EIA October DPR Shows Haynesville & Permian Sprint, M-U Crawls
The Marcellus/Utica is getting its collective butt kicked by both the Haynesville Shale and Permian Basin with respect to adding new quantities of natural gas production, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and its latest Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). Between October and November, EIA predicts the M-U will add another 89 MMcf/d (million cubic feet per day) of new production. However, the Permian will add 127 MMcf/d next month, and the Haynesville will add a big 200 MMcf/d.
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As happens at the beginning of most winters (at least in recent years), we are beginning to see articles with warnings from the electric grid operator in New England, ISO New England Inc., that if the region experiences “an extremely cold winter,” it’s a pretty safe bet there will be electric blackouts. The region relies almost exclusively on natural gas to generate electricity. The reason there will be blackouts is due to Maura Healey. Healey is the Attorney General of Massachusetts. During her tenure as AG, Healey has blocked two different natgas pipeline projects–because she irrationally hates (yet still uses) fossil energy. Healey is now running for governor of MA and is likely to win. You know what? Massachusetts residents will get the blackouts they deserve if they elect Healey.
U.S. natural gas production is projected to increase a big 4% this winter, but lower-than-average storage along with an estimated 2% increase in demand will combine to place upward pressure on natural gas prices compared to last winter. So says the Natural Gas Supply Association (NGSA) in its 22nd annual Winter Outlook forecast of the wholesale winter natural gas market (an executive summary of the NGSA report is embedded below).
Researchers at the West Virginia University (WVU) Energy Institute presented an update on their latest work to reporters yesterday on the Evansdale campus in Morgantown. According to Sam Taylor, assistant director for the WVU Energy Institute, the university is leading the way in research of technologies that can help move the state to a cleaner environment while still using the natural gas produced in the state. WVU professed its love for natgas, but it loves loves loves hydrogen.
In December 2020, Dan Rice IV, former CEO of Rice Energy and a member of the EQT board of directors, launched a “blank check” acquisition firm, called Rice Acquisition Corp., to invest in various energy ventures. Dan found his something-to-invest-in just a few months later in the form of acquiring and merging together Archaea Energy and Aria Energy into a single company focused on providing renewable natural gas (RNG) and “green” hydrogen (see 
The U.S. Energy Information Administration recently published its Winter Fuels Outlook for 2022-2023. Major media outlets are picking up on this statistic: The U.S. average household that heats with natural gas will pay $931 this winter, up 28% (or $206) from what that same household paid last winter. Although production (supplies) of natural gas is increasing, demand is going up even more. Yes, LNG exports play a role in that, but so too does an increase in demand from domestic power generators, industrial users, etc. But here’s what we want to point out about this news, some context that’s missing in the stories we see: Other Western democracies, like Germany, are paying far more for natural gas than we are. FAR more.
Each year Michael Cembalest, the Chief Investment Officer at J.P. Morgan asset management, publishes a report on the state of the global energy space. It is a comprehensive assessment of the state of play in the world of energy, chock full of charts and data related to every industry segment. This year’s 2022 Annual Energy Paper, subtitled, “The Elephants in the Room” (full copy below), begins with a summary of the energy landscape, including the energy crisis in Europe, the recovery in the oil and gas sector, and a warning label on industrial electrification and carbon sequestration forecasts.
OTHER U.S. REGIONS: The legal clash over a city’s landmark natural gas ban; Virginia Natural Gas hiring the next generation of workers to energy industry; NATIONAL: Puerto Rico gets Jones Act waiver for LNG shipments; INTERNATIONAL: Dozens of LNG-laden ships queue off Europe’s coasts unable to unload; Saudi prince sends threat after Biden warns of consequences for kingdom; China has stopped sales of LNG to Europe.