Research

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    Duke U Researcher Tries to Repair Reputation with Wastewater Study

    Duke logoFor years now the radical Park Park Foundation has been buying its research from a few select professors at a few select universities. One of the scientists for sale is Avner Vengosh, professor of geochemistry and water quality at Duke University’s Nicholas School of the Environment (see Duke Hit Piece on Shale Water Usage from Same Park-Sponsored Prof and Latest Case of Duke U Bought & Paid “Research” by Park Foundation). Here’s how it works: Park funds Dr. Vengosh’s “research,” and he conveniently “discovers” all sorts of nasty things about shale fracking, publishing his “research” in obscure, peer reviewed journals. Mainstream media picks it up and runs it. Readers who only scan headlines get the impression fracking is evil. Mission accomplished for Park (another hit on fracking) and for Vengosh (another buck in his pocket). That’s how it works in the world of bought-and-paid-for fractivism. But when the Park Foundation doesn’t pay the bill for the research, Vengosh turns in research that doesn’t slam fracking. Case in point: Vengosh has just published yet another study, this time in the journal Science of The Total Environment, funded by the National Science Foundation. Vengosh’s new research finds there’s really nothing to worry about after all when it comes to Marcellus Shale wastewater. He goes so far as to say with proper treatment, shale wastewater “potentially could have beneficial reuses.” Imagine that? From the same guy who previously bashed fracking as one of the world’s evil activities…
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    Carnegie Mellon Study: Radon in Marcellus Gas Doesn’t Kill People

    real-science.jpgAnti-fossil fuel zealots have long attempted to scare the masses with false claims about fracked shale gas in the Marcellus. Early on radical environmental organizations tried to scare people in New York City, telling them they’ll get lung cancer from radon in Marcellus gas if they use it (see The Latest Anti-Drilling Scare Tactic: Radon in Shale Gas). One of the early “scientists” who pimped himself out to Big Green, Dr. Marvin Resnikoff, made wild claims about radon levels in Marcellus gas. Resnikoff also made accusations that the U.S. Geological Survey was in the back pocket of Big Oil on this issue. The USGS responded with a major slapdown of Resnikoff (see Radon Debate: USGS Responds to Marvin Resnikoff Accusation). Finally, someone has done some real research to put this issue to rest. Researchers at Carnegie Mellon University have just published a paper titled, “Lung Cancer Risk from Radon in Marcellus Shale Gas in Northeast U.S. Homes” (draft copy below). The Carnegie research says “there is no support” to back up the wild claims that radon in Marcellus gas increases cancer risks. Period. In particular, they take aim at Dr. Resnikoff’s claims and say he “provided insufficient documentation of the methodology used” and “[a]t this time there is no support for the high mortality argument offered by Resnikoff.” Total repudiation of his earlier claims. For once and for all: whatever “extra” radon there may be in Marcellus (i.e. fracked) shale gas, it’s not in sufficient quantities that by standing near a burning stove all day long every day will it add to your risk of contracting lung cancer…
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    ICF Predicts Marcellus/Utica Gas Will Double by 2025!

    doubleYou just can’t get away from the Marcellus/Utica–even at a conference supposedly focused on the Western U.S. Natural gas infrastructure was a key topic at the recent LDC Gas Forum Rockies & West conference held in Denver, CO. ICF International vice president Kevin Petak was one of the speakers. He dropped what is (to us) a bombshell when he said he believes the Marcellus and Utica combined will pump out 40 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) by 2025–just 10 short years from now. The two plays combined today are pumping around 21 Bcf/d–so Petak is predicting our output will double! If that’s so, there will need to be a whole lotta drillin’ goin’ on between now and then. In addition to Petak, Crystal Heter, vice president for commercial operations at the Rockies Express (REX) pipeline, had some VERY interesting things to say about the REX pipeline reversal which sends Marcellus/Utica gas to the Midwest. It looks like even more gas is about to go from our area westward…
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    EIA October Drilling Report: Marcellus Reverses, Increases Production

    reversalYesterday MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. In September, the EIA added a new tab of information for Drilled but UnCompleted wells (DUCs), which showed the number of DUCs dwindling (see EIA Sept Drilling Report: Watching DUCs Fly Away). What does the November DPR show? For one thing, it is the 12th consecutive month that U.S. shale oil production will go down, and the 7th consecutive month natural gas production from shale plays will go down. Sooner or later demand will catch up with supply and prices will go up–which is what we’ve seen over the past month or so. As for the Marcellus and Utica, we have some rather big news: For the first time since July Marcellus production is expected to go up–by 73 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d)! And while the Utica has steadily increased natgas production month after month (the only play to do so), over the next month the EIA data crunchers predict Utica production will decrease by 10 MMcf/d. As for DUCs, the only play where new wells are being added, instead of worked down, is the Permian in Texas. Both the Marcellus and Utica are working down their inventory of DUCs…
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    Report: How Can Your Business Benefit from Shell’s PA Cracker?

    piece-of-the-pieQuestion: How can your business take advantage of the development of a petrochemical industry in your backyard? That was the question and premise behind a new white paper/report from the Ben Franklin Shale Gas Innovation and Commercialization Center. The white paper, titled “Shell Petrochemical Complex (“Cracker”) Project Overview – The First Step in Establishing a Regional Petrochemical Sector” (full copy below) provides an excellent overview of the coming ethane cracker in Beaver County, PA–with details for how and who can benefit from it. The paper is mainly aimed at manufacturers that will be able to leverage the output from the plant–but there’s plenty of other great information in this paper to inspire and get your creative business juices flowing. Take time to download and read it. The future of your business may depend on it!…
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    Bernstein Research Says Longer Laterals Not Necessarily Nirvana

    counterintuitiveOver the past six months or so MDN has repeatedly read about drillers in the Marcellus/Utica drilling longer laterals (the horizontal part of the well) and using way more sand to keep the cracks propped open longer. And between longer laterals and more sand, drillers in the northeast are getting higher output from their wells. So it was with some interest (and skepticism) that we read about new research that says longer laterals don’t lead to greater production totals. The research is from a respected source: Bernstein Research. However, the data used was only from the Barnett Shale–so it’s not clear to us how relevant the findings are for northeast drillers. Here’s what the research says…
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    New England: No Gas Pipes Mean Sky-High Energy Costs on the Way

    Sky HighWe hate to say “I told you so,” but we’ll say it anyway. If you live in New England, prepare yourself. You’re about to experience more price shocks for natural gas and electricity (4x more than the rest of the country, or higher). Why? Because you’re blocking new pipeline projects that would bring cheap, abundant, clean-burning natural gas to the region. The Pennsylvania Marcellus Shale sits a few hundred miles away–yet very little Marcellus gas is flowing to New England at this point. New England, more than any other region in the country, relies on natgas to power electric generating plants. Without extra supplies, especially in the winter months when natgas gets used for heating, electric generators are forced to pay obscenely high rates to stay in operation. Those obscenely high rates get passed along to ratepayers–businesses AND residences. Yet anti-fossil fuel wackos continue to try and stop new pipelines, sometimes criminally (see Part of AIM Pipeline Begins to Flow; Protesters Hide in Pipe). A new report just issued (full copy below) by the New England Coalition for Affordable Energy says New England is at a much greater risk for higher energy costs in the short-term because of lack of new pipelines…
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    2nd Study Affirms Cow Burps & Rice Paddies Causing Fugitive Methane

    cow-burpLast Friday MDN reported that none other than the man-made global warmists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued a research report admitting that cows and rice farms are the real cause of an increase in global methane emissions–NOT shale drilling (see NOAA Research: Cows & Rice Farms Biggest Source of Fugitive Methane). So far the radicals at the Sierra Club, Food & Water Watch, National Resources Defense Council, Riverkeeper and other loons who rail against fossil fuels have been silent. A second such study has now been published, by a different group of researchers. This new study concludes the same thing. Researchers from the Department of Earth Sciences at Royal Holloway, University of London have just published a study in the journal Global Biochemical Cycles (full copy below). The study “refutes conventional wisdom” and finds: “Recent rises in levels of methane in our atmosphere is being driven by biological sources, such as swamp gas, cow burps, or rice fields, rather than fossil fuel emissions.” This is sure to send the antis into therapy…
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    White House Report Acknowledges Role of Shale Gas in Manuf Jobs

    drilling-equals-jobs.jpgEven the anti-fossil fuel Barack Hussein Obama can’t ignore the fact that natural gas saved his pathetic administration’s rear-end over the past eight years. Without shale gas, the economy would be further in the crapper than it is now. Last week the White House National Economic Council released a report titled “Revitalizing American Manufacturing” (full copy below) to commemorate Manufacturing Day. The report finds the U.S. economy added some 800,000 manufacturing jobs since 2010–largely due to the shale revolution and cheap natural gas…
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    UTOPIA Pipeline Construction Begins, OSU to Study Hole-Digging

    obviousKinder Morgan’s UTOPIA (Utica To Ontario Pipeline Access) pipeline is a 12-inch ethane pipeline that will run ~240 miles and will only be built in Ohio–therefore the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) won’t be involved in permitting the project. In September we noted that Kinder Morgan is still facing opposition from some Ohio landowners (see UTOPIA Pipeline Still Battling OH Landowners with Eminent Domain). Aside from a few holdout landowners, Kinder Morgan will begin building UTOPIA next month, with plans to turn it on in 2018. When Kinder begins to dig trenches next month to lay the pipeline, researchers from Ohio State University will be watching–conducting “research” into “soil disturbances caused by pipelines and its impact on farmland.” Kinder Morgan is helping fund the 3-year project–kicking in $200,000. Forgive us for saying so, but the entire premise sounds kind of dumb. Farmers dig holes and trenches in their fields all the time and nobody “studies” it to see what kind of impacts it may have. You dig a hole (or a trench), you put something in it, you cover it back up with the same dirt you just dug up and then replant grass or crops over top of it. Not a lot of mystery. It’s been going on for millennia…
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    Baker Hughes Sept US Rig Count Up by 28, M-U Count Up 7

    trending-upThe Baker Hughes rig count, watched closely by those in the industry (the benchmark used across the world) has been trending up in the U.S. since July. BH released their venerable count for September on Friday and once again the counts have gone up–very good news indeed. BH is reporting an average of 509 active rigs in the U.S., up 28 from August. MDN performs its own rig count for the Marcellus/Utica, using BH’s numbers for Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia. The Marcellus/Utica rig count was up for the second month running. In September the M/U rig count jumped up by 7. The biggest gainer was Pennsylvania, up by 5. West Virginia was up by 2, and Ohio stayed even…
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    Jim’s Notebook: Benposium East Predicts Future for Oil/NatGas

    reporter-notebookOn Sept. 30 MDN editor Jim Willis attended S&P Global Platts’ Benposium East event in New York City. According to a description for the event, “The Benposium East 2016 Conference empowers attendees with proprietary, forward-looking energy market fundamental analysis. It explores the most important aspects of crude, natural gas, and electric power markets and pricing while providing data and information to help market participants stay ahead of the curve headed into 2017.” In MDN’s plain-spoken words, Platts got a number of their really smart analysts together, along with a few outsiders, to give traders and investors an update on what they see coming in the short, medium and long-term with respect to oil, gas and electricity. It was a top notch event. We already brought you coverage for one of the sessions on Marcellus/Utica production (see Will Marcellus/Utica Grow Fast Enough to Offset Declines Elsewhere?). Jim wrote up his notes on each session and is making those notes available below. Although Jim received a copy of the PowerPoint slide presentations, Platts does not allow public redistribution of their slides–sorry, we can’t share them with you. However, you may pick up some gems from the notes we took, primarily on where prices and production are heading for both oil and natural gas…
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    New Study Says Shale Gas Killed King Coal, Not Obama Regulations

    old-king-coalThe refrain is growing louder. In the past couple of weeks MDN editor Jim Willis has heard that Obama’s EPA regulations haven’t killed the coal industry–it was lowly natural gas that slipped in with a knife and did the dirty deed. We first heard that at the recent Benposium East event (see today’s story for Jim’s notes from that event), and also from Our Dear Leader himself, BHO (see Obama and Man-Child Leo DiCaprio Talk Global Warming at WH Event). When you start hearing the same thing from multiple sources within a short period of time, it always makes us suspect there’s collusion going on. In addition to those high-profile comments, we now get “research” from Case Western Reserve University that purports to prove the same thing: natural gas killed coal, not hyper-restrictive regulations from the Obama EPA. The research shows that the price of natural gas has been cheaper than coal for an extended period of time, and correlates to a switching from coal to natgas, ergo (the researchers say) it was really natgas after all and not Obama’s insane regulations that killed old King Coal…
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    NOAA Research: Cows & Rice Farms Biggest Source of Fugitive Methane

    noaaNOAA–the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration–contains some of the biggest kool-aid drinking man-made global warming fanatics on the planet. So we found it interesting that the mighty NOAA has just released new research that finds yes, so-called “fugitive” methane that escapes into the atmosphere is up–way up. And yes, oil and gas drilling contributes WAY MORE to the fugitive methane problem “than previously thought.” And yes, methane leaks from fossil fuel development represents something like 20-25% of of the total “problem.” But then those same researchers, in little teeny tiny type add this: “However, the findings also confirm other work by NOAA scientists that conclude fossil fuel facilities are not directly responsible for the increased rate of global atmospheric methane emissions measured in the atmosphere since 2007.” That is, while the shale revolution has grown exponentially over the past 10 years, and while the rate of fugitive methane has grown during that same period–the growth has NOT come from oil and gas development. Instead, it’s coming from rice paddies and cow farts/burps…
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    NGSA: Colder Winter + Lower Production = Higher NatGas Prices

    ngsaLast winter was pretty unusual by everyone’s standards. It was much warmer and less snowy than normal in the northeast, and natural gas production/levels remained high over the course of the winter. It meant that the price of natural gas stayed in the basement during the time of year when it normally at least makes it to the first floor. What about this year? MDN recently reported that it’s going to be colder and snowier than average in the northeast this year (see AccuWeather Winter Forecast: “Frequent Snow” Will Blast Northeast). The Natural Gas Supply Association (NGSA) issued its 16th annual Winter Outlook assessment of the wholesale natural gas market yesterday (full copy below). What do they say? NGSA affirms the AccuWeather forecast saying they expect temps to be 12% colder this winter–increasing demand for natural gas and thus putting “upward pressure” on the price of natural gas…
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    Duke University Exposed for Scientific Grant Fraud

    fraudDuke University, as MDN has chronicled, has a long history of pumping out faux research that bashes fracking and fossil fuels, “research” that’s bought-and-paid-for by the Park Foundation, one of Duke’s major contributors (see What’s Missing in Latest Duke “Radioactive” Study? Real Science; Yet Another Duke University Study Smears the Marcellus Industry; Duke Hit Piece on Shale Water Usage from Same Park-Sponsored Prof; Duke U Study: Property Values Drop When Marcellus Drilling Begins; and Latest Case of Duke U Bought & Paid “Research” by Park Foundation). Higher education is a cesspool of such sponsored junk science. Now comes word that a whistleblower is accusing Duke of doctoring research data in a scheme to grab $200 million in grant money. While this particular instance does not appear to be connected to previous faux research that bashes the Marcellus Shale, we will point out is that there appears to be a climate (pun intended) of dishonest research occurring at Duke University. It always boils down to “follow the money”…
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