Economic Impact

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    WV Rolls Out the Red Carpet – Welcomes China Trade Delegation

    red carpet

    Every time we write about the China deal to invest an amazing $83.7 billion (!) in West Virginia, we still shake our head in disbelief. Pinch us–it seems too good to be true! We suppose if half that amount, even a quarter of that amount, ends up getting invested, it’s still an unbelievable bonanza for the Mountain State. We first brought you the news in early November that the Trump Administration, in cooperation with the WV Gov. Jim Justice Administration, had brokered and signed a deal for China to invest $83.7 billion in WV’s shale and petrochemical industries (see China Agrees to Invest Amazing $83.7 BILLION in WV Shale, Petchem). Since that initial deal was signed (in China) delegations of Chinese representatives have been visiting WV, no doubt assessing just where and how much they will spend. Last week such a delegation visited WV on a four-day “relationship building” mission. West Virginians are hospitable people (that’s been our experience)–and they turned on the charm last week. You might say WV rolled out the Red Carpet for the Red Chinese…
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    WV Gov Justice Says China Investment Specifics are “Confidential”

    We are STILL shaking our head in disbelief at the news from early November that China has signed a “memorandum of understanding” (MOU) to invest $83.7 billion (with a “b”) in a single U.S. state–West Virginia (see China Agrees to Invest Amazing $83.7 BILLION in WV Shale, Petchem). Since the signing ceremony in China, part of President Trump’s Asian trade mission, we have not had many specifics about where, when and how that money will get spent in the Mountain State. We have read rumors that a pair of natural gas-fired electric plants may be among the first projects, and that some of those billions may help fund a natural gas liquids (ethane) storage hub, and maybe even a cracker plant (see More on that Massive $83.7B Chinese Investment in WV Shale/Petchem). But since that time, very few details have been shared. During a press conference yesterday WV Gov. Jim Justice talked about the deal. Perhaps responding to those who still disbelieve, Justice said the Chinese are “deathly serious” about the deal and investing in WV. He even said they may invest more than the promised $83.7 billion! Justice also said he can’t reveal details about where/when/how the money will get invested because of a “confidentiality agreement,” which we find rather odd. We understand not tipping your hand too early with specifics, but this situation of a virtual information blackout about where a single penny of the money will get spent smacks of China’s well-earned reputation for secrecy. It’s unfortunate we don’t know more about the deal and what will get funded. It leads some to maintain a healthy skepticism that the promised funds will indeed get invested in WV…
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    Tenaska Westmoreland Power Stn Construction Milestone: 1M Hours

    Artist’s rendering of what Tenaska Westmoreland will look like

    In August 2016, energy giant Tenaska (headquartered in Omaha, NE) broke ground to build a 925-megawatt natural gas-fueled power plant in Westmoreland County, PA (see Groundbreaking for Tenaska Marcellus-Fired Electric Plant in SWPA). The Tenaska Westmoreland Generating Station is costing $780 million to build. Some of that money, $22 million so far, is being spent to upgrade the local Municipal Authority of Westmoreland County water treatment plant (see Tenaska Spends $22M in Water Plant Upgrades Ahead of Elec Project). The plant is on track to be completed by late 2018 when it will go online, providing power for 925,000 homes. Some 600 workers are active on the project. Tenaska recently announced a major milestone in the construction of the plant: Those 600 workers have now logged 1 million hours of work in building the plant, and there’s still plenty of hours to go. That’s 600 workers being paid with private money–money that circulates and recirculates in the local and regional economy, into the pockets of other businesses, into the pockets of labor unions (via dues), and into the pockets of local municipalities (and the state) via tax revenue. Westmoreland County and PA owe Tenaska a huge “thank you” for building the Tenaska Westmoreland Generating Station…
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    Penn State MCOR Says Drilling, Jobs on an Uptick in PA Marcellus

    There’s no doubt about it, there is more drilling in the Marcellus/Utica today than there was just one year ago. Just look at the rig counts then and now. However, the recovery has been slow in coming, and even though more people are back at work and more work is getting done, activity is still not at the level of a few years ago, before the price crash and downturn. Pennsylvania Business Central recently interviewed Tom Murphy, co-director of the Marcellus Center for Outreach and Research at Penn State University, to ask him about the current uptick in Marcellus activity. Where are the rigs operating now? What about workers who were laid off–are they now back at work? And what role does price play in driving the uptick? Murphy gives some enlightening answers to those important questions…
    Read More “Penn State MCOR Says Drilling, Jobs on an Uptick in PA Marcellus”

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    How Soon Will WV See Chinese Money? “Immediately” Says Official

    Last week’s big news that China committed to invest $83.7 billion in shale and petrochemical projects in West Virginia continues to reverberate (see China Agrees to Invest Amazing $83.7 BILLION in WV Shale, Petchem). Almost as soon as the deal was announced, so-called experts came out of the swamp to say, “Won’t ever happen, ain’t a big deal, move along, nothing to see here.” Such was how Bloomberg reported it (see Why $84 Billion From China Can’t Buy a U.S. East Gas Hub), and how the sometimes-swamp dwelling Wall Street Journal reported it (see A U.S. Natural-Gas Bonanza in China Isn’t a Done Deal). Such is the irrational hatred of Donald Trump and anyone who supports him, like WV Gov. Jim Justice. This is a time for celebration. The Chinese are sending money HERE, instead of the other way around, as it has been under Lord Obama and presidents going back for decades. Yet the swamp dwellers attempt to throw excrement on the good news. Let them. They expose themselves for the shallow, leftist shills they are. Here’s an important question on everyone’s mind: When will Chinese money begin to flow for some of these projects? The answer, according to WV Commerce Secretary Woody Thrasher, is “immediately”–meaning within the next six months when ground will be broken on one, possibly two, natural gas-fired electric plants in the state. Below are insights into when the state will see the money, how the money will get distributed, and how this deal actually came together in the first place…
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    More on that Massive $83.7B Chinese Investment in WV Shale/Petchem

    We’re still reeling after yesterday’s announcement that China has agreed to invest $83.7 billion in the State of West Virginia–largely in shale and shale-related petrochemical projects (see China Agrees to Invest Amazing $83.7 BILLION in WV Shale, Petchem). Let’s put China’s promised investment in perspective. The GDP (gross domestic product, or the value of all of the state’s economic activity) for WV last year was $73.4 billion. One expert calculates the entire investment by the Marcellus/Utica industry in WV so far has been about $35 billion. The investment by China, which will be spread out over 20 years, is larger than all of the economic activity in WV for a single year, and 2.5 times the investment made by the shale industry so far! That’s massive. It’s huge. It’s mind-blowing. There really aren’t words big enough for this investment–IF it comes to be. You see, what was signed in China yesterday is a Memorandum Of Understanding (MOU). It’s a handshake–a gentleman’s agreement. And sometimes those agreements disappear. So this is far from a done deal. However, we’ll take it. If even half of the promised investment becomes reality, it’s game-changing. It is, according to WV Gov. Jim Justice, the single largest private investment in the state’s history. Now that we’ve had 24 hours to digest the news, a number of people are talking. While we still don’t have specificity about the projects that will get funded with this money, we do have more insight. The first couple of projects to get funded will be electric generating power plants–powered by Marcellus/Utica gas. And we know where those plants will most likely be located: “one in Harrison County and one in Brooke County” according to head of the WV Chamber of Commerce. Cracker plants (plural) are also being talked about for WV. We’ve been monitoring the news since yesterday’s announcement and have collected a number of excerpts below of what people (in the know) are saying about this historic deal…
    Read More “More on that Massive $83.7B Chinese Investment in WV Shale/Petchem”

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    Weirton, WV Tries to Interest the Chinese in a Cracker Plant

    The early bird catches the worm. Not even a day had gone by when Patrick Ford, the executive director of the Weirton-based Business Development Corp. of the Northern Panhandle, piped up and signaled China that Weirton would be a great place to locate an ethane cracker plant. Ford said Weirton sits roughly halfway between Shell’s cracker plant under construction, and a planned cracker plant by PTT Global in Belmont County, OH. Weirton was considered for both of those projects but apparently there was an issue getting enough contiguous acreage for a large-scale project like a cracker. However, Ford says those issues are now resolved and Weirton is open for cracker business. Ford told a reporter, “We want to see a third ethane cracker in this region — and it should be in Brooke or Hancock County” (note that Weirton straddles both). We like Weirton’s plucky opportunism. Businesses and projects in WV should not sit on their hands. Get that Chinese money and get it quick, before it disappears into someone else’s pocket!…
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    China Agrees to Invest Amazing $83.7 BILLION in WV Shale, Petchem

    The “Art of the Deal” is still alive and well for Donald Trump. Trump along with an entourage of various state officials are currently on a trade mission in Asia. This morning (our time) a flurry of announcements were issued about Trump (and others) convincing China to invest $250 billion (a staggering number!) in various projects in the U.S. A whopping $83.7 billion of that (a full third!!) will be invested in one state–West Virginia. And the WV investment, according to the announcement, will be in “shale gas and chemical manufacturing projects.” The investment will come over the next 20 years, so yes, we’ll believe it when we see it. However, we cannot overstate how big and how good this news is for our friends in the Mountain State. While no specific projects are mentioned, we get this enticing tidbit from the announcement: “The projects will focus on power generation, chemical manufacturing, and underground storage of natural gas liquids and derivatives.” Sounds to us like we now know where the $10 billion NGL storage facility will be located (see WV Senators Ask Trump to Create NGL Storage Hub Commission). It also sounds to us like a cracker plant may be a possibility. And a number of Marcellus-fired electric plants. This is truly a “wow” story! Here’s the announcement released earlier today…
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    Milestone: Construction Begins on Shell Cracker Plant Buildings

    A major milestone has been reached in the mighty Shell $6 billion ethane cracker facility project. Over the past year or so site preparation has been vigorous. Work at the site in Monaca (Beaver County), PA has included building bridges, relocating a state highway, improving existing interchanges, repositioning a rail line, and preparing foundations for the new complex. The prep work is now largely done–and this week begins construction of the buildings that will house four processing units–the ethane cracker itself and three polyethylene units. Also part of this next (final) phase of construction: a 900-foot long cooling tower, rail and truck loading facilities, a water treatment plant, an office building and a laboratory. Oh! And let’s not forget that Shell will also build a 250 megawatt electric generating plant that will provide all of the electricity needed at the facility–powered by Marcellus Shale gas, of course! Here’s an update from Shell, with a picture of the site as it is now…
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    Study: Marcellus Shale Cut PA Residential Gas Bills 40% in 10 Years

    Last week the University of Pennsylvania published “Pennsylvania’s Gas Decade,” a study looking at the impact of the Marcellus Shale on the state’s utility customers over a ten-year period, from 2007-2016 (full copy below). The study shows that on average, PA customers now pay 40% less for natural gas than they did ten years ago. The study also shows electricity customers are paying less–thanks to the Marcellus. Before Marcellus drilling began, PA produced 1% of the nation’s natural gas supplies. Today? PA produces 16% of our country’s natgas supplies. Thank you Marcellus! The study’s author predicts the trend toward lower natgas prices for PA residents will reverse–eventually. Why? The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has approved a staggering 53 interstate pipeline projects that cross PA (more than twice that of any other state). Once/if those projects are built, more gas will flow out of the state, meaning prices for gas will rise. Hey, drillers aren’t sticking around in PA just to break even or lose money. They are in the state to make money, and part of making money is getting the gas to other markets. In the meantime, before the plethora of pipelines are built, PA residents should enjoy the low prices they’re paying…
    Read More “Study: Marcellus Shale Cut PA Residential Gas Bills 40% in 10 Years”

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    List of 26 Shale Gas-Fired Electric Plant Projects in OH-PA-WV

    Last week the The Independent Power Producers (IPPs) of Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia wrote an official letter to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) detailing their objection to a proposed plan by the Dept. of Energy (DOE) to give special treatment to electric power generating facilities powered by coal and nuclear plants. The DOE recently ordered FERC to devise new market rules favoring coal and nukes on the premise they contribute to “grid resiliency.” The IPPs writing the letter in opposition represent at least 26 shale gas-fired electric plant projects across the three states, which will contribute $21 billion to those state economies and generate 20,000+ jobs. Below we have the letter sent to FERC by the IPPs. That letter prompted our friends at Energy in Depth to produce a list of the projects the IPPs are building (or have built) in the tri-state area. It is an impressive list. We liked it and grabbed it to share with the MDN audience…
    Read More “List of 26 Shale Gas-Fired Electric Plant Projects in OH-PA-WV”

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    Dividing Line: Role of NatGas in NE PA vs. NY’s Southern Tier

    MDN editor Jim Willis lives right on the dividing line between New York and Pennsylvania–in the Binghamton, NY area (on the wrong side of the line). Pennsylvania, on the right side of the dividing line, has embraced shale drilling, and enormous economic benefits have flowed to communities where it happens. Cabot Oil & Gas alone (just one company) has spent over $4.6 billion in the last 10 years in Susquehanna County, PA (see Amazing: Cabot O&G Invests $4.6 BILLION in One PA County in 10 Yrs). Meanwhile, NOTHING is spent just over the border, in Broome, Chenango, Otsego and other Southern Tier counties on the New York (wrong) side of the border. It is a heartbreaking tale. Back in 2014 the Buffalo News ran a story comparing two farmers, one on each side of the border, to illustrate how the shale revolution has changed NEPA (see PA Farmers Flourish Thanks to Marcellus While NY Farmers Fail). We now have an updated version of that story line. The Pennsylvania Manufacturers Association (PMA) recently released a 28-minute MUST SEE video titled, “The Dividing Line: PA vs. NY Natural Gas Economics” (watch it below). Listen to landowners and business owners on both sides of the border talk about their experience. New Yorkers have been shafted by a corrupt governor, that much is clear…
    Read More “Dividing Line: Role of NatGas in NE PA vs. NY’s Southern Tier”

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    Utica Summit V: Investment in Utica Hits $55B, Petchem a Big Deal

    Yesterday Utica Summit V was held in North Canton, OH. MDN could not, unfortunately, attend. But others did and the reports we’re reading indicate it was another great event. Two major news items of interest came from the event. The first was the results of a recent economic study that show an amazing $54.7 billion has been invested in the Utica Shale play from 2012-2016, across upstream ($42.7 billion), midstream ($8.6 billion) and downstream ($3.4 billion). In a surprise statement, the report’s author said, “the biggest impact of the Utica may be the development of gas-fired power plants in Ohio and surrounding states.” The second news item was a big emphasis at the event on the downstream–on the really big deal the petrochemical industry is and will be for Ohio and surrounding states. Presenters made the point that some manufacturers in Ohio were cut off from plastics supplies from the Gulf Coast after the recent hurricanes to hit that area–and that with the Shell and potentially PTT Global cracker plants coming along, manufacturers in the region change where they source their supply of raw plastics. In fact, the petchem industry will explode in Appalachia. All thanks to the Utica (and Marcellus) and the ethane produced. Here’s a pair of reports from yesterday’s event…
    Read More “Utica Summit V: Investment in Utica Hits $55B, Petchem a Big Deal”

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    Shale Boom Saves U.S. Petchem Industry – Shell Cracker “2nd Wave”

    A decade ago the petrochemical industry in the U.S. was in the toilet–in the midst of a downturn. Plants were leaving our shores, heading to other countries. And then the shale revolution hit full force–and changed everything. Petrochemical plants and investment is now skyrocketing here at home, because of shale. Petrochemicals are chemical products derived from petroleum (i.e. oil) and natural gas. The entire plastics industry comes from oil and gas–you knew that, right? Ethylene (which comes from ethane) and propylene (which comes from propane) are used to make polyethylene and polypropylene respectively–that is, plastics. And plastics are used in just about everything you touch, live in, ride in, etc. Plastics make modern life possible. Without plastics, we’d be back in the Stone Ages–living short, brutish lives. Ten years ago our petrochemical industry was flailing, but today it’s thriving. According to an expert speaking last week at Pittsburgh Chemical Day (an annual event), the Shell ethane cracker now under construction is in the “the second wave” of ethane crackers. According to the same expert, we are witnessing the “biggest buildup in the U.S. petrochemical industry we have ever seen.” And it’s all because of shale…
    Read More “Shale Boom Saves U.S. Petchem Industry – Shell Cracker “2nd Wave””

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    Lewis County, WV: Pipelines, Drilling Elsewhere Boost Local Economy

    Lewis County, WV is not the first county you think of when it comes to the Marcellus/Utica Shale. While Lewis shares a border with the highly drilled Doddridge County, there have been very few shale wells drilled in Lewis. Perhaps we should say there’s been very few permits to drill shale wells in Lewis–we’re not 100% sure if any wells have actually been drilled. But no matter. Lewis has, in the past, benefited greatly from the shale industry. A number of companies are located in Lewis that serve the shale industry, providing jobs for Lewis residents. And pipelines are scheduled to cut through the county–both the $5 billion Atlantic Coast Pipeline and the $3.5 billion Mountain Valley Pipeline. Those two projects alone have the potential to employ hundreds of Lewis County residents. A recent report from the WV Bureau of Business & Economic Research says some 2,000 Lewis County residents (16% of the working population) are employed by natural resources and mining. That number will grow 2% a year for the next five years. In other words, counties like Lewis don’t have to have shale wells drilled to see enormous economic benefits from the shale industry…
    Read More “Lewis County, WV: Pipelines, Drilling Elsewhere Boost Local Economy”

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    Sales Tax Revenue in OH Counties with Utica Shale Soars

    New research done by our friends at Energy in Depth has found that sales tax revenue generated by Ohio’s top eight Utica Shale counties–Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Guernsey, Harrison, Jefferson, Monroe and Noble–rose 45% from 2011 to 2016, while sales tax revenue in the state’s other 80 counties rose an average of 30%. That is, shale counties (collectively) brought in 15% more revenue into both county and state coffers than non-shale counties. Ohio levies a 6.75% sales tax on goods sold. Of that, 5.75% goes into the state budget (the black hole in Columbus), while 1% stays in the county budget. Conclusion: shale is helping to fund the entire state. That is, all state residents benefit from the shale industry in Ohio, in a very tangible way. Here’s the update from EID showing how shale counties are outperforming non-shale counties in the Buckeye State…
    Read More “Sales Tax Revenue in OH Counties with Utica Shale Soars”