Coterra Develops New Method for Predicting NatGas & Oil Reserves
Coterra Energy (formerly Cabot Oil & Gas) remains one of our favorite Marcellus/Utica drillers. We personally know some of the great people who work there. We’ll never forget having a private tour of a drill site in Susquehanna County, PA by Coterra’s chief Marcellus driller, Buddy Wylie. During the tour, Buddy waxed eloquent on mud logging, showing us rock chips under a microscope. Seeing a drilling operation up close, understanding how wells are planned a year or more in advance, coordinating all of the logistics (when the sand needs to arrive, pipe inventory, trucks to move equipment, backhoes to get the pad ready, etc.) it dawned on us, this stuff really is rocket science! The smart folks at Coterra have done it again–more rocket science. This time they’ve developed a new method for predicting natural gas and oil reservoirs.
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If an upstream (drilling) company with a long-term pipeline contract files for bankruptcy, does that give the company the right to break its pipeline contract? A major shipper on the Rockies Express (REX) pipeline, Ultra Resources, filed for bankruptcy with the express plan to skip out on its obligations to REX (see 
In October 2020 Nick DeIuliis, President and CEO of CNX Resources Corporation, announced the forthcoming publication of a new book he authored (see 
Each quarter NGI (
We’re back to covering just a single week of new permits issued. The good news is that the PA DEP’s reporting site was still up and online over the past week, so we have numbers! In Pennsylvania, 11 new permits were issued last week, with Coterra Energy (formerly Cabot Oil & Gas) getting the lion’s share (nine permits), all of them in Susquehanna County on two well pads. Ohio issued seven new permits last week, with Gulfport Energy scoring four of the seven, all on the same pad. West Virginia issued just two new permits, one to Antero Resources and the other to Tug Hill Operating.
You might think that Toby Rice, son of Daniel Rice III who was, at one time (for over a decade), the single most successful and profitable mutual fund manager in the world, was born with a silver spoon in his mouth. You might think that everything was given to Toby Rice on a silver platter. You would be wrong. Prior to running the largest natural gas producer in the U.S., Toby Rice was, among other professions, a chimney sweep (cue the song from Mary Poppins, Chim Chim Cher-ee). He then swept floors for $9 an hour while he attended grad school to learn about fracking. Toby knows what it’s like to work (hard) for a living.
We’ve heard of “supermajors”–those six to seven integrated oil and gas companies that have a market capitalization of $100 billion or more (including ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and Total). We’ve heard of “majors”–integrated oil and gas companies defined as having a market capitalization of $10 billion to $100 billion. And we’ve heard of “independents”–smaller companies that focus just on drilling (not integrated, meaning no downstream and possibly no midstream operations). A Reuters article introduces to a new concept–mini-majors. Among that group is EQT Corporation.
The CERAWeek conference was held in Houston, Texas all of last week. We’re still analyzing important news from the event. The CEOs of major drillers and midstream companies were there, as were heads of government agencies (like Jennifer Granholm, Biden’s incompetent Secretary of Energy). For example, we spotted a report from a session where the heads of three drillers, Pioneer Natural Resources, ConocoPhillips, and Chesapeake Energy, shared their insights on what lies ahead for 2022 and 2023. The panel provided insight into how and why growth (new drilling, more production) is being limited in U.S. shale plays, including in the Marcellus/Utica.
The mighty BP (formerly British Petroleum) admits they were wrong in the company’s latest Annual Energy Outlook for 2022 (full copy below). In BP’s Energy Outlook for 2020, BP (wrongly) predicted the world had hit so-called “peak oil” demand for crude oil and other liquid fuels, topping out at around 100 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2019. Whoops. That was wrong. BP now says oil/liquids demand will rise to 101 million bpd by 2025 and stay there for another five years, to around 2030. As for natural gas, the LNG trade “grows strongly over the first 10 years of the outlook” and then tapers off. By 2050 LNG production, claims BP, will only be 10% higher than it was in 2019.
Ascent Resources, originally founded as American Energy Partners by gas legend Aubrey McClendon, is a privately-held company that focuses 100% on the Ohio Utica Shale. Ascent is Ohio’s largest natural gas producer and the 8th largest natural gas producer in the U.S. The company issued its fourth quarter and full-year 2021 update yesterday. The company averaged production of 2.03 billion cubic feet equivalent per day (Bcfe/d) during 4Q and 1.94 Bcfe/d for the full year. Nearly all of Ascent’s production (93%) was natural gas, while the rest was oil and NGLs. Ascent generated $54 million of free cash flow and $1.1 billion in profit during 4Q, but lost $806 million overall for the year based on bad hedging bets earlier in the year.
Yesterday MDN brought you news of a bold new plan by EQT CEO Toby Rice to “unleash” American LNG exports to not only help our friends in Europe, but also to reduce the amount of coal use across the world, thereby lowering coal-related emissions including carbon dioxide (see 
Bloomberg News (not the most reliable source) is reporting that HG Energy, a Marcellus/Utica driller headquartered in Parkersburg, West Virginia, is considering selling itself for $3+ billion. HG is a privately held company established on January 1, 2011 with backing from private equity firm Quantum Energy Partners. Where are the company’s assets located?
You have to hand it to the Rice boys, they sure know how to make an entrance and grab the spotlight. While attending the annual CERAWeek event in Houston yesterday, EQT CEO Toby Rice unveiled a plan to “unleash” American LNG, supplying Europe and the world with our LNG, which would displace coal, lower carbon dioxide emissions planetwide, and wean the world off the energy produced by despots like Russia and Iran. It is a bold plan with specifics.
Spanish-owed Repsol owns 214,000 net acres of leases in the Marcellus Shale, primarily located in northeastern Pennsylvania in Bradford, Susquehanna, and Tioga counties. Part of Repsol’s acreage number includes 43,000 acres recently purchased from Rockdale Marcellus (see