EIA Predicts M-U Production to Grow, Most Won’t Get Exported
On the same day that EQT CEO Toby Rice released his plan to “unleash” American LNG (see today’s companion story), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) published a post that talks about LNG production from a decidedly “leashed” perspective. While Rice envisions new pipelines, rigs, and export facilities that will handle a huge increase in Marcellus/Utica drilling, the EIA’s vision is status quo–constrained pipelines from the M-U region.
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In early 2013 the Pittsburgh International Airport and Allegheny County, PA signed a deal with CONSOL Energy (now CNX Resources) to lease 9,000 acres surrounding the airport for natural gas drilling (see 
Yesterday our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), released its “Annual Energy Outlook 2022.” One of the main findings of this latest look forward is that the use of oil and natural gas will grow steadily and gradually from now until 2050–over the next 30 years. Renewables (solar and wind) will grow too, but fossil energy will remain completely dominant for the next generation (and likely longer). Surprised? We’re not.
Because of the cold weather in the northeast and in other parts of the country in the first part of February, natural gas production in the U.S. took a nosedive, declining to roughly 85.8 Bcf/d. With the warmer weather unthawing the freeze-offs that happened, a few days ago production soared over 94.6 Bcf/d–the highest it has been in seven weeks. According to S&P, with the coldest days of winter behind us, all the signs are in place for natgas production to continue growing over the coming weeks and months.
Penn State has launched a new research project to see if it can prove there is a link between water contamination in southwestern Pennsylvania and fracking. We’ve seen this movie before…or have we? In 2018 PA Gov. Tom Wolf, a liberal Democrat who sometimes supports the shale gas industry (as long as he can tax it) caved to demands from the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette to launch a “study” in a bid to “prove” cases of rare childhood cancer in southwestern PA can be tied to shale drilling in the region (see 
Shell, which recently dropped “Royal Dutch” from its name after leaving The Netherlands due to high taxes and overregulation, is one of the world’s supermajors (oil and gas driller). Shell is also one of (perhaps THE) largest producers of LNG, or liquefied natural gas, in the world. The company has just released its sixth annual LNG Outlook 2022 (full copy below) which highlights key trends in 2021 and hauls out the crystal ball to predict where things are heading over the next 20 years. Shell says global demand for LNG is expected to nearly double (up 90%) to 700 million tonnes by 2040. Why? Because natgas emits less carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than other alternatives.
Founded in 1946, the Texas Independent Producers & Royalty Owners Association (TIPRO) represents nearly 3,000 individuals and companies from the Texas oil and gas industry. TIPRO is one of the country’s largest oil and gas trade associations and a strong advocacy group representing both independents and royalty owners in Texas. TIPRO generates some great research reports, including their latest annual “State of Energy Report” for 2022. The report, which looks at oil and gas across the country (not just Texas) finds that the O&G industry supported a total of 832,869 direct jobs in the U.S. last year. The U.S. O&G sector paid a national annual wage averaging $115,166 during 2021, 76% higher than average private sector wages!
Over the years MDN has brought you updated reports from energy law firm giant Haynes and Boone and their quarterly oil and gas bankruptcy filings reports. We are delighted to tell you that due to the decreasing number of bankruptcies in our industry, Haynes and Boone has just issued its final set of reports for 2021 bankruptcies: one report for upstream/drilling, one report for oilfield services, and one report for midstream/pipelines. All of the reports are embedded below. Yes, there are a few M-U companies listed in these final reports.
A new study published by the America Gas Association (AGA) details how America’s natural gas, natural gas utilities, and delivery infrastructure will be *essential* to meeting our nation’s greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals, including achieving net-zero emissions. Natural gas is used by some 187 million Americans each and every day. The AGA study (full copy below) outlines several scenarios and technology opportunities available to help the country reach mythical net-zero emissions by 2050. Natural gas plays a starring role!
A new study out of Harvard University purports to link fracking with early deaths of senior citizens. It is fake research. Here’s the main finding of the study: Senior citizens who lived closest to fracked shale wells (including seniors in the PA Marcellus) had an early death risk 2.5% higher than people who did not live close to the wells. If it were an opinion poll we would say it’s within the margin of statistical error. In other words, these “researchers” didn’t find a darned thing. And yet the headlines have already begun in fake news media…
Last week MDN told you about S&P data showing a decrease in production for Marcellus/Utica drillers in January (see 
Powerhouse data analytics firm GlobalData, based in London, recently published a report on the Marcellus/Utica region. Among the findings, GlobalData analysts project M-U natural gas production will increase at the average annual rate of 5.1% from this year through 2025. They forecast natgas production will hit 38.3 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) by 2025. Are they right?