EIA Dec Drilling Rpt: Marcellus Production Continues Rocket Ride
Yesterday MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. For the past two reports, estimating production for November and December, Marcellus natgas has increased. The trend continues in this latest report, which forecasts production for the coming month of January. The October report predicted Marcellus production would increase in November by 73 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). The November report predicted Marcellus production would increase in December by 130 MMcf/d. The current December report predicts Marcellus production will go up by another 160 MMcf/d in January. Yikes! Another trend observed: four of the seven shale plays will increase production in January, one (the Utica) will produce about the same in January, and only two will produce less gas in January than they did in December. Translation: shale gas production is once again on the rise–which breaks a five month record of month over month declines across all seven plays. It seems we’ve turned a corner…
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As MDN alerted you in October, the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) announced they would auction 33 parcels in Ohio’s Wayne National Forest (WNF) to allow shale fracking (see
One of the many companies in the Marcellus industry targeted by Pennsylvania’s former Attorney General, Kathleen Kane, for extinction was Minuteman Environmental Services, a PA company that served the shale industry with several different businesses (see
Extreme Plastics Plus (EPP) has been manufacturing and installing well pad liners since 2007. Pad liners protect the ground from accidental spills of frack wastewater and chemicals used during the drilling process. Located in Fairmont, WV, EPP’s customers are in the Marcellus and Utica Shale region. In order to expand, EPP raised an undisclosed amount of investment money from Hastings Equity Partners in 2013 (see
FirstEnergy, based in Akron, OH, is one of the nation’s largest investor-owned electric systems, serving customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland and New York. FirstEnergy owns a variety of regulated and non-regulated power generation plants. In November the company announced it wants to sell six power generating plants in PA, four of them natural gas-fired plants (see
When it comes to gas-to-liquids (GTL), MDN has observed (as we stated in a story yesterday, see
Global research firm Wood Mackenzie, a trusted source of commercial intelligence for the world’s natural resources sector, recently published a new study that predicts global oil and gas exploration and production (i.e. drilling) in 2017 is going to bounce back–in a pretty big way. E&P companies in North America are forecast to boost their capital expenditures in 2017 by 24.5%–the first increase since 2014. Perhaps some independent verification of that prediction has just been provided by EQT. As we note in a related story today, EQT is boosting their capex next year to $1.5 billion–a 50% increase (see EQT 2017 Forecast: Drilling 119 Marcellus, 81 UD, 7 Utica Wells). However, the trend in recent months will continue toward “a smaller, more efficient industry.” In other words, we won’t see the roaring days of a few years ago, but at least we’ll see an uptick in new drilling in the coming year. Here’s what the brains at Wood Mackenzie predict will happen in the next 12 months…
Every now and again it’s fun to read Peak Oil people and their wild theories that oil will run out any year now. Such theories have been exposed as complete bunkum, mainly because those crusty old guys (and gals) in the U.S. oil patch keep figuring out how to do new things to extract oil, at cheaper prices. Technology gets better, procedures get better, we do more with less. And we produce more oil, year after year. But it’s still good to read those with a different viewpoint from time to time, just to keep us on our toes. Sometimes they even make some good points. That’s what we found in an article that posits the theory that shale oil really isn’t as good as it may appear. Why? According to this peak oil author, better technology now being used is not nearly as important as the technique currently employed called “high grading”–or targeting the sweetest of the sweet spots, which are far more productive than the run-of-the-mill drilling locations. The author maintains we’ll run out the best areas to drill soon, leaving us with less-than-optimal areas and therefore much higher costs. And then shale is toast. That’s the theory anyway…
The “best of the rest” – stories that caught MDN’s eye that you may be interested in reading. In today’s lineup: OPEC’s production cut won’t boost Marcellus shale output; SWPA Enviro Health Project exploits children to support fractivist cause; FERC denies Elba Island LNG re-hearing request from Sierra Clubbers; proppant demand on the rise; oil rig count spikes way up; Trump will resolve Dakota Access, Keystone XL pipeline delays in January; and more!
It’s happened, just as we predicted. Paid, out-of-state protesters have arrived in Ohio, as they did in North Dakota, with the intent to block plans to begin fracking on land in Wayne National Forest. The Bureau of Land Management will conduct an auction tomorrow for 1,600 acres of land in WNF (see
Little known fact: There is a Utica Shale layer in Canada–along the St. Lawrence River Valley–in the Province of Quebec. On and off over the years we’ve mentioned it, largely in connection with an ongoing moratorium on shale drilling in Quebec (
Some holdout landowners in Medina County, OH continue to oppose the coming NEXUS Pipeline, even after their suggested alternative routes (around their county) have been rejected by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). A few holdouts are vowing to continue the fight “until all of our resources and options are exhausted,” which may be very soon. Earlier this month FERC issued a positive Final Environmental Impact Statement (see
Although shale drilling slowed over the past 18 months or so, you wouldn’t know it by the amount of tax revenue the industry contributes in West Virginia counties located in the northern area of the state. Wetzel County will collect an estimated $24 million in tax revenue from shale drillers in 2016. Marshall County will take in $14.9 million. Ohio County will get $9 million and Doddridge County around $8.1 million. Tally it all up across the entire state, and the Marcellus industry will pay more than $134 million in property taxes for 2016…
Gas-to-Liquids (GTL) plants convert natural gas, a hydrocarbon, into other hydrocarbons, like diesel fuel, gasoline, solvents and waxes. An abundance of cheap natural gas in the Marcellus/Utica is one of the prime motivators for establishing GTL plants in the region. Although we’ve heard plenty of talk about such plants, we’ve only seen a few prototypes get built. There’s lots of talk, lots of smoke–but so far, no fire. Will that soon change? We spotted a story about a GTL plant that may locate in Somerset (Pulaski County), Kentucky. Which we find interesting since Kentucky hates new gas pipelines, yet wants to build a plant that will use gas coming from pipelines (see 