Research

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    EIA: O&G Production Jobs Today are 26% Lower Than 2014

    EIALast week MDN highlighted a survey from Evercore ISI looking at attitudes and behaviors of displaced workers in the oil and gas industry (see Laid Off Workers Say “No Thanks” to New Oil & Gas Jobs). Many laid off workers have already found jobs in other industries, and they aren’t tempted to return to an oil & gas job due to the cyclical nature of the industry. We quoted a number we spotted from Evercore that there have been over 300,000 layoffs in recent years. We thought that a bit high, but they’re the experts. On Friday the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), our favorite government agency, ran an article saying the job loss is closer to 142,000. We suppose it’s all in how you count jobs directly or indirectly related to the o&g industry. There are many jobs (hotel workers, restaurant workers, etc.) that can be highly dependent on the o&g industry, yet aren’t actually an o&g job. But when drilling gets cut, so too does eating at restaurants, staying in hotels, etc. The EIA is looking at direct jobs–those related to oil and natural gas production. What have (below) is the EIA’s reckoning that direct employment in the o&g industry today is down 24% from its high in 2014, just prior to the collapse of oil prices. That’s a drop of 142,000 and any way you slice it, it’s a lot of lost jobs…
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    PA’s Annual Oil and Gas Reports for 2013, 2014 & 2015

    PA DEPOn Tuesday MDN brought you what we thought was the very first Annual Oil and Gas Annual Report from the Pennsylvania Dept. of Environmental Protection (see PA Releases 2015 Oil & Gas Annual Report (Very Cool)). In pretty short order we heard from several MDN readers that the DEP’s excellent report was, in fact, started in 2014 under then-Gov. Tom Corbett. We should have known such a useful report would be the creation of a Republican administration. MDN heard from Pat Henderson, formerly PA Gov. Tom Corbett’s Energy Executive and now Director of Regulatory Affairs for the excellent Marcellus Shale Coalition, about the report. The very first report was issued by the DEP in 2014 and covers 2013. Unfortunately the DEP under current Democrat Gov. Tom Wolf removed that report from the DEP website. But Pat kept a copy and sent it to us. Below we have all three Annual Oil and Gas Reports for PA, covering the years 2013, 2014 and 2015 (dated 2014, 2015 and 2016). Thanks Pat!…
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    Laid Off Workers Say “No Thanks” to New Oil & Gas Jobs

    cutting jobsOne of NGI’s ace reporters, Carolyn Davis, got her hands on a new report/survey conducted by Evercore ISI that looks at attitudes and behaviors of displaced workers in the oil and gas industry. The results are quite interesting. You may recall that something like 300,000+ o&g workers were laid off over the past several years. Many of them worked for oilfield services companies (OFS), like Halliburton, Baker Hughes and Schlumberger. In fact, our back-of-the-envelope tally says the vast majority of those layoffs came from just a handful of companies, namely those three. The Evercore survey found that many (most?) workers are not returning to the oil and gas industry, now that hiring has begun again. And that’s a problem. It means that there aren’t enough bodies to do the work. It seems the laid-off workers didn’t appreciate getting canned, tossed overboard like a piece of trash at the first sign of trouble–and many of them have gotten jobs in other industries. Who can blame them?! Here’s a few highlights from the survey…
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    PA Releases 2015 Oil & Gas Annual Report (Very Cool)

    cool stuffYesterday the Pennsylvania Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP) issued what we believe is the first-ever Oil and Gas Annual Report, covering last year (2015). We’ve never seen one of these reports before (full copy below). [UPDATE: MDN subscriber Michele W. wrote to tell us the DEP has been producing annual o&g reports since 2013. Thanks Michele!] Our hat is off to the DEP. This is an EXCELLENT report! It’s chock full of very cool graphs and tables and useful information–in particular about the unconventional (shale) drilling industry in the state, but also about the conventional oil and gas industry in PA. At a very high level, we learn that total production of natural gas in PA for 2015 was 4.6 trillion cubic feet (Tcf), versus 4.05 Tcf in 2014–and that’s with less drilling! Most of the production came from the Marcellus Shale layer, but the Utica and Point Pleasant formations are showing a noticeable uptick in production. Among the many charts and graphs is a table showing the Top 25 producers of natgas in the state (see our separate post today on that); the number of shale and conventional well permits issued, by year; number of permits issued by county in 2015 (and a table with the Top 5 counties); number of wells drilled by year for both shale and conventional; number of wells drilled by county in 2015; the list goes on! Take time to read through this fascinating report about the most productive natural gas shale play in the second highest-producing natgas state in the country…
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    PA’s Top 25 Natural Gas Producers in 2015

    Top 25Below is a chart from the just-released 2015 Oil and Gas Annual Report for Pennsylvania, from the state’s Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP). The report is full of great charts and graphs and useful details about both the shale and conventional drilling industry in the state (see today’s lead story, PA Releases 2015 Oil & Gas Annual Report (Very Cool)). It’s hard for us to select a favorite chart/graph from the report, there’s so many of them! However, the table below is on the short list. It is a table showing the Top 25 natural gas producers, along with the amount of natgas produced, for 2015. It may or may not surprise you to learn that the #1 natgas producer in PA for 2015 was….Chesapeake Energy! It certainly didn’t surprise us to see the company in the #2 slot–Cabot Oil & Gas. Here’s the full table…
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    Penn State Eats Crow: No Link Between Fracking & Earthquakes

    eat crowIn May MDN highlighted news that Penn State University had set up a seismic monitoring system throughout Pennsylvania to track earthquakes in the Keystone State (see Penn State Claims Link Between Fracking & Earthquakes, Without Research). We pointed out at the time that researchers had jumped the gun by theorizing fracking may be the cause for some of the earthquakes. At the time they said: “We have not done enough analysis of the data to make any conclusions yet, but there is a correlation spatially and temporally between the fracking and the earthquakes.” In other words, “We haven’t actually done the research, but we’re going to say there’s a connection between fracking and earthquakes–because we feel like it.” Now that they’ve done some of the research, those same Penn State researchers have changed their tune. What they say in a recently issued report is this: “The report found no correlation between the seismic events during that period and Marcellus Shale fracking or gas injection wells.” Sounds to us like they’re eating crow…
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    EIA: NatGas the Biggest Gainer as an Energy Source in 2015

    EIAYet another report from our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, points out the overwhelming use of fossil fuels as the primary energy source in the U.S. This most recent report highlights the changing mix used in our country to power our homes, vehicles and everything else that uses energy. The EIA reports that energy coming from nuclear plants stayed even in 2015. So-called renewable energy sources–which include solar, wind and hydro–increased by 1% in 2015. Coal took a nose dive and decreased 12% in 2015, thanks for Obama’s war on coal. Petroleum and its derivatives (oil, gasoline, etc.) increased by 2% in 2015. Natural gas? Consumption of natural gas increased 3% in 2015–the top mover among all energy sources…
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    Independent Research @ WVU Concludes Frack Waste is Safe

    real-science.jpgIn November 2014 MDN told you that West Virginia University and Ohio State University received an $11 million grant from the U.S. Dept. of Energy for a joint five-year study of Marcellus/Utica fracking and shale drilling (see WVU/OSU Get $11M Grant to Study Shale Energy Best Practices). The research project promptly got under way with baseline measurements and monitoring at the Morgantown (WV) Industrial Park where a new first-of-its-kind Marcellus Shale Energy and Environment Laboratory will be located. With baseline measurements for air, noise, light and water at the site complete, the drill bit to start chewing away at rock and dirt in June (see Drilling for WVU/OSU’s $11M Study Gets Underway in Morgantown). We already have some of the first results from the WVU researchers, who have studied drilling wastes produced at two research wells. What did they find? Drilling wastes coming from the wells are far below federal guidelines for radioactive or hazardous waste. That is, they’ve found frack waste is safe. Some of the reason may be due to the “green” drilling mud being used at the site…
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    EIA July DPR: Utica Only Play with Increased NatGas Production

    EIAEarlier this week MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. The EIA projects natural gas production cumulatively across all shale plays will once again fall in August–the sixth consecutive month it will have fallen. However, unlike the July projection (see EIA June DPR: The Worm Turns for Utica NatGas Production), natgas production in the Utica will go up by a fraction. The projection last month was that July’s Utica production would, for the first time, go down. So it’s good to see a reversal in the Utica. The Marcellus, on the other hand, continues to bleed off production, although at a slower rate than it had been (down 51 million cubic feet per day–or MMcf/d–in last month’s report, down only 26 MMcf/d in this month’s report). Shale oil production is also forecast to drop once again in the next month. Here’s the lowdown from the EIA…
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    Sham “Study” from Johns Hopkins Says Fracking Makes Athsma Worse

    junk-science.jpgThe anti-frackers at the Johns Hopkins-Bloomberg School of Public Health are out with another bought-and-paid-for (by anti-drillers) “study” that implies the presence of fracking in Pennsylvania leads to causing or making worse asthma attacks. You may recall the same group of antis pushed out a study last October that supposedly shows fracking leads to premature births (see New Junk Science Claims PA Fracking Leads to Premature Births). That study was quickly debunked (see EID’s Devastating Critique of PA Premature Birth “Study” and Another Devastating Critique of Fracking/Premature Birth “Study”). This newest study, “Association Between Unconventional Natural Gas Development in the Marcellus Shale and Asthma Exacerbations,” evaluates thousands of health records from the Geisinger Clinic in PA, looking for patterns between people showing up with asthmatic symptoms and correlating it to how close they live to shale wells being drilled. The incredible thing about this latest run at smearing the miracle of fracking is this: the authors (most of them students) admit in their own study they only have theories, no proof that ties fracking to asthma. You read that right–there is no proof, no smoking gun. Only wild theories that are unsupported by the data. Yet fawning (and frankly stupid) reporters at places like the AP, PBS StateImpact Pennsylvania and USA Today are trumpeting this “study” as scientific proof of a link that fracking kills ya. It seems the Johns Hopkins-Bloomberg School of Public Health doesn’t produce science–it produces politics dressed up as science…
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    PA Independent Fiscal Office Predicts Impact Fee Revenue for 2016

    IFO logoIn the past we’ve been pretty critical of the Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). It claims to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with “impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues to assist Commonwealth residents and the General Assembly in their evaluation of policy decisions.” It’s been our observation the IFO is populated with partisan Democrats. However, we have to acknowledge their prediction of impact fee revenue from 2015 was spot on. Earlier this year the IFO predicted that when the dust had settled, the impact fee would generate $185.5 million (see “Independent” Fiscal Office Says PA Impact Fee Revenue Drops 17%). When the state Public Utility Commission (PUC) finally reported the actual numbers, it turned out to be $188 million (see PA PUC Releases Impact Fee Numbers: Revenue Down $36M in 2015). The IFO is back with predictions for what impact fee revenue may look like for 2016 (full copy of their report below). The IFO gives several scenarios and predicts a further slide in 2016 revenue–anywhere from $5 million less to $56 million less, depending on the scenario…
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    EIA Says NatGas-Fired PowerGen to Reach New Record High in 2016

    EIAThe U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), our favorite government organization, is out with a prediction that natural gas-fired electric generation will hit a new record high in 2016 over 2015–delivering an average of 3.8 million megawatts of electricity each and every day. That’s up 4% in 2016 over 2015–if the numbers hold. Natgas had played second fiddle to coal generated power plants, but that all changed in April 2015 when natgas, for the first time, surpassed coal generation. Here’s the latest exciting news from the EIA that natgas is ascending…
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    NatGas Trading Volume Goes Up in 2015, Reverses 4-Year Slide

    Cornerstone-ResearchThe amount of natural gas that gets produced, and the amount that actually gets traded (bought and sold) are two different numbers. Don’t try to figure out–just accept it on faith. The companies that buy and sell (i.e. trade) natural gas are required to file “Form 552” with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) once each year, to inform FERC of the volume of gas they’ve traded. Form 552 says right on it that its purpose is: “FERC Form No. 552 collects transactional information from natural gas market participants. The filing of this information is necessary to provide information regarding physical natural gas transactions that use an index and transactions that contribute to, or may contribute to gas price indices.” Cornerstone Research, an economic and financial consulting company, does a yearly deep dive into all of those Form 552 filings, producing a report of their findings (full copy of the report below). What did Cornerstone find from the 552 filings for 2015? The big news is that the volume of gas traded in 2015 went up 4% over 2014. It’s big news because the the volume of gas traded has gone down each year since 2011. Here’s what else they found…
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    Colorado Study Proves Fracking Doesn’t Contaminate Groundwater

    real-science.jpgA study funded entirely by the National Science Foundation (no Big Green money involved, no oil and gas money involved) has found that fracking operations in Colorado have not led to an increase in methane migration into groundwater supplies. The study, titled “Groundwater methane in relation to oil and gas development and shallow coal seams in the Denver-Julesburg Basin of Colorado” (full copy below) was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) and is significant. The research examined methane levels going back 25 years, long before any horizontal fracking took place in the state. It focuses on an area of Colorado where there has been a great deal of drilling and fracking over the past 16 years. In looking at levels of dissolved methane in groundwater both before and after fracking began, the researchers found, “The rate [of groundwater methane] did not change after the introduction of horizontal drilling combined with high-volume hydraulic fracturing in 2010.” We predict you’ll hear crickets in mainstream media–with no coverage of this very important finding…
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    List of 85 Bankrupt O&G Companies Since 2015; 4 in Marc/Utica

    Haynes BooneIn November 2015 MDN brought you a list of 36 North America drillers that had, as of that time, declared bankruptcy (see List of 36 Oil & Gas Companies that Filed for Bankruptcy in 2015). In April, just three short months ago, the list stood at 59 bankruptcies (see List of 59 Oil & Gas Companies Filing for Bankruptcy in 2015/2016). The law firm compiling the list, Haynes and Boone, keeps updating the list. The most recent version was issued on June 30 and it shows the list growing to 85 declared bankruptcies, with more on the way. As of April we noted there was only one Marcellus/Utica driller on the list–Magnum Hunter Resources–which has since emerged from Chapter 11 and is once again up and running. However, in the latest list of 85 bankruptcies, we now must add three more companies with operations in the Marcellus/Utica…
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    Co-Author of Retracted OH Air Study Admits Results were Wrong

    retractedLast week MDN reported that a previously trumpeted so-called research study of air quality near fracking sites in Ohio had been retracted (see Ohio Air “Study” Near Frack Sites Retracted for Basic Math Error). At the time the study was released in 2015, one of the authors of the study implied elevated toxins in the air near fracking sites may lead to cancer. We now know it was fully loaded horse manure. The numbers used to draw conclusions were erroneous. Simple spreadsheet formulas used to calculate the numbers were wrong. The researchers should be ashamed of themselves. And now, one of the authors of that report is on the record admitting the data, when corrected, shows air quality risks near those fracking sites are “below EPA levels” for such risks. Here’s an update…
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