Research

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    Radical OH Groups Lie About Fracking & Asthma in Kids

    junk-science.jpgTwo radical environmental groups in Ohio–Ohio Environmental Council and the Clean Air Task Force–have just released a 100% bogus “report” that attempts to tie asthma in children to fracking. If lying to the public were a crime, they’d be in jail right now. Here’s how these sleazy groups make such a claim: They claim, from looking at medical records, that there are 7,129 childhood asthma attacks in the Columbus metro area, and 7,558 in the Cleveland metro area each year. Absolutely no context as to whether those numbers are higher or lower than elsewhere in the country, or whether or not the numbers are increasing year over year. These groups just toss out numbers. They claim the asthma attacks are because of smog in those cities. They further claim smog comes from burning oil and gas and ergo, childhood asthma attacks are the result of fracking, because fracking extracts more oil and gas which is burned and causes smog which causes asthma. It is a heaping mound of cow manure. The problem is that otherwise good news sources, like the Akron Beacon Journal, push this manure out as news…
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    Univ of Texas to Study Marcellus, Other Shales w/$350K DOE Grant

    education grantsThe University of Texas at Austin has just been awarded a $350,000 grant from the U.S. Department of Energy to conduct an 18-month review of a study they previously did of major American shale gas plays. Hey, getting paid to look at what you previously wrote is good work if you can get it! The previous study, called the “Shale Production and Reserve Study” looked at data from the Barnett, Fayetteville, Haynesville, and Marcellus natural gas plays. However, the data reviewed in the original study was only 4-6 years’ worth of data, depending on the play. Since the original study was completed, UTA-Austin now has access to an additional 2-4 years’ worth of data. In other words, the new data will help confirm, or not, the original conclusions. More data, better results and better conclusions. Here’s what UTA-Austin had to say about the new grant…
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    Research Paper: Shale Wells Lead to Long-Term Low Prices

    RFF-DP-16-32-coverIs unconventional (i.e. shale) natural gas supply more responsive to price changes than conventional gas? A new research paper suggests that the answer is yes–specifically, almost three times as responsive, because shale gas wells are far more productive (2.7x more) than conventional gas wells. In “Trophy Hunting vs. Manufacturing Energy: The Price-Responsiveness of Shale Gas” (full copy below), researchers from Resources for the Future (RFF), a nonpartisan think tank devoted exclusively to natural resource and environmental issues, takes a look at how the “new way” of drilling multiple wells from a single pad, which is akin to a manufacturing process, is flattening out the supply curve. A flattened supply curve reduces price volatility–the wild up and down swings in the commodity price of natgas. While the focus of the paper is on how shale wells are leading to lower and more stable prices over the long term and does a deep dive into economic models, the paper also contains a good, basic primer on drilling a shale well. We found it a good read and wanted to share it with you…
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    Chamber Report Details Why ‘Keep it in the Ground’ a Disaster

    off limitsA new report issued by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce addresses the question, “What If…Energy Production was Banned on Federal Lands and Waters?” (full copy below). The short answer to that question is, it would be an unmitigated disaster for this country. There is a movement underway by radical environmentalists with the catch phrase of “Keep It In The Ground”–meaning we should stop extracting oil and natural gas. It is an acutely ignorant position to take. The report says, “Instituting a ban on future federal-lands leasing and stopping the current production of these resources would increase energy prices for consumers by removing low-cost resources from the available supply stream. The impact would be immediate and severe to the U.S. economy, leading to the loss of hundreds of thousands of American jobs, and robbing the federal government and primarily eastern states of potentially billions of dollars in revenues in the form of lost royalties.” Keep It In The Ground boobs don’t own land and sip lattes at Starbucks in large cities with their radical friends. They don’t care about lost jobs and lost royalty revenue–because it doesn’t affect them. Opposing “nasty, dirty fossil fuels” makes them feel good about themselves. They are dangerously stupid. This report (read it below) illustrates just how catastrophic it would be to ban fossil fuel extraction on federal lands. The report finds that the U.S. economy would lose 400,000 jobs and $70 billion in annual GDP if we were to abandon energy development on public lands, as President Obama and presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton and the entire Democrat Party advocate…
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    Texas Fracking Study Shows How to Reduce Emissions at Well Pads

    real-science.jpgChemists at the University of Texas at Arlington published a new study last week that indicates certain activities on top of the ground at shale drilling sites are the cause of nasty emissions–and not the fracking process itself. The study, “Point source attribution of ambient contamination events near unconventional oil and gas development” published last week in Science of the Total Environment, found “highly variable levels of ambient BTEX, or benzene, toluene, ethyl benzene, and xylene compounds, in and around fracking gas drilling sites in the Eagle Ford shale region in South Texas.” BTEX compounds are nasty, and in high concentrations can be carcinogenic (cancer causing) and have harmful effects on the nervous system. The good news is that recognizing where BTEX emissions are coming from can lead to fixes. Nobody, the industry included, wants to harm workers or nearby residents’ health. We reckon this study under the category of “real science” that leads to industry improvements…
    Read More “Texas Fracking Study Shows How to Reduce Emissions at Well Pads”

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    Kent State Study: UTOPIA Pipeline to Yield $237M for Ohio Economy

    Utopia Project
    Click for larger version

    As MDN reported yesterday, Kent State University researchers have just issued a report evaluating the economic impact of the proposed Kinder Morgan UTOPIA (Utica To Ontario Pipeline Access) project on the State of Ohio. UTOPIA is a 12-inch ethane pipeline that will run 240 miles across Ohio, connecting with another pipeline that will shuttle Utica/Marcellus ethane all the way to a cracker plant in Sarnia, Ontario. The Kent State study estimates this tiny pipeline project will contribute a whopping $237.3 million to Ohio’s economy, creating 2,132 direct and indirect jobs in Ohio and generating $4.9 million in yearly tax revenues. Below is a press announcement from Kent State with a good overview of the study, followed by a full copy of the study, which is titled: “Economic Impact of Kinder Morgan Utopia Pipeline Project”…
    Read More “Kent State Study: UTOPIA Pipeline to Yield $237M for Ohio Economy”

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    Platts: Marcellus/Utica Production Nears All-Time High in August

    Platts Analytics is estimating that natural gas output in the combined Marcellus/Utica will average 22.63 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) during August. If that bears out, it will an increase of 2% from July and the second highest monthly output EVER for the Marcellus/Utica, second only to February’s all-time high of 22.78 Bcf/d. That is astonishing! The numbers are catching analysts by surprise, who did not expect an increase in northeast gas volumes, but instead a decrease. Even the venerable U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicted August numbers for the Marcellus would go down by 26 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d), but Utica would increase by 5 MMcf/d, for a total net decrease of 21 MMcf/d (see EIA July DPR: Utica Only Play with Increased NatGas Production). Not so according to Platts Analytics. Why the increase in August, of all times?…
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    PA DEP Reports Increase in Air Emissions from Shale Industry

    PA DEPThe Pennsylvania State Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP) keeps track of emissions from various sources–including the shale industry. When drillers drill and pipeline companies pipe, the equipment used leaks nasty stuff into the air. Frankly it’s no different for any industrial activity or business. Even homes. We all emit stuff into the air. The question is, how much do we emit and does it rise to the level of being harmful? Yesterday the DEP released air emissions numbers for the shale industry for 2014–the most recent year in which they have completed data. What does it show? In 2014 the industry was still in an upswing–there were more wells drilled, more pipelines being added, etc. than in 2013. So it’s no surprise to learn that the shale industry as a whole emitted more emissions in 2014 than in 2013. What will be interesting is to see the 2015 numbers when they get released a year from now (the downturn began in 2015). With less drilling and piping, will air emissions go down? Stands to reason. At any rate, here’s what the DEP said yesterday about an increase in emitting nasty stuff by the drilling industry…
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    WVU Prof Gets $110K Grant to Research ‘Methane Aromatization’

    GAA West Virginia University engineering prof has just been awarded $110,000 to study methane aromatization. What’s that? It’s the process of turning methane, or natural gas, into “higher value products” like benzene and hydrogen. It’s not as easy as it may sound. If the good prof is successful, it may open up new markets in the northeast for our overabundant natural gas supplies. Here’s the lowdown…
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    Black & Veatch Electric Industry Report – The Rise of NatGas

    B&V logoBlack & Veatch, a ginormous engineering, consulting and construction company, recently released their “2016 Strategic Directions: Electric Industry Report” (full copy below). The report captures Black & Veatch’s global engineering and thought leadership to examine how distributed electric generation, the low price of natural gas and modern customer information systems represent growth opportunities for the electric industry–even as security concerns are on the rise and legacy power generation sources (i.e. coal powered plants) are fading away, being replaced by new natgas technology. One trend MDN editor Jim Willis did not foresee when he started writing about the Marcellus industry back in January 2009 was the rise of natgas-fired electric generating plants–and the critically important role they would play in the Marcellus/Utica region. This B&V report provides useful insights into how natgas and electric generation are increasing “joined at the hip”…
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    EIA August DPR: Utica Production Up, Marcellus Down

    EIAYesterday MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. The EIA projects natural gas production cumulatively across all shale plays will once again fall in September–the seventh consecutive month it will have fallen. However, as was the case in last month’s report, the Utica stands alone and against the trend by showing an increase in production month over month. Last month the EIA predicted the Utica would increase production by 5 million cubic feet per day, or MMcf/d (see EIA July DPR: Utica Only Play with Increased NatGas Production). This month’s report shows the Utica is expected to increase production by an average of 9 MMcf/d. Also of note, last month Marcellus production was projected to drop by 26 MMcf/d, while this month the production drop is projected to be 33 MMcf/d. That is, the rate of production decline in the Marcellus is accelerating. Here’s the lowdown from the EIA…
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    Deloitte Oil & Gas M&A Report: Lowest Activity in Years

    Deloitte“Everyone” thought that with low prices for oil and gas, and companies not able to turn a profit and heading into bankruptcy, that there would be a flurry of mergers and acquisitions in the oil and gas industry. “Everyone” was wrong. According to the just-released “Oil & Gas Mergers and Acquisitions Report – Mid-year 2016” from powerhouse consulting firm Deloitte (full copy below), M&A activity in the o&g industry is at its lowest point in years. The number of deals in the first half of 2016 was 198, an “extremely low” number compared to what it has been in past years. Where were the highest number of M&As? The number one shale play where deals were done was the Permian Basin–an extremely oil-rich shale layer in western Texas and southeastern New Mexico. The number two shale play where deals were done was, yep, the Marcellus Shale. Here’s the low down…
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    U.S. Shale Gas Production to Drive World NatGas Production Growth

    EIAAccording to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) International Energy Outlook 2016 and Annual Energy Outlook 2016, natural gas production worldwide is projected to increase from 342 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2015 to 554 Bcf/d by 2040. The largest component of this growth is natural gas production from shale resources, which grows from 42 Bcf/d in 2015 to 168 Bcf/d by 2040. Shale gas is expected to account for 30% of world natural gas production by the end of the forecast period. And the largest component of the growth in shale will come from the good ole U.S. of A. Check out the forecast and the graph showing the shale miracle…
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    Science Advisory Board Gives EPA Cover to Change Fracking Report

    science for saleThe one great, huge, towering problem that anti-drillers have is that there is no scientific evidence that supports their wild claims that fracking contaminates water–which is their favorite lie to spread. When the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) arrived at the same conclusion–that fracking doesn’t pollute water–after four years of studying it, that really took the wind out of the sails of rabid fossil fuel haters (see EPA Draft Report Says Fracking Doesn’t Pollute Groundwater Supplies). The EPA reviewed research from over 950 studies and even conducted nine of their own primary studies. Conclusion: fracking doesn’t pollute water supplies. What’s a good fossil fuel hater to do? Answer: Pressure the EPA to change the outcome of their study. True science means nothing to liberals–science is not objective for them, it’s political, a tool to be used. So the EPA set about to “fix” the “problem” by using a small committee of people, called the Science Advisory Board (SAB), to change the results of their original findings (see EPA Science Advisory Board Engaging in Fraud re Fracking Study). The fix was in from the beginning. The SAB’s appointed job was to cast doubt on the original report and the conclusions it made that fracking does not contaminate water–against four years and hundreds of studies of evidence that say otherwise. Yesterday the SAB filed its “final review” and depending on whom you read, the SAB either accomplished their objective by casting enough doubt on the original report that it should be thrown out (according to the crazies at Food & Water Watch), or the SAB upheld the findings of the original report (according to IPAA’s Energy in Depth). We think the SAB has done great damage to the reputations of its own members and to the objectivity of the scientific process by bowing to political pressure with a final review that appears to us (at least at first blush) to be highly critical of the original four-year study and its conclusions. The SAB’s final review gives radical EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy political cover to change the original report and its conclusions before she’s flushed out Washington with the rest of the Obama Administration later this year. It should be noted that four brave members of the SAB dissented from this politicization of science and said the original report and its conclusions are correct…
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    Put-Up Job: Yale “Researchers” Meet with Locals in Belmont County

    YaleIn June MDN told you about another sham “study” on the way from an anti-drilling “researcher” from Yale University, funded by Big Green groups (see Yale Arrives in Belmont County to Study the Evils of Fracking). Nicole Deziel arrived in Belmont and announced, in so many words, she would drag a $20 bill through a trailer park (literally willing to pay only $20) to “study” air and water samples from residents’ domiciles as part of a new research “project” with a predetermined outcome–that they’re being poisoned by fracking. Ms. Deziel wanted 100 participants and ended up with 66. After eight weeks of collecting samples and talking to people, Ms. Deziel held a wrap-up rally with area residents before departing town to discuss the “study”–saying she has no conclusions, yet. The reason we know this latest Yale study is a put-up job, and not real science, is because at the very same wrap-up meeting residents also heard from the radical anti-drilling group Ohio Environmental Council. That’s the tip-off that this was not real research but hucksterism with a predetermined outcome…
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    WVU Effusive Over “Green” Drilling Fluid Used in Test Wells

    effusiveIn July MDN told you about exciting new publicly-financed research at West Virginia University that finds waste from Marcellus/Utica drilling (“frack waste”) is not radioactive or hazardous (see Independent Research @ WVU Concludes Frack Waste is Safe). Anti fossil fuel nutters would have you believe frack waste is an environmental holocaust–but such is proven to not the case. It’s been our observation that when Big Green groups don’t finance (i.e. purchase) research, you get honest, real science results. Like the results coming out of WVU’s 5-year study (financed by the U.S. Dept. of Energy). WVU, along with partner Ohio State University, is in the midst of drilling two Marcellus wells near Morgantown, WV. They are testing and measuring all sorts of things–air, noise, light and water and frack waste (see Drilling for WVU/OSU’s $11M Study Gets Underway in Morgantown). One of the key areas researchers are testing is the use of “green” drilling fluid–fluids that are environment and human friendly, even if they get accidentally released. According to WVU researchers, their experimentation will lead to Marcellus industry adopting greener drilling fluids…
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