Antero’s Utica Numbers Mostly Peaches & Cream, Except Condensate
Last week MDN told you about the steep increase in proved and unproved reserves for Antero Resources–particularly in the Utica Shale (see Antero 2013: 124 Marcellus/Utica Wells Drilled, Reserves Skyrocket). While the news for Antero has been fabulous over the past year or more (including a very successful IPO last year), there is one bit of not-so-good news for the company. The eagle eye of energy analyst Richard Zeits noticed that one metric for Antero went down, not up–the EUR numbers for Utica condensate. EUR is, of course, Estimated Ultimate Recovery–the amount of gas (or in this case condensate or “natural gasoline”) that will ultimately be recovered from their wells.
In his inimitable style, Zeits analyzes the recent announcement by Antero, providing us with a balanced perspective on this fast-growing Marcellus/Utica driller and the dip in their EUR numbers for condensate:
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The executives at Chesapeake are channeling the boastful ghost of Aubrey McClendon. Yesterday Chesapeake released its 2014 Outlook and capital program. The big news is they will spend 20% less on drilling and related activities this year. The Utica Shale remains one of the most important plays in their portfolio. Apparently in an attempt to dress up the 20% decrease in spending as a good thing, unnamed Chesapeake executives made this boast: “Chesapeake said it expects to operate seven to nine drilling rigs in its Utica shale properties this year, saying that is the equivalent of a 20-rig operation by competitors.” Which made us laugh out loud. “Hey, our 7-9 rigs are worth 20 of anybody else’s.” OK. Must be nice to have an inside track on how to repeal the laws of physics over at Chessy HQ. Maybe they should patent it! Anywho…