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    Seventy Seven Energy Hires Turnaround Expert, Hopes to Stay Afloat

    Seventy Seven Energy, an oilfield services company with major operations in the northeast, is the old Chesapeake Oilfield Operating division of Chesapeake–spun off into its own company on July 1, 2014. It’s very first quarterly income statement, issued in August 2014, was the first and last time the company actually cleared a profit (see Seventy Seven Energy’s 1st Quarterly Update: Revenue Down 6%). Since that time, quarter after quarter the company has lost money. One of the challenges faced by Seventy Seven is that its main customer was and continues to be Chesapeake Energy. As of the third quarter 2015, Chesapeake provided Seventy Seven with 58% of its revenue, down from a previous 64% (see Seventy Seven Energy 3Q15: Still Losing Money, But Not as Much). As we said at the time, “You can’t stay in business long with multi-million dollar losses quarter after quarter.” Indeed. Seventy Seven announced yesterday they’ve retained the services of Lazard Freres–an international financial advisory and asset management firm. One of Lazard’s talents is in helping companies “restructure” and/or find a buyer. Here’s what Seventy Seven said yesterday…
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    Severance Tax Not a Panacea After All – Down 50%+ in 2015

    There’s been a lot of talk over the past 5+ years in Pennsylvania that the state needs a severance tax. We’ve heard the repeated drumbeat that “eeeevvvvery other oil and gas state has a severance tax and we need one too.” A severance tax would, according to sticky finger Democrats and teachers unions, instantly solve funding shortfalls for education. Bam–solved. It would also fund a variety of “worthy” programs that the beneficent politicians in Harrisburg salivate to fund. A severance tax might even be the cure for cancer–who knows? Just one teeny, tiny problem. With the collapse of prices for oil and gas, and the resulting collapse in drilling, all of those “other states” with a severance tax are now scrambling to make up the difference in the shortfall they face in their own budgets. Turns out a severance tax isn’t a panacea after all. It also turns out an impact fee (PA’s equivalent of a severance tax), while sure to go down, will go down a lot less than a severance tax would. To our PA friends: Are you still happy you traded Tom Corbett, who was smart enough to create the impact fee, for the inept Tom Wolf who’s chasing a St. Elmo’s Fire severance tax? Here’s a look at the rapid fall of severance taxes in key oil and gas states in 2015, by the experts at the U.S. Energy Information Administration…
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    OH Releases Another 1,850 Geophysical Well Logs

    Pssst. Hey buddy. Wanna buy some more well logs? The Ohio Dept. of Natural Resources (ODNR) has just published another 1,850 newly scanned geophysical logs for oil and gas wells in the Buckeye State. Last summer they released 3,300 new well logs (see OH Releases Another 3,300 Geophysical Wells Logs). What’s a well log and why would you want one?…
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    EIA’s STEO Predicts NatGas Price Constant This Year, Up Next Year

    Yesterday the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released their monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) report. It contains some interesting predictions. Among them: EIA predicts the average Henry Hub price for natural gas in 2016, when the year is completed, will end up being $2.65 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). The average price for 2015 at the Henry Hub was $2.63/MMBtu–so the EIA believes this year will be virtually unchanged from last year, when the final chapter is written. The EIA goes on to predict the average HH price in 2017 will be $3.22/MMBtu. Another interesting prediction in this month’s STEO: EIA says natural gas’ share of the electric generation pie will actually fall–with natgas generating 33% of all electricity in 2015 to 31% in 2017. Why? More renewable sources coming online…
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    How Environmentalist Radicals Ruined Obama’s Clean Power Plan

    In an excellent commentary article posted by the Cato Institute, a public policy research organization and “think tank,” the authors explain how President Obama’s so-called Clean Power Plan (CPP) was co-opted by radical environmentalists. Obama’s original CPP had a starring role for natural gas–the single biggest reason why the U.S. has reduced its carbon emissions over the past decade. But then the crazies got involved and Obama, bowing to pressure from the far left, threw natural gas under the bus in the final CPP. Here’s how the Cato experts explain it…
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    The Smartest Man in the Oil (& Gas) Patch: Rusty Braziel

    In 2015 MDN editor Jim Willis had the pleasure of sitting in on a one-day “State of the Energy Markets” presentation by RBN Energy, held in New York City. RBN, for those who don’t know, was founded by the former co-founder of Bentek Energy, Rusty Braziel. Rusty is a legend in the industry. He was there presenting, along with a few other seasoned pros that work for him at RBN. Great session. Jim learned a lot about the energy markets and how they work. And why they work the way they do. Rusty was a guest on Jim Cramer’s Mad Money program (on CNBC) last Friday. We have the video below. Jimmy Cramer calls Rusty “the smartest man on the oil patch” and the only person he consults with when it comes to the price of oil and gas and what’s happening. It’s high praise coming from Cramer. And well deserved. If you want to know why the price of oil (and gas) is doing what it’s doing, give this a watch and read…
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    Debate Rages: How Many Shale Drillers will go Bankrupt?

    Fadel Gheit, senior oil and gas analyst at Oppenheimer & Co., speculated on CNBC on Monday that half of all U.S. shale oil producers could go bankrupt before the price of oil reaches equilibrium. For Gheit, equilibrium price will be somewhere around $60-$70 per barrel. But, he says, it will take a few years to get there. His thesis is that in the meantime oil and gas companies are spending money out the wazoo and cannot sustain it and a good many of them (the smaller ones anyway) will go under. We compare his comments (below) with what Rusty Braziel recently said to Jim Cramer…
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  • Marcellus & Utica Shale Story Links: Wed, Jan 13, 2016

    The “best of the rest” – stories that caught MDN’s eye that you may be interested in reading. In today’s lineup: Gas downturn beats up Appalachian oilfield services companies; OH natgas prices for consumers drop 40%; 3 new drilling permits in OH; rig counts fall sharply in PA; how shale helps family farms; surveying with/without permission; Henry Hub price to collapse below $2; what’s next for Chesapeake?; the “bottom of the barrel” club; U.S. fighting for oil dominance; Saudis claim victory in oil war; and more!
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    EIA Jan DPR: Marcellus Production Way Down Again, Utica Up

    EIAYesterday our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite report, the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The January 2016 report shows what the EIA predicts oil and natural gas production will be in February from the seven largest commercial shale plays in the U.S. What does the report (full copy below) show? The biggest drop in production will once again be the biggest natgas producer in the country–the Mighty Marcellus. The EIA predicts the Marcellus will produce 15.222 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in February, vs. 15.447 Bcf/d in January, a decrease of 225 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). Meanwhile the Utica Shale will continue to show an INCREASE in production month over month–from 3.206 Bcf/d in January to 3.249 Bcf/d in February, a 43 MMcf/d increase month over month. The Utica, for a second month in a row, shows the largest increase in natgas production of all seven plays covered in the DPR. Overall the DPR shows that oil production month over month will decrease in February, the seventh month in a row, and natural gas will decrease for the eighth month in a row…
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    Natural Gas and Electricity in U.S. Joined at the Hip

    Increasingly natural gas and electricity production in the U.S. are “joined at the hip.” What do we mean by that? In 2015 more electricity was generated from natural gas-fired generators than from coal-fired generators in the months of April, July, August, September, and October (data for November and December not yet available). Wholesale electricity prices at major trading hubs, on a monthly average basis for on-peak hours, were down 27%-37% across the nation in 2015 compared with 2014–driven largely by lower natural gas prices. It’s not a stretch to declare that natural gas has replaced coal as the #1 energy source for creating electricity. That’s what we mean by nagas and electricity being joined at the hip. Our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), provides some context…
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    Which Marcellus/Utica Drillers are Part of the “Thousand Club”?

    It’s difficult to compare apples with apples when it comes to evaluating how productive, or profitable, a hydrocarbon-producing well is. We typically think of wells as “oil wells” or “natural gas wells” or perhaps “wet gas (NGL) wells.” While there are some wells that produce almost all natgas or almost all oil, etc., most wells produce multiple hydrocarbons. Oil wells in the Permian Basin or Eagle Ford Shale (in TX) produce natural gas along with the oil coming out of the well. Many Marcellus and Utica wells in southwestern PA and eastern OH produce very profitable quantities of natural gas liquids, a mish mash of ethane, propane, butane, isobutane, and pentane. And don’t forget condensate (natural gasoline). So how do you compare the relative output/profitability/production for different “types” of wells? One way is to convert all of those hydrocarbons into one hydrocarbon–oil. Specifically, barrels of oil. Once you convert all hydrocarbons into barrels of oil, you have a way to compare apples to apples–comparing wells located in the same shale play or comparing wells from one play with wells from another. Recently the sharp analysts at investment firm Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. ran the numbers to convert and compare wells across different plays. They issued a report showing wells that belong to the “Thousand Club”–wells producing at least 1,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Where are the most such wells located? The Eagle Ford Shale, the Bakken Shale, and yes, the Marcellus and Utica Shale. Which drillers are in the club?…
    Read More “Which Marcellus/Utica Drillers are Part of the “Thousand Club”?”

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    A Closer Look at GTL Technologies, Benefits for Marcellus

    MDN has written, many times, about companies planning or building gas-to-liquids (GTL) plants. Such plants convert natural gas into other hydrocarbon-based products–like gasoline and diesel fuel. As you can imagine there’s some sophisticated chemistry used in order to make it happen. The process was originally pioneered in Germany in the 1920s and (yes) was used by the Nazis to convert coal to diesel. That method is the most well-known and is called Fischer-Tropsch (FT). There are, however, other methods that have been pioneered since that time. A recent entrant in GTL technology is a process called STG+, created by the company Primus Green Energy, based in New Jersey. Primus CEO Sam Golan, writing for the Marcellus.com website, makes a product pitch for his tech that many in the Marcellus/Utica region could benefit from STG+. One of the primary selling points is that STG+ can be used, profitably, in areas where there are low volumes of stranded natural gas. We’re not interested in giving Primus a free product pitch, but we did find Golan’s description of the various technologies used in GTL, including their own STG+, to be interesting and helpful for our own understanding of how GTL works. We thought you might find it interesting too…
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    Historic Average Price of Oil is $30/Barrel – Who Knew?

    Here’s a bombshell: Did you know that throughout its existence as an energy source that oil has sold at an average of $30 per barrel, adjusted for inflation? There have been a few periods of price spikes, but overall, on average, oil has always sold for around $30/barrel. No, we didn’t know that either. But that’s the assertion of Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research Inc. He’s been an economist/researcher in the oil industry for nearly 40 years, so he should know. We often highlight articles by Lynch in our daily “best of the rest” listing of stories you may be interested in reading. Our favorite Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reporter, Anya Litvak, recently spoke to Lynch. Here’s a portion of that enlightening interview…
    Read More “Historic Average Price of Oil is $30/Barrel – Who Knew?”

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    Pipelines – The Safest Form of Transportation in Existence

    Lately we’ve repeatedly seen references in articles about pipelines, especially those planned for New England, that make an implied threat that a pipeline located near a home or business is a threat. In some cases antis throw around reckless language like pipelines are the equivalent of unexploded bombs–just waiting to explode. It is one of the scare tactics used to smear what is, hands down, the safest form of transportation in existence. In fact, a recent announcement from the American Petroleum Institute, in commenting on proposed new rules and regulations for pipelines coming from the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration’s (PHMSA), points out that, “more than 199,000 miles of liquid pipelines [in the U.S.] transport about 16 billion barrels of crude oil and petroleum products per year at a safety rate of 99.999 percent.” That’s for liquids in pipelines. For gas pipelines it’s the same. Can you imagine any form of transportation with a safety rate of 99.999%? That’s like one or two accidents per year–statistically zero. And yet antis continue to create a bogyman of pipeline problems where none exist…
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    Brutal Honesty from OOGA: ‘No Way to Sugar Coat’ the Bad News

    In December we highlighted comments by Shawn Bennett, executive vice president of the Ohio Oil and Gas Association (OOGA), in which he predicts 2016 for Ohio’s oil and gas drillers won’t be pretty (see OOGA Tells Ohio to “Sit Tight” – 2016 Won’t be Pretty). Must be Bennett is on a truth-telling tour. Last week he addressed the first Guernsey Energy Coalition meeting of the year last week in Cambridge, OH. He told the audience he wasn’t going to sugar coat the bad news, and he didn’t…
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    Is Eclipse’s Move to Curtail Prod. a Preview of Things to Come?

    Last week Eclipse Resources, a smaller but important Marcellus/Utica driller with its headquarters in State College, PA, announced it would drill a single well in 2016 and was embarking on a program of choking back production–until prices go back up (see Eclipse Resources Drilling 1 Well in 2016, Restricting Production). That move caught the attention of analysts at investment firm Tudor Pickering Holt & Co. They issued a note saying Eclipse’s move may well be a preview of things to come in the Marcellus/Utica…
    Read More “Is Eclipse’s Move to Curtail Prod. a Preview of Things to Come?”