NYMEX Natural Gas Price Nosedives – Price Hits New One-Year Low

The "front month" (Feb. 2023) NYMEX Henry Hub price for natural gas took another nosedive yesterday, hitting its lowest price ($3.72/MMBtu) since Jan. 4, 2022. Why the drop? Weather, or course. But also expectations. Natural gas commodities trading is a strange art. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported yesterday that withdrawal from underground gas inventories was 221 billion cubic feet (Bcf) over the past week. The five-year average for the same period is 98 Bcf. Holy smokes! That's a HUGE drawdown. And yet the market went the other way and crashed the price--because traders expected the drawdown to be even bigger--around 240 Bcf.

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