Expert” Predicts Marcellus Production Will Peak in 2015
An alarmist article appears on the Seeking Alpha website which posits (indeed strongly implies) that production in the Marcellus Shale will top out in 2015 and then begin to decline. The article bases this assertion on the observation that other shale plays in the U.S. have already turned the corner and have started to decline. The article is authored by Bill Powers–ring a bell? He’s been making the same prediction since 2012 when he published a “peak natural gas” book–and he’s been trying to peddle his book ever since (see Energy Industry Expert Says Shale Gas Will Last < 10 Years). Back in 2012 Powers said we have a 5-7 year supply of shale gas and that’s it. Last time we checked the numbers (now 2 1/2 years later from Powers’ original prediction date), shale production continues to go through the roof with no signs of slowing down, and proved reserves of shale gas continue to grow exponentially…
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Some astonishing new numbers from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. For the third year in a row, when you add both natural gas and oil together, the United States has been the #1 producer of hydrocarbons in the world. But this is even more astonishing and something MDN’s friends disbelieve when we tell them: for the third year in a row the U.S. has produced more natural gas than another other country in the world (namely Russia, who is #2). And get this: for two years running the U.S. has produced more oil than any other country in the world, including Saudi Arabia. When was the last time you heard that on the evening news? Yeah, NEVER. Fracking is nothing short of a miracle that has radically changed the energy outlook of this country–and it’s a miracle that should be celebrated every chance we get. Here’s the numbers and story from the EIA with news that once again, USA is #1!!!…
Last week our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, published an update to their U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves research. The update/report, titled “Top 100 U.S. Oil and Gas Fields” (full copy below) shows the 100 largest U.S. oil and gas fields by their estimated 2013 proved reserves. That’s the top 100 oil fields, and a second list for the top 100 gas fields–based on 2013 estimates for reserves. It probably won’t surprise you to learn the #1 gas field in the U.S. is the Marcellus. It may (or may not) surprise you to learn the #1 oil field in the U.S. in 2013 was the Eagle Ford (again, based on reserves). It likely will surprise you, as it did us, to not find the Utica/Point Pleasant anywhere in either list! But then we remembered that the Utica was just getting under way in 2013. Still, not even in the top 100? Seems a bit off to us…
Every now and again we revisit the manhunt for that vile villain and fugitive from justice–Fugitive Methane (FM for short). FM loves to escape into the atmosphere where, according to the Environmental Defense Fund, it is “a particularly powerful climate warmer – 84 times more potent than carbon dioxide over a 20-year timeframe.” Never mind that the biggest source of FM in the U.S. is cows burping (see 
You can’t tell us there isn’t political bias in the world of so-called hard science and whether or not important research gets reported. In 2011 Duke University published a shoddy “study” that attempted to show a link between the presence of 68 shale wells and high levels of methane in nearby groundwater supplies (see 
We’ve written about it before, but once again we want to highlight the excellent service provided by