Citi Predicts $6 Gas in U.S. 4Q; Could Spike to $100/MMBtu
While natural gas prices have always floated up and down, lately we’ve seen a rapid run-up in the NYMEX futures price that hit a seven-year high last week (see To the Moon! NYMEX, Spot NatGas Prices Jump $0.20 to Fresh Highs). Since then the price has come down a fair bit. There has been chatter that the NYMEX price might hit $10/MMBtu this winter if we have a particularly long and cold winter. An investment advisory note from Citigroup now says if we get a bitter cold snap, prices at the NYMEX may hit $100/MMBtu!
Read More “Citi Predicts $6 Gas in U.S. 4Q; Could Spike to $100/MMBtu”
Here we go again. Although we understand self-interest and wanting to protect one’s profit margin, we continue to be distressed that some of the biggest chemical companies in the world (meaning in the U.S.) are actively trying to block LNG exports. Why? They want the natural gas they buy (in very large quantities) to be as cheap as possible. In April 2017, Big Chemical–companies like Dow Corning, BASF, Eastman Chemical and others–via their trade association Industrial Energy Consumers of America (IECA), launched an effort to try and persuade Energy Secretary Rick Perry and the Trump Administration to create barriers to exports of natural gas (see 
It’s that time of year again–for annual maintenance at the Cove Point LNG export plant, located on the shoreline of Maryland. The plant, built by Dominion Energy, is now controlled and operated by Berkshire Hathaway following Warren Buffett’s purchase of Dominion’s extensive pipeline network last year (see 
Although Germany and Europe are far behind the U.S. in many ways, they are ahead of us in one way: LNG by rail. Three European LNG (liquefied natural gas) companies combined to successfully test an LNG delivery by railcar to a German power plant in Bavaria owned by utility company Uniper. The LNG was shipped some 500 miles (800 kilometers) without any problems. The specialized tank cars, if widely adopted in Europe, will no doubt make their way across the planet, including here in the U.S. LNG by rail is an important alternative to pipelines, especially in the U.S.
Europe has plenty of its own natural gas (and oil) that can readily be tapped–but they refuse to do so because they hew to the popular mythology that using fossil fuels is destroying the planet. Yet Europe must also face reality: Without burning fossil fuels, like natural gas, the continent will go dark and people will freeze to death this winter. What’s a psychotic continent and its “leaders” supposed to do? We’ll tell you what they are doing–they’re buying up LNG as fast as they can. They won’t make the natural gas themselves, but they’ll buy it from others, including the U.S.
Here’s a paradox for you that we can’t explain. Last week we reported the latest U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) predicts natural gas production in the U.S. will hit an all-time high in 2022 (see 
Appearing on a Barclay’s energy conference webcast yesterday, Williams CEO Alan Armstrong said his company plans to keep spending around $1.2 billion per year through 2026 to keep growing and expanding. One of the prime drivers of growth and expansion for Williams in the coming years is LNG exports. Feedgas to LNG plants continues to increase. According to S&P Global Platts, U.S. LNG feedgas demand will increase from 10.9 Bcf/d this year to 14.9 Bcf/d in 2026. Williams intends to deliver much of that increased demand to the plants that use it.
According to the experts at RBN Energy, U.S. LNG feedgas demand “has been the single biggest factor behind the soaring natural gas prices and storage shortfall this year.” Feedgas is the gas that feeds LNG export facilities. Two more LNG facilities are due to begin operation in the first half of 2022, both of which have the potential to use Marcellus/Utica molecules. RBN does a deep dive into how LNG export facilities ramp up and when even more feedgas demand will increase.
The Jones Act prevents LNG from being transported from one U.S. port (like Cove Point, Maryland and Elba Island, Georgia) to other U.S. ports (like Boston and New York) because there are no built-in-the-USA LNG carriers, a requirement under the 1920 Jones Act. When New England runs low on natural gas, they must import the gas from Russia (see 
What’s happening with New Fortress Energy’s (NFE) proposed LNG liquefaction plant planned for Wyalusing, PA? We told you in March the company hasn’t given up on the plan, but for now is focused elsewhere (see 
It’s that time of year again. Annual maintenance along pipelines that feed several major U.S. liquefaction (LNG) facilities will negatively impact gas deliveries to some terminals over the next six weeks according to notices to customers. Pipelines that serve the Cove Point, Maryland LNG facility and the Sabine Pass, Louisiana facility will be affected. Marcellus/Utica gas flows to both facilities.
MDN previously told you about so-called environmentalists filing a lawsuit to block the construction of an LNG unloading facility in Greenpoint, Brooklyn (see 
Last December MDN told you that a REV LNG small-scale LNG facility near Towanda (in Wyalusing, Bradford County, PA), had successfully supplied LNG to support the bunkering of a marine vessel at the Port of Hamilton in Ontario (see 
On Tuesday the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that due to rising spot demand in both the winter and summer months from Asia and Europe, and lower natural gas prices here in the U.S. versus the price elsewhere, LNG exports in the U.S. hit record hights for the first half of this year. That’s good news for Marcellus/Utica drillers and landowners. LNG exports jumped to an average of 9.6 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) between January and June 2021, up by 42% compared with the first half of 2020.