Kimmeridge: Oil Getting Harder to Replace, Gas Remains Abundant

Kimmeridge, the so-called "activist investor" that spent the past year leaning on Coterra Energy (and then Devon Energy) to dump its northeast Pennsylvania Marcellus assets, has just published a sequel to its 2024 "Shale's Golden Years" white paper. The new paper, "Shale's Golden Years, Part II: The Cost of Aging," comes to a conclusion that should make Marcellus/Utica drillers (and landowners) smile: The oil side of shale is aging badly, while the natural gas side remains healthy, abundant, and capital-efficient. The rub? Kimmeridge says gas is so abundant that gas drillers need to move "downstream" to squeeze more value out of each molecule than Henry Hub will pay.

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