M-U Rig Count Drops then Rebounds; Production Near All-Time High

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Something strange is happening--has been happening for years now. When we first started to cover the Marcellus/Utica on the MDN site in January 2009, the received wisdom was "the more active rigs, the more production," and conversely, "fewer active rigs will lead to less production." But a funny thing happened on the way to the forum. Drillers got better at drilling. More efficient. And more production could be had from fewer wells and less drilling of wells. Even though rig counts go down and stay down, production stays the same or goes up. That's the situation we find ourselves in currently.

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