price move higher? According to analysts from Morgan Stanley, not anytime soon.
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