S&P Global’s 2023 Energy Outlook – “The End of the Beginning”

S&P Global Commodity Insights issued its latest 2023 Energy Outlook yesterday. The analysis is quite interesting, with ten "key themes" that will most affect world energy (and oil/natgas prices) next year. The number one key theme may surprise you: "China's COVID policy is the most important fundamental factor for energy markets." If not for China shutting down entire regions in an effort to stamp out COVID spread, S&P says the price for commodities like oil and natural gas would have continued to be high this year. If China's demand comes roaring back in 2023, watch out! Prices will be "well supported," according to S&P. More like "through the roof." If COVID continues and China's demand stays low, look for prices to remain lower too.

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