U.S. LNG Exports on Track for Another Record High in 2021
LNG (liquefied natural gas) exports are, without a doubt, one of the key current and future markets for Marcellus/Utica drillers. We simply have more gas than we can use. Why not share our abundant blessing with the rest of the world–at a price. We liked Donald Trump’s attitude–let’s *dominate* world energy supplies. Under Trump we did. Under Biden we won’t. The fact remains that right now, in 2021, exports of U.S. LNG will hit another all-time, record high–despite the best efforts of the Biden administration. This is great news for M-U drillers!
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One of our favorite Forbes contributors, Jude Clemente, has written an article detailing how LNG (liquefied natural gas) usage worldwide along with exports from the United States, have both come roaring back now that the pandemic is beginning to appear in the review mirror. There is a fantastic chart in the article (below) identifying the 12 biggest U.S. LNG importers by country. The number one importer may or may not surprise you: South Korea. We bet the number two importer will surprise you (it did us)…
How does this work in the real world? Gas and electric customers on Aquidneck Island (part of Rhode Island) ran out of natural gas leaving thousands without heat on the island for days during a frigid cold snap in 2019. Customers without heat subsequently launched a class action lawsuit. On Wednesday a judge ruled the lawsuit may continue. Yet RI legislators will not allow the utility, Narragansett Electric (formerly part of National Grid) to implement any permanent fixes (like a new pipeline) to prevent another outage from happening! And it will happen at some point. This is what passes for “justice” in Rhode Island.
Calling it “an extraordinary year for the global gas industry,” the International Gas Union (IGU) yesterday released its 12th annual World LNG Report–the world’s most comprehensive public source of information on key developments and trends in the LNG sector (full copy below). From huge drops in demand levels at the height of the pandemic lockdowns, through exceptional spikes when the winter deep freeze sent the world’s energy systems into crisis, the IGU says LNG, quite literally, delivered.
New Fortress Energy, which likes to build and own as much of the LNG supply chain as possible, built and finished an LNG import terminal in San Juan, Puerto Rico in early 2020. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) then dinged the company, asking for an explanation as to why they built it without FERC permission (see 
LNG (liquefied natural gas) exports are an important and growing market for Marcellus/Utica natural gas. Two LNG export facilities currently export 100% M-U molecules: Cove Point, Maryland, and Elba Island, Georgia. However, our molecules make their way via a network of pipelines to several Gulf Coast LNG export facilities too, including the largest LNG export facility in the U.S., Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass. But is there a cloud on the horizon that threatens even more M-U gas from being liquefied and exported? Perhaps, and it comes from Alaska.
Pieridae Energy’s Goldboro LNG project, located in Nova Scotia (with the potential to export Marcellus/Utica molecules) has been on our radar for years. Nine years to be exact. In August 2020 Pieridae hired a senior VP to run the project, an indicator the company is serious about building it (see 
MiQ is an independent, not-for-profit partnership between RMI and SYSTEMIQ aimed at reducing methane emissions from the oil and gas sector. The way they do it is with a certification. The MiQ Standard evaluates factors in methane intensity, company practices, and methane detection, giving the methane produced an A-F grade. Several M-U drillers, including EQT and Northeast Natural Energy, are adopting MiQ as part of their effort to prove they aren’t scumbags polluting Mom Earth. Now MiQ is expanding to certify entire cargoes of LNG that get exported.
The Jones Act prevents LNG from being transported from one U.S. port (like Cove Point, Maryland and Elba Island, Georgia) to other U.S. ports (like Boston and New York) because there are no built-in-the-USA LNG carriers, a requirement under the 1920 Jones Act. When New England runs low on natural gas, they must import the gas from Russia (see 
As an article in Offshore Energy says, “LNG as a fuel should be a no-brainer” for the shipping industry. LNG used for marine applications (powering ships) is an important and expanding market for natural gas, including Marcellus/Utica gas. However, the adoption of LNG in the newbuilding sector “seems to be rather slow.” Why is that?
For nearly every year of the past 20+ years, there has been a reliable, year-in-and-year-out #1 export (in dollar revenue) from the United States to the rest of the world. Care to hazard a guess what it has been? Aircraft, mostly from Boeing. The U.S. has a new most-valuable export in 2021 that has flown on by aircraft exports: Natural gas. The fact that natgas has dethroned aircraft exports does not square well with rabid American leftists who seek to destroy all fossil fuel markets, including natural gas. The vaunted position of natgas also presents a problem for the Biden administration and their plans to slip AOC’s Fat Green Deal through under the disguise of an “infrastructure and jobs” plan.
Cheniere Energy, the biggest LNG exporter operating in the U.S., published a “Climate Scenario Analysis Report” last week (full copy below). The report analyzes the long-term resilience of Cheniere’s business and the potential implications for LNG supply and demand in various future climate scenarios through 2040. Cheniere predicts LNG demand and exports to continue growing through 2040, but after that, LNG will decline due to continued global action to reduce so-called greenhouse gas emissions.
Last week a group of U.S. Senators, including John Kennedy (R-La.), Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Jim Inhofe (R-Okla.), Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.), and Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.), introduced the Natural Gas Export Expansion Act. The bill, if it becomes law, will remove regulatory bottlenecks for LNG (liquefied natural gas) and increase LNG exports to the more than 160 countries in the World Trade Organization.