Cabot O&G 1Q18: Important New Markets Opening Up Now
Note: A previous version of this post incorrectly stated Cabot is pumping 3.75 Bcf/d of natural gas now. The correction is that according to the CEO, the company has the capability to pump that much as soon as all pipelines are in place and existing planned wells are online–likely in 2020. We regret the error!
One of our favorite Marcellus drillers, Cabot Oil & Gas, provided their first quarter 2018 update on Friday. Cabot never disappoints! What did we learn from the update? For one thing, when all pipeline infrastructure is in place and all planned wells are drilled and online, the company will be pumping a massive 3.75 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of natural gas out of Susquehanna County, PA. Cabot is working with Williams to increase the capacity of their gathering system to support even more gas than 3.75 Bcf/d. It would not surprise us if Cabot becomes the first 4 Bcf/d Marcellus/Utica driller in the next few years. So Cabot has plenty of production. What about demand? Lots of production with little or no demand equals prices in the basement. There was good news on the demand front too. Cabot said there are two gas-fired electric plants starting up by June 1st–both of them powered with Cabot Marcellus gas. Add to that the now-operational Cove Point LNG export plant with Cabot’s contract to sell gas to Japan–and it equals a massive increase in demand for Cabot’s gas going into the second quarter. Later this year, in the second half sometime, Atlantic Sunrise will come online increasing Cabot’s flow to new markets even more. We’d call Cabot’s Friday 1Q18 update the “stars are finally in alignment” update for Cabot. Here are some more pickings from the update, along with a copy of the full update…
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Last week MDN brought you the news that the Pennsylvania Superior Court handed down a decision that has the power to greatly restrict, perhaps even stop, Marcellus drilling in PA (see
Cabot Oil & Gas, one of our favorite Marcellus drillers, has just published a new PowerPoint slide deck presentation as part of an investor’s conference they attended earlier this week (the Scotia Howard Weil Energy Conference). Normally a new slide deck isn’t all that big a deal. However, thanks to MDN friend Chris Acker who pointed it out to us, there is some new information in the deck worthy of note. Back in December MDN brought you the news that Cabot had signed a deal to sell off their Texas Eagle Ford Shale assets in order to concentrate solely on the Marcellus (see
The following guest post was written by Rick Hiduk:
A little-known (outside of northeast Pennsylvania) anti-driller, Vera Scroggins, was fined $1,000 in April 2015 in Susquehanna County court (see
Cabot Oil & Gas is tired of being sued, and slandered, by people like Dimock resident Ray Kemble and his ambulance-chasing lawyers. So in August Cabot sued back–for $5 million (see
Invenergy is currently building a state-of-the-art, combined cycle 1,480 megawatt Marcellus-fired electric generating plant in Jessup, PA, just outside Scranton. Construction on the plant–called the Lackawanna Energy Center–has been under way for well over a year now. Some 1,200 people are currently working at the site. MDN previously reported that Cabot Oil & Gas with their prolific Susquehanna County production will feed the plant (see
The Pennsylvania Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP) is picking on Cabot Oil & Gas–or more properly, shaking them down for some cash. Yesterday the DEP announced it had reached an “agreement” with Cabot whereby Cabot will pay the DEP $99,000 “for air quality violations related to equipment at natural gas wells throughout Susquehanna County.” But that’s not all, Cabot failed to file some paperwork–a far more egregious violation for the DEP: “Cabot failed to submit complete compliance demonstration reports for 20 gas wells.” Bad, bad Cabot. Here’s news of the DEP’s latest shakedown of a company that has (so far) invested over $4.6 billion in a single northeast PA county…
Cabot Oil & Gas, one of our favorite Marcellus drillers, released its third quarter 2017 update on Friday. Some of the things we learn from the report and the analyst phone call held by Cabot’s top brass: Production grew another 12% during 3Q17. In the Marcellus, Cabot’s natural gas production averaged just over 2 billion cubic feet per day gross (Bcf/d). If you use U.S. Energy Information Administration numbers from the most recent monthly drilling report, Cabot’s 2 Bcf/d equals 8% of all Marcellus production, and 3.3% of all shale gas production in the U.S! That’s truly amazing, considering it all comes from Susquehanna County (with a couple of wells in neighboring Wyoming County), in northeast PA. Profitability returned in 3Q17 with net income of $32 million, versus a net loss of $16.7 million in 3Q16. In the Marcellus, Cabot drilled and completed 13 net wells and placed online into production 15 net wells. They now have 49 “fourth generation” wells online and producing at an average of 4.4 Bcf per 1,000 feet. They also have 12 “fifth generation” wells online. One of the highlights for Cabot during 3Q17 was the announcement that Williams is now building their $3 billion, 198-mile Atlantic Sunrise natural gas pipeline project. Cabot says when the pipeline is done in mid-2018, Cabot will flow 1 Bcf/d of gas to new markets. Cha ching! New markets equal higher prices and more profitability for the company. Below is the full 3Q17 update, followed by remarks from CEO Dan Dinges made during the analyst call…
Cabot Oil & Gas has long been one of our favorite Marcellus drillers. We are friends with several members of the Cabot team. We are impressed with their many acts of philanthropy in northeastern Pennsylvania–donating millions of dollars to worthy causes in the local community where they drill. As we’ve pointed out many times, Cabot somehow spins gold out of hay in Susquehanna County–producing something like 2.5% of all the natural gas that’s produced in the U.S. from a single county. They have some of the best rocks in the shale business. Cabot’s assets have not gone unnoticed on Wall Street, where investors and analysts call the company “a unicorn.” While the term unicorn as applied to a company can have several meanings, as applied to Cabot the meaning is clear: the company is rare, and desirable. In an Investor’s Business Daily article, several analysts gush about Cabot in light of the beginning of construction of the Atlantic Sunrise Pipeline project. Cabot will be the main shipper on the new pipeline. Analysts are predicting next year, in 2018, Cabot’s production will increase 23% from this year. And in 2019, one analyst says Cabot production will be up a whopping 47%! You begin to see why Cabot has a reputation as a unicorn on Wall Street…
Williams representatives were on hand earlier this week in Tunhannock, PA (Wyoming County) to present a briefing to local politicians and community leaders on the status of the now-under construction Atlantic Sunrise Pipeline project. Atlantic Sunrise is a $3 billion, 198-mile natural gas pipeline project running through 10 Pennsylvania counties to connect Marcellus Shale natural gas from northeastern PA with the Williams’ Transco pipeline in southern Lancaster County. Much of the attention has focused on Lancaster County and a small group of antis who oppose the project there. However, Atlantic Sunrise will begin its journey to Lancaster in Susquehanna County, PA–in the northeastern tip of the state. Construction in Susquehanna and adjacent counties is scheduled to begin “very soon,” according to Williams rep Mike Atchie. When it does begin, some of the people working on it will come from the same counties where it’s getting built. Last week the Teamsters held a job fair in Harrisburg (see
Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) is the single largest company in India, and one of the largest energy companies in the world. RIL invested $3.5 billion in a Marcellus joint venture with Atlas Energy in 2010, and later battled Chevron to buy Atlas–but Chevron won, so RIL became a jv partner with Chevron. RIL currently has 3 U.S. shale joint ventures: the Chevron jv in the Marcellus (owns 40% of that acreage), a jv with Carrizo Oil & Gas in the northeast PA Marcellus (owns 60% of that acreage), and a jv with Pioneer Natural Resources in the Texas Eagle Ford (owns 45% of that acreage). Back in 2015, RIL signaled they are looking to dump all of their U.S. shale assets (see
Some big news that both Cabot Oil & Gas and the two families suing them seem to want to keep quiet: they’ve settled out of court. Brief background for those new to MDN and to the “Dimock” story: There were 14 families along the Carter Road area of Dimock Township, PA (Susquehanna County) that reportedly experienced turbidity in their water from methane migrating, supposedly from Cabot’s drilling operations nearby. The state Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP) investigated in 2010 and declared Cabot guilty and imposed stiff fines and requirements, including a requirement to install permanent water treatment systems at each home and even an offer to each of the families to pay twice what their property was worth at the time (see