Ukraine Deal to Import LNG from Quebec – Which Banned All O&G Wells
We spotted news that the country of Ukraine, under attack by Russia, has cut a deal (a memorandum of understanding) with Canada’s Symbio Infrastructure to import LNG and green hydrogen. Symbio is building a 10.5 million mt/year LNG export facility in Quebec and will export the LNG and H2 from there. Wait just a minute…Quebec (the province) recently passed a new law outlawing all oil and natural gas production throughout the province (see Quebec Pulls Trigger & Commits Energy Suicide – Bans All O&G Prod.). So where, exactly, will Symbio get the gas it needs to liquefy and then float on ships out the St. Lawrence River to the Atlantic Ocean and over to Europe?
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The second-largest LNG export terminal in the U.S., Freeport LNG located near Galveston, Texas, experienced an explosion and fire yesterday. Thankfully nobody was injured and it did not take long to extinguish the fire (see video below). However, the incident has, according to Freeport officials, taken the plant offline for “at least three weeks.” Freeport liquefies and exports approximately 2 Bcf (billion cubic feet) each and every day. In May the U.S. liquefied and exported 11.6 Bcf/d, ergo the Freeport outage takes ~17% of our exports offline. That news sent the Henry Hub NYMEX futures price plunging by 59 cents. At least one, possibly more Marcellus/Utica drillers sell molecules to the Freeport facility.
EQT CEO Toby Rice is and has been on a mission–to spread the gospel of LNG (see 
The number-crunchers at our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, published their analysis of LNG exports for the first four months of 2022. Unsurprisingly, because of the Ukraine war, EIA found that 74% of the LNG exported from the U.S. during that time has gone to Europe. It’s pretty much a reversal of last year when 34% of our LNG went to Europe. Last year most of our LNG went to Asia–China and South Korea. The percentages of how much U.S. LNG goes to Europe and how much goes to Asia have changed places over the past year.
Broadcasting its intent to expand aggressively in the LNG export market, Chesapeake Energy is advertising to hire a liquefied natural gas (LNG) advisor. The LinkedIn ad shows that so far 41 people have applied. The ad opens by saying the company is looking for “a lead for new business opportunities for Chesapeake for liquified natural gas (LNG) and provides guidance on LNG Marketing activities in order to optimize the company’s revenue.” And hey, good news: The job can be 100% remote!
Energy Transfer (ET) has signed a fifth customer to accept shipments of LNG produced by ET’s yet-to-be-constructed LNG export facility in Lake Charles, Louisiana, located on the Calcasieu ship channel. Yesterday (yes, on a Sunday), ET issued a press release to announce a 25-year deal with China Gas to purchase 0.7 million tonnes (MT) of LNG per year on a free-on-board (FOB) basis. Added with the other deals, ET has now pre-sold 5.8 MT per year of the site’s planned capacity to produce 16.45 MT per year, meaning 35% of the capacity is now spoken for. More than a third of the way there!
According to Reuters analyst John Kemp, if the U.S. wants to keep growing its LNG exports, the amount of natural gas we produce will also have to grow. If natgas production falls behind, as it is now, prices will continue to skyrocket. LNG exports were up an astonishing 87% for the first three months of this year compared with 2019 (three years ago). Domestic consumption of natgas is pretty much the same year after year. The thing increasing year after year is exports–both LNG and pipeline exports to Mexico.
We’ve talked plenty about the big LNG export facilities scattered mostly along the Gulf Coast that export a fair amount of Marcellus/Utica molecules (and two LNG export sites situated on the East Coast, both of which export 100% M-U molecules). Every now and again we talk about some of the smaller LNG export operations, including Eagle LNG in Florida, which uses at least some M-U molecules. The experts at RBN Energy have a new post exploring “small-scale” LNG producers, including Eagle and three other companies that own and operate a number of small facilities. As with Eagle, these smaller players are potential customers for M-U molecules.
Despite screaming and howling at the moon by leftist Big Green groups, including the Sierra Club and Public Citizen, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) last week issued orders allowing two huge new LNG export facilities extra time to complete building those projects. On May 6, FERC issued a 31-month time extension to Cheniere Energy to build its third train (“Stage 3”) project at the existing Corpus Christi Liquefaction facility. FERC issued a three-year time extension to Energy Transfer’s Lake Charles LNG project. Both facilities have the potential to be fed, in part, by Marcellus/Utica molecules.
An interesting development for an LNG export project in Canada we’ve tracked for years. Bear Head Energy, Inc., the current owner of Bear Head LNG in Nova Scotia, is being sold to Houston-based Buckeye Partners for an undisclosed sum. Buckeye is a portfolio company of, wholly owned by, IFM Global Infrastructure Fund (based in Australia). The former owner of the Bear Head LNG project, LNG Limited, was also based in Australia before it went belly up. Buckeye is a serious company with serious assets in the U.S. and has declared its intent to develop the fully-permitted Bear Head project forthwith. Maybe Canada’s East Coast will get an LNG export facility after all!
LNG seems to be the word on everyone’s lips these days–everyone in the oil and gas space, that is. Two weeks ago TC Energy (formerly TransCanada), a huge midstream/pipeline company, issued its first quarter update and held a conference call with analysts. We’re just now learning about some of the chatter coming from that update–very interesting chatter. LNG was a hot topic–flowing more molecules, especially Marcellus/Utica molecules–to LNG export facilities along the Gulf Coast. TC Energy CEO Francois Poirier said during a conference call that roughly one-quarter (25%) of all the molecules that flow to U.S. LNG export facilities get to those facilities by traveling through TC’s pipelines.
Energy Transfer, one of the biggest pipeline and midstream companies in the U.S., issued its quarterly update yesterday. Of particular interest to us was the honorable mention the Mariner Easter (ME) project received. Construction of the final phase of the Mariner East project was completed in 1Q22, bringing Energy Transfer’s total NGL capacity on the Mariner East pipeline system to more than 365,000 barrels per day, including ethane. NGLs, including those flowing through the ME system, along with LNG, were the two dominant themes running through yesterday’s update.