Research

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    Moody’s Oil & Gas Liquidity Stress Index Hits New Worst Level

    In March Moody’s Oil & Gas Liquidity Stress Index, a measure of the liquidity health of oil and gas companies, hit a worst-ever high of 27.2% (see Moody’s Oil & Gas Liquidity Stress Index Hits Worst-ever Level). A month later and the same index has topped the previous bad record–now at 31.6%. Translation: there are a record number of energy companies stretched to the limit, ready to run dry in the cash department. If prices don’t turn around soon, some (many?) of these companies will go under…
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    Top 10 Largest Publicly Traded Oil & Gas Companies in the World

    No doubt about it–oil and gas are joined at the hip. Bosom buddies. Blood brothers. When you talk about the top oil companies in the world, you’re also talking about the top natural gas companies. It’s a rare oil borehole that also doesn’t produce “associated” natgas–either a little or a lot. Earlier this week the Forbes magazine website published a list of the Top 25 publicly traded oil companies in the world. Interesting factoid: 7 of the top 25 publicly traded oil companies are headquartered in the U.S. Another factoid: Even though the price for oil decreased by more than 50% over the past year, production of oil in the U.S. went up nearly 11%–thanks to shale. Below we’ve grabbed some of the commentary from the Forbes article, along with the Top 10 (of the Top 25) list of the largest oil companies in the world…
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    Philly Chamber Publishes Roadmap to Turn Region into “Energy Hub”

    Yesterday a large group of business, labor and political leaders gathered in Philadelphia to hear about plans to turn Philly into an “energy hub” with more pipelines delivering natural gas and natural gas liquids to the region. Chemical plants and manufacturers would spring up to use the gas and gas liquids–creating a huge economic impact for the region. According to press reports there were 200 or more gathered for the unveiling of a new report from the Greater Philadelphia Chamber of Commerce’s Greater Philadelphia Energy Action Team (GPEAT). The report is titled, “A Pipeline for Growth, Fueling Economic Revitalization with Marcellus and Utica Shale Gas” (full copy embedded below). Meanwhile, 20-30 silly anti-drillers (who don’t have lives apart from protesting) stood outside and tried their darnedest to shout and disrupt the meeting. How did they react inside? By making fun and laughing at them! Philip Rinaldi, GPEAT Chair and President/CEO of Philadelphia Energy Solutions said this to the crowd as he took the stage: “I’m inclined to ask for a brief moment of silence to hear the protesters a little better.” Love it! You had to have a ticket into the private event–and the antis couldn’t score any tickets to disrupt the event–something they bitterly complained about. We say it’s about time someone pushed back against these disorderly ne’er do wells. Here’s how it went down inside the event, a place the antis couldn’t go…
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    Marcellus King in PA – Which Other Layers are Actively Drilled?

    Over the past few years MDN has highlighted and brought to your attention an excellent data service called MarcellusGas.org. The service contains data on every Marcellus (and other layer) wells drilled in Pennsylvania. It also covers waste disposal and injection wells. And it posts detailed statistics–down to the individual well level–including production numbers. It’s a really great service that only charges $20 per year for a membership. We highly recommend a membership if you’re into data and numbers. Note: We have no vested interest in the service. We’ve never even received a simple “thank you” for mentioning it and no doubt driving a number of subscriptions their way. No matter. We promote it because it’s a great service. Recently MarcellusGas sent an email to members (yes, we pay our $20/year like everyone else) to highlight how many wells have been permitted, and actually drilled–by rock layer. As you can imagine the Marcellus is king, head and shoulders above all the rest, with 9,359 actively producing wells and another 7,125 wells permitted (for a total of 16,484 Marcellus wells). What caught our eye is the numbers for the other layers. You might guess the second highest number of producing wells would be from the Utica Shale layer–but you would be wrong…
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    DOE Publishes First Annual Energy Employment Report

    Last week the U.S. Dept. of Energy issued its first-ever annual Energy and Employment Report (full copy below). The purpose is to show how many people work in the energy industry, and how the makeup of what they do is changing. It’s an interesting report. For example, the report says some 3.64 million people work in “traditional” energy industries, which includes producing, transmission, transporting and storing energy. Another 1.9 million people work either full or part-time in the energy efficiency industry. Adding the two together we get 5.54 million people working in “energy.” Of that number, roughly two-thirds work in tradition energy production and one-third work in figuring out ways to reduce the amount of energy we use…
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    EIA Report: Trends in U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Upstream Costs

    Our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, has just published a new report detailing trends and costs in upstream (i.e. drilling) for U.S. oil and natural gas. The report is titled “Trends in U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Upstream Costs” (full copy below). It is a GREAT report. Among some of the highlights: The average well drilling and completion costs in five onshore areas in 2015 were between 25% and 30% below their 2012 level–when costs per well were at their highest point over the past decade. Based on expectations of continuing oversupply of global oil in 2016, the report predicts a continued downward trajectory in costs as drilling activity declines. For example, the report expects rig rates to fall by 5%-10% in 2016 with increases of 5% in 2017 and 2018. The report also expects additional efficiencies in drilling rates, lateral lengths, proppant use, multi-well pads, and number of stages that will further drive down costs measured in terms of dollars per barrel of oil-equivalent ($/boe) by 7%-22% over this period. Below is a summary of the report, followed by a full copy of the report. Take time to read it!…
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    Which Energy Source Added the Most Electric Generation in 2015?

    Question: Which power source added the most megawatts of electric generating capacity in 2015? If you answered, “Natural Gas!”, you would be wrong. The #1 source of new electric generation last year was wind. The #2 source last year was natural gas. And the #3 source of new electric power last year was solar. Important distinction: This is new capacity added. If you look at how much electricity is today produced by each source, natural gas is #1 at around 33%, coal is #2 at around 32%. Down at the bottom are sources like wind, which produces around 5% of our total electricity needs, and solar producing about 1%. So while the headlines may read that wind was #1 in new electric capacity last year, put into context, it’s a thimbleful compared to natural gas and coal–evil fossil fuels. Which is why it’s folly to think that so-called renewables will replace fossil fuels within the next two generations. Ain’t gonna happen. Here’s the EIA’s report on new electric capacity coming online in 2015…
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    US NatGas Production Hits Record High in February – 73.3 Bcf/d

    Something historic has happened. Natural gas production in the lower 48 states hit the highest-ever production levels. Which may seem strange since the U.S. Energy Information Administration has been telling us month after month about decreases in natgas production in the seven major shale plays they track. Bentek Energy, the analytics reporting unit of Platts, closely tracks production and has been since 2005. When you include all sources of natgas production (offshore, conventional onshore, etc.), the U.S. hit a record high in February of 73.3 billion cubic feet per day of production. February usually sees a decrease in production–so why the increase this year? The Marcellus/Utica is the big reason. But the reason behind the reason is that because the winter months were warmer than usual, it led to less “freeze-offs” or wells freezing up and stopping production due to cold temps. With fewer freeze-offs, more gas flowed, and a new record was hit…
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    OOGA’s DeBrosse Report: 2015 Utica Continues to Wow

    Each year the 3,200-member Ohio Oil and Gas Association (OOGA) issue the DeBrosse Memorial Report (full copy below). The report is a high level look at where (and how much) drilling there has been in the state–and what they’re finding (methane, oil, NGLs). The latest report, recounting 2015, was released yesterday at the OOGA Annual Winter Meeting in Columbus. Once again it was a record-breaking year for Ohio–and the Utica Shale is the reason why…
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    FERC Report: Northeast Pipeline Shortage Won’t Resolve Until 2019

    The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) yesterday released its 2015 State of the Markets Report (see full copy below). Among the findings in FERC’s view of the marketplace: Most places across the country have seen a bump up in pipelines over the past 10 years, relieving constrained natural gas transportation. Except for the Marcellus/Utica region. In our neck of the woods lack of pipelines continues to mean a surplus–high inventories and low prices. Is there any hope in sight? Yes, IF the pipelines get approved and built, FERC says by 2019 our gas should be hitting new markets with a resulting boost to the price. Also interesting is FERC’s reluctance to embrace and endorse the prediction made by the U.S. Energy Information Administration just last week that in 2016 natural gas will surpass coal as the #1 source fuel to generate electricity in the U.S. (see NatGas is Killing Coal in Electric Generation Market – 2015 is Proof). FERC very definitely backed away from that prediction in their report. Hmmm…
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    NatGas is Killing Coal in Electric Generation Market – 2015 is Proof

    The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), our favorite government agency, recently made an earth-shattering prediction. The EIA predicts that in 2016 natural gas will produce 33.4% of all electricity produced in the U.S., and coal will produce 32%. That is the first time, ever, that natgas will produce more electricity than coal for the entire year. There have been months when natgas surpassed coal in electric production, but starting this year natgas will dethrone king coal. And it’s no wonder. In 2015 some 80% of all retired electric plants were coal plants–mostly because of Obama’s war on coal via the EPA with strict new air standards that forced many older plants to close. However, the question is, will it continue? Natgas prices are really low right now. If those prices begin to rise again, coal may come roaring back…
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    Somber Milestone – US Rig Count Hits Lowest Level in 68 Years

    Baker Hughes released their weekly rig count numbers last Friday (see full report below). We typically don’t report on the weekly ups and downs of rig counts, preferring to check in on a monthly basis to get an idea of the overall trend. But last week’s weekly report was historic, which is why we’re commenting on it now. Baker Hughes began tabulating weekly rig counts 68 years ago. The number of working rigs in the United States last Friday hit 480–the lowest number on record since Baker Hughes began keeping records. While the Marcellus count went up by 3 last week, right now there are only 19 rigs operating in Pennsylvania–less than before the Marcellus boom began and down from the high water mark of 114 rigs operating in 2012. When rigs are operating, it means jobs and economic stimulus for a community and region. It also means landowners get royalties, and that money gets invested and/or spent in a community. The converse is also true: no rig activity, fewer jobs and economic impact. Therefore the number of rigs operating is always of keen interest…
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    Rice U Study: NatGas Used in Power Generation Lowers Global Warming

    We thought maybe the International Journal of Global Warming was a comic book, er, a, “graphic novel” as they’re called these days. But no! It’s a real, literal academic journal, published to amuse those who believe in unicorns and other fairy tales. But let’s not depart from the subject at hand. A new study just published says using natural gas to power electric generating plants is a good thing for global warming (pay attention Tony Ingraffea and Robert Howarth). Researchers from Duke University say using natgas leads to less global warming, not more–as long as that old villain fugitive methane doesn’t escape into the atmosphere when drillers extract natgas from the ground. What about using natgas to power trains, plains and automobiles? Nah, not so much of a benefit for Mom Earth, according to the authors…
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    EIA March DPR: Marcellus Produces More than EIA Expected

    EIAYesterday our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report, the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The March 2016 report shows what the EIA predicts oil and natural gas production will be in April from the seven largest commercial shale plays in the U.S. What does the report (full copy below) show? Yes, natural gas production is down again, including the Marcellus. But in a rare move, the EIA had to revise its Marcellus production data because the play is producing more than the smart folks at EIA figured…
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    Rig Counts for World, US & Marcellus/Utica Crash in February

    Just when you thought the rig count couldn’t possibly get any worse–it does. Baker Hughes released their average rig count data for February yesterday–and it’s not a pretty picture. Worldwide the total number of active rigs in February was 1,018, down 27 from the 1,045 counted in January. But in the U.S., the rig count was 532, down 122 from the 654 counted in January 2016. That’s a huge 19% in a single month. The Marcellus/Utica region was similarly affected. It used to be when rig counts were crashing everywhere else, they held firm or slightly declined in the northeast. No more. In February the Marcellus/Utica lost another 10 rigs, from 52 in January to 42 in February–or a 19% decrease in a single month. Ouch. Below are the full details and charts that tell the story…
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    NOAA Data Shows No Global Warming for Last 58 Years

    From time to time we revisit the issue of man-made global warming because so much (really all of) the opposition to fossil fuels, including clean-burning natural gas, comes from a misguided belief that mankind is catastrophically causing the earth to heat up by burning fossil fuels, contributing large amounts of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. It’s a nice story. It makes libs feel good about themselves. But the problem is, it’s just not true. No matter how many times we say “it’s not true!” most folks pause and think, “All of those scientists can’t be wrong, can they?” The problem is, belief in global warming is not universal–not anywhere near it. Those who do believe it are vocal, while those who would rather let real science do the talking, don’t say anything for fear of being mocked and ridiculed. It’s time to stop being afraid. We have real science on our side. We’ve previously pointed out that global warming hasn’t been happening for nearly 20 years (see Inconvenient Global Warming Fact: Avg Temp Hasn’t Risen in 18 Yrs). You might think the global warming idea has only been around for the last 20-30 years. You would be wrong. Mankind has been obsessed with both global warming and cooling for 100 years (see Global Warming Meme has Been Around Nearly 100 Years). There have been a few brave souls who have stood up to the climate changer bullies, including the co-founder of Greenpeace (see Greenpeace Co-Founder Says Mankind Doesn’t Cause Global Warming). One of the biggest frauds in the global warming debate has been the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). They cherry-pick and doctor their own data in an attempt to prove global warming exists. But using NOAA’s own data, scientists have found that the earth HAS NOT BEEN WARMING FOR 58 YEARS!…
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