Gas Trader Predicts NatGas $2.50 in 2024, $3.00+ in 2025 & Beyond
Yes, we’ve been keeping an eye on the (pathetic) price of natural gas as it flounders and flops. The NYMEX Henry Hub front-month contract briefly went above $3/MMBtu earlier this year, but since that time, it’s had a hard time staying above $2. It’s depressing. From time to time, we bring you predictions from various studies and government agencies. Just yesterday, we told you that EIA’s monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook predicts an average HH price of $2.50 in 2024, and $3.30 in 2025 (see July STEO Predicts U.S. Natgas Output Declines, Demand Rises 2024). The people who create the price — natural gas traders — often provide unique insights. We have one such trader’s insights into what he believes will happen for the balance of 2024 and into 2025.
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No, we’re not talking about transitioning from male to female and female to male, a mental disorder that’s celebrated in popular culture these days. We’re talking about the “other” transitioning — from using fossil fuels to…using nothing, because without fossil fuels, you get nothing when it comes to energy. The left pretends solar and wind energy can power the world, and it’s coming any day now. Except, as we pointed out yesterday, 81.5% of all energy used throughout the world in 2023 came from fossil fuels (see
Maybe the oil and gas industry will get the last laugh after all. We’ve written many posts comparing carbon offsets/credits to the practice of the Catholic Church selling indulgences in the Middle Ages to absolve you of your sins (
OTHER U.S. REGIONS: Tellurian gets FERC approval for Driftwood completion; New York to roll out small shampoo bottle ban at hotels; INTERNATIONAL: Houthi attacks in Red Sea sharply increase.
In April, the Ohio Oil and Gas Commission upheld a regulatory order from the Ohio Dept. of Natural Resources (ODNR) suspending operations of three wastewater injection wells located in Torch (Athens County), OH, owned by K&H Partners, a subsidiary of Tallgrass Energy (see
Incorporated in 1988, Environmental Service Laboratories, Inc. (ESL) is an environmental testing laboratory based in Indiana, PA, providing various analytical testing, consulting, and field sampling services. ESL customers include Marcellus/Utica natural gas drilling companies, industrial facilities, municipalities, engineering firms, local/state/federal government, and the general public. ESL is accredited to test drinking water, wastewater, soil, solid materials, natural gas, frozen dairy products, and meat. ESL has just sold itself for an undisclosed amount to Pace Analytical Services, based in Minneapolis, MN.
Diversified Energy (formerly Diversified Gas & Oil), with major assets in the Marcellus/Utica region (with assets in other regions, too), owns approximately 8 million acres of leases with 67,000 (mostly) conventional oil and gas wells. The company’s business model is to buy lower-producing wells on the cheap and find ways to make them more productive. Last September, Diversified’s CEO Rusty Huston, in an interview with Forbes, signaled that he would be looking to buy more assets outside of the Marcellus/Utica — specifically along the Gulf Coast (see 
Conservative Republicans in the U.S. Senate and House are pushing a so-called bipartisan bill to “study” the carbon emissions of products produced in the U.S. versus emissions for products manufactured in other countries, like China. We think this may be a slippery slope. We first wrote about this issue in March 2023 when the Senate was working on the bill (see
For donkey’s years, BP (British Petroleum) published its annual Statistical Review of World Energy — since 1952. Last year BP said it would no longer publish it and instead turn it over to a Big Green advocacy group known as The Energy Institute (EI) to publish (see
Pennsylvania Democrat leftists face a conundrum. Do they listen to one set of environmentalist wackos, including the Pennsylvania Environmental Council, Environmental Defense Fund, Nature Conservancy, and Clean Air Task Force? Or do they listen to a different set (on the same ideological side of the aisle), including Better Path Coalition, 350 Pittsburgh, 412 Justice, the Center for Coalfield Justice, and the Clean Air Council? Two weeks ago, the first set of wackos threw their support behind PA Senate Bill (SB) 831, the Carbon Capture & Sequestration (CCS) Act (see
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) have been all the rage over the past year or so. In 2024 alone, Chesapeake Energy announced a $7.4 billion deal to buy Southwestern Energy (see
Williams’ Regional Energy Access Expansion (REAE) project involves expanding the mighty Transco pipeline in Pennsylvania and New Jersey to deliver an extra 829 MMcf/d of Marcellus gas to PA, NJ, and Maryland. Part of the project was completed and went online last year (see
As we mentioned in a companion post today, the Williams Transco Regional Energy Access Expansion (REAE) project recently received permission from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) to begin operations for another segment of the REAE project, flowing an extra 130 MMcf/d of natural gas to Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Maryland (see FERC OKs Request to Place More of Regional Energy Access Online). However, yesterday, Williams suffered a minor legal setback related to the REAE project.
We began our headline with the word “Surprise!” because, well, nobody is surprised that Freeport LNG is, once again, down. That has been the theme since it began to operate. We’ve tracked the up down up down up down situation at Freeport LNG since it came online in 2019. Freeport was mostly offline this year following an episode of cold temps in January (see