TC Energy/TransCanada

Last Friday TransCanada Corporation announced a plan to expand capacity along their Canadian Mainline System through its Maple Compressor Station near Vaughan, Ontario. The $160 million project is supported by 15-year contracts and will increase capacity to the southern Ontario market plus enable delivery to Atlantic Canada via the Trans Quebec & Maritimes Pipeline (TQM) and Portland Natural Gas Transmission (PNGTS) Systems. According to TransCanada, both Canadian and U.S. (i.e. Marcellus/Utica) gas will help fill the extra capacity, some 80 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). TransCanada hopes to have the project done and online by Nov. 1, 2019…
Read More “Canadian Mainline Pipeline to Flow More Canadian, Marcellus Gas”

TransCanada, one of Canada’s leading midstream/pipeline companies, cooked up a deal last year to pipe natural gas from Canada’s West Coast to the East Coast in order to fend off cheap supplies of Marcellus/Utica gas that will flow into Canada when/if the NEXUS and Rover pipelines get built (see TransCanada Pipe Drops Price 42% to Compete with Marcellus/Utica). TransCanada dropped their pipeline price to lure drillers by (theoretically) making it less expensive to get gas from Western Canada, some 2,400 miles away, than from the Marcellus, just 400 miles away. In October, TransCanada launched an open season to lock up customers for the new, lower-priced option. The open season was a bust because TransCanada insists on a 10-year commitment (see TransCanada Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Using Canada Pipeline a Bust). TransCanada rejiggered the terms being offered and reopened the open season. This time it worked (see TransCanada Says Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Worked, Shippers Sign Up). Thanks to a filing TransCanada has made with the Canadian National Energy Board (NEB), we now know who has signed up to use the lowball service from Canada’s West Coast to Ontario. Some 23 Canadian drillers, with some big names in the list, are waiting to use the service. TransCanada is begging/pleading/cajoling the NEB to issue a final approval–so TransCanada and these drillers can preemtively strike a blow at the cheap natgas that will come to the Dawn Hub in Ontario once Rover and NEXUS are built. Below is the list of 23 that plant to go head to head with cheap M-U gas…
Read More “23 Drillers Sign Up to Complete Against M-U via TransCanada Pipe”

TransCanada, one of Canada’s leading midstream/pipeline companies, cooked up a deal last year to pipe natural gas from Canada’s West Coast to the East Coast in order to fend off cheap supplies of Marcellus/Utica gas that will flow into Canada when/if the NEXUS and Rover pipelines get built (see TransCanada Pipe Drops Price 42% to Compete with Marcellus/Utica). TransCanada dropped their pipeline price to lure drillers by (theoretically) making it less expensive to get gas from Western Canada, some 2,400 miles away, than from the Marcellus, just 400 miles away. In October, TransCanada launched an open season to lock up customers for the new, lower-priced option. The open season was a bust because TransCanada insists on a 10-year commitment (see TransCanada Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Using Canada Pipeline a Bust). TransCanada rejiggered the terms being offered and reopened the open season. This time it worked (see TransCanada Says Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Worked, Shippers Sign Up). Even though natural gas from western Canada will soon flow to Ontario to compete with Marcellus/Utica gas coming from the Rover Pipeline (and perhaps NEXUS, if FERC approves it), analysts are warning that TransCanada’s plan is not a panacea for Canadian producers. Why? Because that gas will have to compete with a flood of Marcellus/Utica gas, and that means the prices will drop like a rock. Although western producers will be locked in for at least five years by signing with TransCanada, analysts are predicting that LNG exports will lure many of them away to sell gas for higher prices to overseas markets. And when that happens (in the next 5-10 years), gas flowing along TransCanada’s mainline will once again slow down to a trickle…
Read More “Why TransCanada’s Lowball Pipeline Price is Not a Panacea”

TransCanada, one of Canada’s leading midstream/pipeline companies, cooked up a deal last year to pipe natural gas from Canada’s West Coast to the East Coast in order to fend off cheap supplies of Marcellus/Utica gas that will flow into Canada when/if the NEXUS and Rover pipelines get built (see TransCanada Pipe Drops Price 42% to Compete with Marcellus/Utica). TransCanada dropped their pipeline price to lure drillers by (theoretically) making it less expensive to get gas from Western Canada, some 2,400 miles away, than from the Marcellus, just 400 miles away. In October, TransCanada launched an open season to lock up customers for the new, lower-priced option. The open season was a bust because TransCanada insists on a 10-year commitment (see TransCanada Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Using Canada Pipeline a Bust). TransCanada revived their plan in February. The original deal required a 10-year term with a long-term tolling rate between C$0.75/GJ to C$0.82/GJ. In February, the advertised deal was for a 10-year term and a simplified single rate of C$0.77/GJ (see TransCanada Revives Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Using Canada Pipeline). Although it looked almost like the same deal all over again with the same 10-year term and about the same price, TransCanada dropped a minimum amount to be shipped and is letting shippers opt out after five years under certain conditions. The changes worked…
Read More “TransCanada Says Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Worked, Shippers Sign Up”

You may recall that TransCanada, one of Canada’s leading midstream/pipeline companies, cooked up a deal last year to pipe natural gas from Canada’s West Coast to the East Coast in order to fend off cheap supplies of Marcellus/Utica gas that will flow into Canada when/if the NEXUS and Rover pipelines get built (see TransCanada Pipe Drops Price 42% to Compete with Marcellus/Utica). TransCanada dropped their pipeline price to lure drillers by (theoretically) making it less expensive to get gas from Western Canada, some 2,400 miles away, than from the Marcellus, just 400 miles away. In October TransCanada launched an open season to lock up customers for the new, lower-priced option (see TransCanada Launches Open Season to Lowball Marcellus/Utica Gas). The open season was a flop because TransCanada insists on a 10-year commitment (see TransCanada Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Using Canada Pipeline a Bust). We thought that was the end of it, but it wasn’t. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved the Rover pipeline earlier this month (see ET Rover Pipeline Gets Final Approval by FERC). That lit a fire under TransCanada because they perceive Rover as a direct, competitive, threat. So TransCanada has revived their plan to make it cheaper to pipe gas from western Canada to eastern Canada. Last time the deal was a 10-year term with a long-term tolling rate between C$0.75/GJ to C$0.82/GJ. Now the deal is a 10-year term at a simplified single rate of C$0.77/GJ. Huh? Looks almost like the same deal all over again–same 10-year term, about the same price. The difference appears to be that TransCanada has dropped a minimum amount to be shipped, hoping they can attract a bunch of small fry and create enough volume that way…
Read More “TransCanada Revives Plan to Lowball M-U Gas Using Canada Pipeline”