As Energy Prices Soar, What Options Does Comrade Biden Have?
Comrade Joe Biden has painted himself into a corner. As Biden entered office, the United States of America was, after more than 50 years, energy independent. Upon seizing power, Biden canceled the Keystone XL pipeline from Canada and illegally banned federal oil and gas leasing. Now we have an oil and gas shortage and Biden is begging OPEC+ to increase production. What a dunce. This is how inept socialists are. So what can Biden do to get himself out of the corner he’s painted himself (and us) into?
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It has been a wild ride on the NYMEX natural gas futures roller coaster this week. Record highs and record drops. Natural gas shortages in Europe and Asia are forcing prices to spike in the U.S. Yesterday the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a “very ugly” (as in high) storage report of 118 Bcf (billion cubic feet) of natural gas injected last week, which was 10 Bcf higher than most experts thought it would be–and yet all that extra supply didn’t move the needle on the NYMEX price which closed the day even from the day before, closing at $5.68/MMBtu.
Although the U.S. is a big and getting bigger exporter of natural gas, it’s not the biggest exporter of natgas in the world. The distinction of being the biggest exporter of natgas in the world goes to Qatar. Saad al-Kaabi, Qatar’s Energy Minister and CEO of Qatar Petroleum, said yesterday natural gas prices have reached “unhealthy levels” for both producers and consumers. Asia’s spot LNG prices soared by 40% on Wednesday as a cargo for delivery into North Asia in November was priced as much as $56/MMBtu–a record high that beat the previous record from last week of $34.52/MMBtu.
Hold on–it’s a wild ride! Natural gas reaches a record high two days ago, only to be followed by an 11% drop the very next day. Comments by Russian dictator Vladimir Putin sent the U.S. NYMEX natural gas price down 11% in one day. Yeah, just a stray comment by old Vlad had massive power over *our* natural gas market. How? Putin publicly stated he’s going to open up the taps and flow more gas to Europe. What a guy–Europe’s savior.
Prices for natural gas along the U.S. Gulf Coast may not, on the surface, have much to do with the Marcellus/Utica–but they do. The price gas is selling for along the Gulf Coast is important because M-U molecules flow to that region to feed petrochemical plants and (more importantly) LNG export facilities. S&P is reporting even though there’s been a big storage build along the Gulf Coast for natural gas, prices remain extremely high in the region. Why? LNG exports…
Natural gas futures jumped to the highest settlement price in 12 years–$6.31/MMBtu–as global gas supply shortages stoke concerns about U.S. shortages coming this winter. Spot prices for physically traded gas also jumped yesterday. The NGI Spot Gas National Avg. was up another 32.0 cents to $5.970. Overall production dipped a bit yesterday helping to feed the fears.
Could the current high price of natural gas, and the trading of natural gas, lead to a financial markets meltdown? Er, perhaps not right now, but if the price continues to climb out of sight, who knows? Reuters is reporting top commodity trading houses are being told by brokers and exchanges to deposit “hundreds of millions of dollars” in extra funds to cover their exposure to soaring gas prices. The good news (for now) is that most of them have the cash to do it.
You knew the NYMEX (and spot) price for natural gas couldn’t go up forever. There will be days when it falls, or “corrects.” Yesterday was a big correction as the NYMEX futures price dropped 7.36% (down $0.40)–the biggest single-day drop in the NYMEX price in nine months. Despite the big drop, most experts we’ve read believe this is a temporary correction and the price will continue to climb.
The price of natural gas, both the futures price at the Henry Hub NYMEX, and the spot price at hundreds of trading hubs across the country, continues to rise. The commodity price of natural gas has been the focus for a number of MDN posts in recent weeks. The question we’re often asked is, What will the price do over the next year or so? Will it stay this high? Will it decrease? We have two articles to share predicting what the NYMEX price of natural gas will be in the spring (and beyond). We think you’ll find both articles interesting. Let’s haul out the crystal ball…
Yesterday the “front month” October contract for the Henry Hub NYMEX price of natural gas soared 11% and settled at $5.706/MMBtu, the highest closing price since Feb. 21, 2014. Intraday trading went well over $6 per MMBtu. We keep seeing the word “contagion” as the main explanation for the soaring price. No, not the COVID contagion, but the psychological contagion of high prices globally. The price of natgas in Europe and Asia is skyrocketing (in the $25-$30/MMBtu range), which causes traders here to anticipate demand for our gas (via exports) will remain strong, driving up domestic prices. Ultimately fear drives the financial markets more than any other factor.
Yesterday we brought you the good news that two new LNG export facilities will, in all likelihood, begin full-scale operations by the end of this year (see 
The weather turning a bit cooler along with a three-week planned maintenance outage at the Cove Point LNG plant in Maryland is causing the spot price for natural gas in the Marcellus and Utica to fall precipitously. Of course the price recently, over the past few weeks, rose precipitously–so a sudden fall is not all that unusual. How much has the price fallen and how far will it go down?