Research

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    OOGA’s DeBrosse Report: 2014 a Breakout Year for Utica Shale

    Each year the 3,200-member Ohio Oil and Gas Association (OOGA) issue the DeBrosse Memorial Report (full copy below). The report is a high level look at where (and how much) drilling there has been in the state–and what they’re finding (methane, oil, NGLs). The latest report, recounting 2014, was released at the recent OOGA Annual Winter Meeting in Columbus. Needless to say the latest report shows the exponentially increasing importance of the Utica Shale in the state. Last year a full 61% of all new wells drilled and completed in the state were shale wells. The report also shows the state produced 11 million barrels of oil from the Utica Shale. In 2013 the Utica produced 4.3 million barrels of oil. Welcome to Utica-land!…
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    Govt Report Says Shale Oil Will Run Out Soon, Start Drilling Offshore

    We started by laughing out loud, then we grew perplexed, as we read a story by the Associated Press about a new study being released today in Washington, DC. The study is from the National Petroleum Council–NOT to be confused with our industry’s leading trade organization the American Petroleum Institute. Two completely different things. The National Petroleum Council (NPC) is a group of 200 people appointed by the Secretary of Energy who serve at his (or her) leisure and provide advice to the Secretary. The organization was created under President Harry Truman in 1946 and after the Dept. of Energy was created it was reassigned to that department. What’s curious is that it is funded by private sources. It’s a government-run organization providing information used to make government policy but funded by private sources–all somewhat shadowy if you ask us. Regardless, this group, which is comprised of individuals from the oil and gas industry, academe, environmental groups, and businesses of various kinds, is publishing a report due out today for Secretary of Energy Ernest Moniz that says, in essence, shale oil in the lower 48 will run out sometime in the next decade and we should begin drilling like crazy right now off the shore of Alaska. In other words, its more peak oil bupkis…
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    Even with Capex Budgets/Jobs Slashed, NE Production Still Rising

    Capital expenditure budgets slashed 20%, 30%, 40% and more. Mass firings in the thousands by oilfield services companies. The mad dash to raise cash to keep going. Shutting in wells to slow or stop production. Some days it seems like the news is all doom and gloom. But what’s this? Even though rig counts are down, capex is slashed and jobs are dwindling, production in the Marcellus/Utica will continue to go UP in 2015. You read that right. How can that be? According to some excellent research published by NGI’s Shale Daily, production will continue to go up because “efficiencies in drilling techniques and low operating costs are overcoming the energy industry downturn.” That is, good old American ingenuity is once again figuring out how to do more with less. What did the ace reporters at Shale Daily discover when they dug down into the data?…
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    New Study Finds PennEast Pipeline to Save PA & NJ Residents $900M

    Concentric Energy Advisors Inc., an independent management consulting and financial advisory firm focused on the North American energy industry, has just published a new report that shows the economic impact from the PennEast Pipeline will be huge for both Pennsylvania and New Jersey residents. The study, titled “Estimated Energy Market Savings From Additional Pipeline Infrastructure Serving Eastern Pennsylvania And New Jersey” (full copy embedded below) finds that PA electric and natural gas customers will see a combined savings of over $500 million, while NJ electric and gas customers will see a combined savings of nearly $400 million…
    Read More “New Study Finds PennEast Pipeline to Save PA & NJ Residents $900M”

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    Marcellus/Utica 3-Month Temp Forecast: Cold, Warm, Warm

    Every now and again we check in on the weather forecast–the long range forecast–from Weather Services International. Why? Because the weather has a great deal to do with the price of natural gas, and the price of natural gas has a great deal to do with whether or not drillers are willing to drill for it. Forthwith, here is the temperature forecast for the next three months across the U.S., by region (the Marcellus/Utica is, of course, in the Northeast)…
    Read More “Marcellus/Utica 3-Month Temp Forecast: Cold, Warm, Warm”

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    PA 2014 Top 5 Lists for: Wells Drilled / Inspections / Violations

    Top 5We’ve written about it before, but once again we want to highlight the excellent service provided by Marcellusgas.org. They maintain a data site filled with facts and figures on every shale well in Pennyslvania. Everything from production to how much brine/wastewater is produced to the number (and type) of violations for each well (and for each driller). It’s a true treasure trove. You can access a lot with a free membership, but it only costs $20 a year to access a whole lot more. (No, we don’t even know the guy who runs it and we don’t get paid to sing their praises!) Marcellusgas.org recently sent an email to members with some “top 5” lists for 2014: the top 5 counties with highest number of wells drilled, top 5 drillers by number of wells drilled, top 5 for number of inspections (by county and driller) and top 5 for number of violations (by county and driller). We found the lists interesting and thought you would too…
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    New Tech Uses “Microbe-Powered Battery” to Clean Frack Wastewater

    It’s always fun and interesting to come across new technology in the oil and gas industry. It seems the industry is forever tinkering, testing, trying new things in an effort to lower costs and make it safer for the environment. Yes, oil and gas companies are concerned about the effects they have on the environment, contrary to what idiots like Mark Ruffalo say. The latest innovation comes from researchers at the University of Colorado Boulder where they have invented a simpler (yet very effective) process to simultaneously remove salts and organic contaminants from the wastewater AND produce additional energy at the same time. The new process uses a “microbe-powered battery” to do its magic. We have the low down, including a copy of the published research…
    Read More “New Tech Uses “Microbe-Powered Battery” to Clean Frack Wastewater”

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    List of World’s 21 Biggest Oil & Gas Companies

    Over the past decade, from 2004 to 2014, something happened: the miracle of hydraulic fracturing. Because of fracking, the world now pumps more oil than it did a decade ago. During the past decade the price for a barrel of oil went sky high. Now, according to the popular narrative of the day, the price of oil has “collapsed” because we’re swimming in “too much oil.” Who woulda thunk? (Side note: the price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude in 2004 was $41.50. Today? About $43. So much for a price “collapse”–it’s more like a “price maintenance.”) For a while some people, like the now thoroughly discredited Art Berman, peddled the “peak oil” theory–that the world was running out of oil and would soon be paying $200 a barrel or more (see Peak Oil Theorist Art Berman Says Shale Gas is Peaking Too). So much for those theories. A decade ago the world was pumping 64.1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd)–that is, oil and the energy equivalent in natural gas. Today? The world is pumping 80.4 million boepd. So who are the world’s 21 largest oil and gas producing companies? We have the list below…
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    Atlantic Sunrise Will Pump $1.6B into Economy, Create 8K Jobs

    Williams pushed out a new economic analysis of their Atlantic Sunrise pipeline project yesterday. The project, if built, will cost $2.1 billion and consist of compression and looping of the Transco Leidy Line in Pennsylvania along with a greenfield pipeline segment, called the Central Penn Line, connecting the northeastern Marcellus producing region to the Transco mainline near Station 195 in southeastern Pennsylvania. Additional existing Transco facilities are being added or modified to allow gas to flow bi-directionally. The preliminary project design includes 178 miles of new greenfield pipe (Central Penn North & Central Penn South), two pipeline loops totaling about 12 miles (Chapman Loop, Unity Loop), 2.5 miles of existing pipeline replacement, two new compressor facilities in PA, and other facility additions or modifications in five states (PA, MD, VA, NC, SC). There’s been some push back by small groups of anti-drillers in places like Lebanon County and Lancaster County (PA) where a phony Indian tribe claims the pipeline will run through ancient burial grounds (see Convicted Lancaster Protesters Taunt Williams After Court Date). Meanwhile, the adults at Williams continue to make progress. The analysis they released yesterday shows the Atlantic Sunrise project will pump $1.6 billion into the economies of the states where it’s built, and create 8,000 jobs…
    Read More “Atlantic Sunrise Will Pump $1.6B into Economy, Create 8K Jobs”

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    Is Natgas a Good Long-Term Fuel to Fire Electric Plants?

    Last week MDN told you the Union of So-Called Concerned Scientists had issued a “report” (rather unscientific, written by someone with a political science degree) to say even though Obama’s war on coal has been successful, it’s having the unintended consequence of electric generation power plants switching from coal to natural gas to fire them. UCS and other so-called green groups irrationally hate fossil fuels and want the switching to be from coal to so-called renewables, like solar and wind. So in an effort to besmirch and call into doubt the long-term viability of natural gas as a fuel source to generate electricity, UCS issued a report saying using natural gas to power electric plants is a “gamble” (see UCS “Report” Says Using Natural Gas for Electric Generation Big Gamble). The theory is that natural gas will run out in a few years, or become obscenely expensive, and all of those natgas-fired electric plants will mean super high electric rates. The problem with such “reports” is something called reality. We just noticed a press release from Midland Cogeneration Venture (MCV), the country’s largest natural-gas fired combined heat and electrical power generating plant, located in Michigan. The release was to commemorate an important milestone for MCV–the plant has been up and operating and supplying enough electricity for one million homes PLUS electricity and steam for major industry facilities, for the last 25 years…
    Read More “Is Natgas a Good Long-Term Fuel to Fire Electric Plants?”

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    ACC Report: Shale Means American Chemical Exports Double in 15 Yrs

    The shale gas revolution in the U.S. will lead to dramatic growth in U.S. chemical exports over the next fifteen years. That’s according to a new report sponsored by the American Chemistry Council (ACC). Titled “Fueling Export Growth: U.S. Net Export Trade Forecast for Key Chemistries to 2030” (full copy below), the report shows gross exports of chemical products, including plastics, linked to plentiful and affordable natural gas are projected to double, from $60 billion in 2014 to $123 billion by 2030…
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    Turning Point: EIA Drilling Report Shows Slow Down in Production

    turning pointIt is true that what goes up must come down? As a general rule, yes. That age-old wisdom is manifesting itself in both oil and natural gas production from shale plays. Two days ago our favorite report from our favorite government agency–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)–was issued. It shows something we haven’t seen before: negative numbers in some of the production columns for some of the shale plays–in both oil and natural gas. No, the Marcellus and Utica are not in the negative (they will both produce more oil and gas in April than they did in March). However, the rate of increase in production for the Marcellus and Utica, indeed all of the shale plays, is much less than it has been previously. Scaling back on new drilling will, sooner or later, affect production. We’re now seeing it in the numbers…
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    UCS “Report” Says Using Natural Gas for Electric Generation Big Gamble

    The Union of So-Called Concerned Scientists (UCS) recently issued a new report that says switching to natural gas use, especially for electric generation, is one big gamble and we’re being lured down the primrose path to destruction. According to the “scientists” at UCS, it’s far better to turn the thermostat down to 50 degrees in the winter (called “energy efficiency”) and ride to work via horse and buggy (called “switching to renewables”) than risk using that foul, evil, nasty fossil fuel natgas (natgas, natgas, natgas–echo for evil-sounding effect). One might put more stock in such a report if it were actually authored by scientists–people with degrees in the hard sciences. Instead, its primary author is someone with a political science degree…
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    Intl Rig Counts in Free Fall, What About Marcellus/Utica Counts?

    Rig counts are a closely watched measure as an indicator of future drilling and therefore future production. Over the past several years, rig counts have become a much less accurate method for predicting future production simply because so many wells have been drilled–in the Marcellus and now Utica–that connecting those wells to production will take years to complete. So if the number of rigs actively drilling goes down, it doesn’t correlate to a drop in production–not anymore. But rig counts are still important–the number of rigs actively drilling–because it’s an indicator of economic impact. When rigs are drilling, all sorts of goods and services and jobs are needed–which makes everybody happy. Baker Hughes, in the process of being gobbled up by Halliburton, has been for years the go-to source for rig counts. They issue counts on a weekly basis. MDN keeps track of rig counts in our 3x/year Marcellus and Utica Shale Databook. We decided it’s time to revisit rig counts–both globally and in the Marcellus/Utica–to see what the latest hullabaloo is all about. Are the counts going down in the northeast–and if so, where? The answer may surprise you…
    Read More “Intl Rig Counts in Free Fall, What About Marcellus/Utica Counts?”

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    Cleveland Fed Finds PA Natgas Production Up 1000% from 2009-2014

    Earlier this week the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland published a paper titled “Trends in Energy Production and Prices” (full copy below). In the paper, Cleveland Fed researchers examine national and Fourth District (KY, OH, WV, PA) trends in energy production and prices. What did they find? OH and WV doubled their natural gas production from 2009 to 2014. However, production in PA went up 1000% during that time, thanks to the Mighty Marcellus. Because of shale gas, energy prices are generally down across the region. Coal production is also on the decline in the northeast…
    Read More “Cleveland Fed Finds PA Natgas Production Up 1000% from 2009-2014”

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    Bentek Energy: Feb Natgas Production Comes Close to All-Time High

    Researchers at Platts’ Bentek Energy division estimate natural gas production in the lower 48 States increased by 0.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) to 72.3 Bcf/d during the month of February. That’s a 10.5% increase over February of 2014. It still doesn’t quite match the all-time production high achieved just last December of 72.8 Bcf/d, but it comes close (see Marcellus/Utica Lead in New Record High Production for Dec 2014). The main reason February didn’t fly by last December’s high is due to “freeze-offs”–wells that freeze up and stop flowing due to the cold winter weather…
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