Research

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    PA Study Finds Marcellus/Utica Can Support 4 More Ethane Crackers

    Back in January MDN reported that Denise Brinley, a special assistant to the Secretary of the state Department of Community and Economic Development, spilled the beans on an upcoming report PA had commissioned. Brinley said the report would be released “in the coming weeks” and it would show that Pennsylvania can easily handle another two ethane cracker plants (aside from the already under construction Shell cracker), and that Ohio or West Virginia could also handle another two cracker plants (see PA Report Says Marcellus/Utica Can Support Up to 4 More Crackers). In other words, there’s enough ethane in the Marcellus/Utica to support a minimum of five ethane cracker plants. It’s been more than a few weeks, but finally the report is out. On Monday, Team Pennsylvania Foundation co-chairs Gov. Tom Wolf and Stephen Tang, President and CEO of Philadelphia’s University City Science Center, released “Prospects to Enhance Pennsylvania’s Opportunities in Petrochemical Manufacturing” (full copy below). The report comes from a comprehensive study conducted by powerhouse oil & gas consulting firm IHS Markit. According to the study, natural gas from the Marcellus/Utica accounted for 25% of all natural gas produced in the U.S. in 2015, and is expected to account for more than 40% by 2030. Wow! Additionally, 40% of Marcellus/Utica natural gas produced is rich in natural gas liquids (NGLs). Most of the NGLs produced (70%) are ethane and propane, used by petrochemical plants and plastics manufacturers. You can see why our region can handle a lot of crackers. Here’s the announcement and a copy of the full (exciting) report…
    Read More “PA Study Finds Marcellus/Utica Can Support 4 More Ethane Crackers”

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    MDN Exclusive: 2016 Ohio Wastewater Disposal Market Report

    We are super excited to bring you an exclusive report that has just been released by MDN subscriber Andrew Kilgore. The report is titled “2016 Ohio Wastewater Disposal Market Report” (full copy below) and it details the wastewater injection well industry in Ohio. Andrew has spent most of his career working in the Appalachian Basin. He is an alumnus of BlueJack Energy (see Wastewater Co. BlueJack Energy Launches with $100M Investment), EnLink Midstream, and co-founder of UM Resources. Andrew authored the report and offered to let MDN be the first media outlet to release it. We thank him! The report finds that in 2016 the total amount of wastewater disposed of in Ohio was 29.4 million barrels–almost 2 million fewer barrels disposed of compared to 2015. The majority of the decline was from wastewater from out-of-state slowing down (i.e. from Pennsylvania and West Virginia). The report outlines a number of reasons for the decline in wastewater volume disposed in OH, with the primary reason being less drilling due to the low commodity price of natural gas. A few quick facts from the report: Washington County, OH saw the most volume of wastewater disposed. Buckeye Brine processed the most wastewater volume. Here’s the full report…
    Read More “MDN Exclusive: 2016 Ohio Wastewater Disposal Market Report”

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    How O&G Companies Survive & Thrive During Low Prices

    Regina Mayor is leader of energy and natural resources for the consulting firm KPMG. She’s located in Houston. However, she recently made a trip to California to speak at the Stanford University Precourt Institute for Energy. Her topic? “How Energy CEOs are Adapting in the Downturn.” We have a video of her full talk below. It’s compelling. Mayor recounts how oil and gas companies had to figure out how to make money in a low price environment. She also observes that all sectors of the energy industry are pumped on Trump: “Everyone in the industry seems to think that they’re going to be a winner under this administration. The wind and solar guys and gals, the coal folks, the gas, the upstream, the downstream, everyone believes that they’re going to win…where I come from, you always know that that can’t be the case. Logic tells you that can’t be the case. But I do find the level of optimism quite fascinating.” Below is a summary of her talk, and the video…
    Read More “How O&G Companies Survive & Thrive During Low Prices”

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    Ohio Utica Production 4Q16 – Oil Down, NatGas Up

    The Ohio Dept. of Natural Resources (ODNR) has just issued production numbers for the fourth quarter of 2016. The bad news is that oil production continued to slide in 4Q16, down 44% from the same quarter in 2015. The good news continues to be natural gas production, which was up 14% over the same period in 2015. The even better news: Natural gas production in Ohio for all of 2016 was 1.37 trillion cubic feet, vs. 955.61 billion cubic feet in 2015. Awesome! Ascent Resources (formerly Aubrey McClendon’s American Energy) continued to dominate in natural gas production. Ascent had the top producing well in 4Q16, as they did in 3Q16. In fact, Ascent had 9 of the top 10 producing natural gas wells in Ohio during 4Q16. Gulfport Energy was the only other producer to break the top 10, with one well. Over on the oil side of the isle, Eclipse Resources once again had the top producing oil well with their Purple Hayes well–currently the longest horizontal well drilled in the United States at 3.5 miles long (located in Guernsey County). Purple Hayes is the gift that keeps on giving, quarter after quarter! Below we have the ODNR’s high level overview of the numbers, along with MDN’s own exclusive analysis showing: the top 25 producing gas wells, the top 25 producing oil wells, and then the top 25 gas and oil wells as ranked by average production per day. There is a difference…
    Read More “Ohio Utica Production 4Q16 – Oil Down, NatGas Up”

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    IEA: CO2 Emissions in US Go Down Again, Thx to Shale

    The International Energy Agency (IEA) works to ensure reliable, affordable and clean energy for its 29 member countries and beyond. IEA’s mission focuses on four main areas of focus: energy security, economic development, environmental awareness and engagement worldwide. A somewhat self-important group that issues reports periodically–particularly on mythical man-made global warming. The core of the man-made global warming argument is that mankind is burning fossil fuels, releasing loads of extra carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. The CO2 in the atmosphere acts as a canopy to trap the earth’s heat and to (someday soon) catastrophically warm the planet, killing off species, causing sea levels to rise, melting polar ice caps. Except none of that is actually happening (the Emperor has no clothes). Which we keep pointing out over and over. We won’t head down that rabbit trail again right now. CO2 levels are important for the eggheads at IEA. In conducting research for the next release of the IEA’s World Energy Outlook report (for 2017), researchers at the agency say worldwide CO2 levels were “flat” in 2016, even though economic activity (or the use of energy) increased. One of the major points in the IEA’s preview of what’s to come in the World Energy Outlook report is this: “The biggest drop [in CO2] came from the United States, where carbon dioxide emissions fell 3%, or 160 million tonnes, while the economy grew by 1.6%. The decline was driven by a surge in shale gas supplies and more attractive renewable power that displaced coal. Emissions in the United States last year were at their lowest level since 1992, a period during which the economy grew by 80%.” Translation: Shale gas is good for global warming, if you believe in global warming…
    Read More “IEA: CO2 Emissions in US Go Down Again, Thx to Shale”

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    PA Marcellus Production Flies by 5 Trillion Cubic Feet in 2016

    Pennsylvania moved to the head of Marcellus pack when it comes to production reporting back in 2015. Until January 2015, drillers in PA were required to file production numbers with the Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP) every six months, in October 2014 the Republican state legislature passed a bill that then-Gov. Tom Corbett signed into law moving reporting from every six months to every month (see 2 Bills on PA Gov’s Desk: Monthly Production #s, Lease Termination). The first monthly production report, for January 2015, was made available in April of 2015 (see PA’s First Monthly O&G Production Report Goes Live). Earlier this week the DEP posted production reporting numbers for December 2016, the latest monthly report to be released. When you aggregate all of the production numbers for 2016, you find that the Keystone State produced a new record high in 2016, even though new drilling slowed down for most of the year. PA produced 5.1 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of natural gas last year–an astonishing number! That’s up from 4.6 Tcf in 2015. We thought it would be interesting to compare the monthly numbers from 2015 to 2016, now that we have all of the data. Here’s a series of charts we created, showing production for natural gas, condensate, and oil…
    Read More “PA Marcellus Production Flies by 5 Trillion Cubic Feet in 2016”

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    EIA Drilling Report: Gas Prod to Hit Another Record High in April

    Yesterday MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. For the past five reports, estimating production for November, December, January, February, and March, Marcellus natgas has increased. The trend continues in this latest report, which forecasts production for the coming month of April. In fact, EIA says natgas production for all seven major shale plays will go up–the first time we can remember that happening in more than a year. Last month EIA predicted the combined output of the seven major shale plays would hit 49.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), a new record (see EIA Feb Drilling Rpt: Gas Prod. to Hit New Record High in March). The trend continues. If the numbers hold, EIA predicts the combined natural gas production across all seven major plays will hit 49.6 Bcf/d in April–up 562 million cubic feet per day. The Marcellus (and Utica) will both hit record-breaking highs in April for natgas production as well…
    Read More “EIA Drilling Report: Gas Prod to Hit Another Record High in April”

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    Report by Philly Antis Proves Mariner East 2 Pipeline is Safe

    A group of anti-fossil fuel nutters from the Philadelphia suburb of Middletown, PA (Delaware County) spent good money to buy themselves a report from an “independent” consultant that they say proves the Mariner East 2 Pipeline is too dangerous to build through their township. We don’t know how much the Middletown Coalition for Community Safety blew on the study, but we do know that Middletown Township is blowing $45,000 of taxpayer’s hard-earned money for a similar study (see Middletown PA Decides to Blow $45K (not $100K) on Mariner 2 Study). The Middletown Coalition was antsy, they didn’t want to wait for the town study to be completed, and they couldn’t risk a truly independent study finding the pipeline will be safe. So the Coalition moved ahead, no doubt using money from Big Green organizations to produce a report titled “Hazard Calculations for the Mariner East II Pipeline” (full copy below). The Coalition asked Quest Consultants, an Oklahoma-based firm, to evaluate what would happen IF a bunch of unlikely events were to happen. The report concludes: “IF the pipe were to rupture in Middletown Township, and IF the pipeline were operating at 1,500 psi while transporting ethane, and IF the release were oriented near to horizontal in the direction of the wind, and IF there are few obstructions to vapor cloud dispersion, and IF the weather conditions were 5 mph winds and stable atmosphere, the flammable vapor cloud could extend up to 1,800 feet from the pipeline.” The huge, gaping omission, the question the report does not address, is this: How likely is it that any or all of those things would actually happen? Our answer: near zero percent. In other words, the report just released by the Middletown Coalition proves that ME2 is safe!…
    Read More “Report by Philly Antis Proves Mariner East 2 Pipeline is Safe”

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    OH DeBrosse Report – Belmont Most-Drilled County in 2016

    Last week the Ohio Oil & Gas Association (OOGA) held its 70th annual Winter Meeting in Columbus. One of the speakers was Martin Shumway, president of Shumway Resources–an engineering/geophysical consulting firm that specializes in the Appalachian Basin. Shumway shared details from the latest DeBrosse Memorial Report (full copy below). What does the report show for 2016? There were 620 oil and gas wells completed last year, of which 77% were Utica wells. Belmont Count saw the most wells drilled (120) with the most drilled footage (1.94 million vertical+lateral feet). Chesapeake Energy drilled the most wells last year in Ohio (99 wells), although that number is down 31% from 2015. The #2, #3 and #4 drillers last year were close: Ascent Resources, drilled 66 wells; Antero Resources drilled 64 wells; and Gulfport Energy drilled 62 wells. This is one of our favorite Ohio Utica reports each year, have a look…
    Read More “OH DeBrosse Report – Belmont Most-Drilled County in 2016”

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    NETL Research Discovers Microbes May Make Marcellus Gas Renewable

    NETL researcher Yael Tucker uses a special bio-reactor to study microbes from shale samples – click for larger version

    Dr. Yael Tucker, a research scientist working for the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) at West Virginia University (Morgantown, WV), continues to make important discoveries that have the potential to increase Marcellus Shale production. Her work involves tiny microbes. Dr. Tucker’s work “shakes the general assumption” that methane gas from the Marcellus is all thermogenic–or the result of decomposing dinosaurs put under extreme heat and pressure over long periods. At least some methane in the Marcellus, according to Tucker, is biogenic–the result of tiny LIVING microbes doing their thing. In other words, natural gas may be renewable! Who knew?! Tucker’s research has huge implications: “…there may be a faster recovery time than expected for the renewal of gas reserves” in Marcellus reservoirs. Contrary to the “leave it in the ground” dunces who say once the gas is gone it’s gone, now we know we can take it out and at least some of it will magically reappear again. Renewable. Sustainable. Shale gas…
    Read More “NETL Research Discovers Microbes May Make Marcellus Gas Renewable”

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    Fake “Report” Claims 9K Health Complaints in PA from Fracking

    A fake report recently issued by the anti-drilling, radically left and biased Public Herald (populated with activists masquerading as “journalists”) claims that some 9,400 residents in Pennsylvania have filed complaints that fracking has caused them ill-health in one way or the other. It is, according to anti-drillers, a public health “crisis.” How do we know this so-called report is TOTAL BS? Look at who wrote it, and look at who funded it: community organizers wrote it, the Heinz Foundation funded it. This is another sterling example of Joseph Goebbels-like propaganda. The Harrisburg Patriot-News allowed one such community organizer/anti-fossil fueler to run an article on the opinion-editorial page touting the report as legitimate. You can fool some of the people some of the time…
    Read More “Fake “Report” Claims 9K Health Complaints in PA from Fracking”

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    Moody’s Says Global LNG Prices to Remain Flat “Beyond 2020”

    Two days ago MDN brought you Shell’s very first LNG Outlook report, which says demand for LNG around the globe will increase by a very brisk 4-5% per year from now until 2030 (see Shell Launches LNG Outlook 2017 – Rapid Growth Ahead). Shell out to know a thing or two about LNG, since they paid a staggering $69.7 billion last year to purchase BG, basically to get BG’s LNG business (see LNG Love Story: Shell Makes Play to Buy BG in $69.7B Megamerger). Someone else that watches the markets closely is Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s has just issued a report that says demand for LNG over roughly the same period (“after” 2020), is weakening, not growing. And because of weaker demand and more supply coming online in the U.S. and elsewhere, Moody’s says the price for LNG will remain flat. Shell says demand will be strong, Moody’s says it won’t. Who do we believe?…
    Read More “Moody’s Says Global LNG Prices to Remain Flat “Beyond 2020””

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    Utica Wells Producing 420% More Today than Just 3 Years Ago

    Naysayers and peak oil & gas theorists always ignore the 800 pound gorilla in the room when they make their pessimistic predictions that “any day now” oil and gas production from shale will decline into oblivion. The 800 pound gorilla? Shale drillers keep getting better at what they do. Technology is changing. Techniques change. And drillers get more out of the holes they drill today than they did last year, and the year before that, and the year before that. Across all American shale plays, wells in January 2017 produced an average of three times more gas and oil than they did in January 2014. Let us put that another way: Today’s wells are producing 300% more than wells drilled just three years ago! Here’s another startling fact: the shale play with the most improvement in production is the Utica. Wells in the Utica are producing, on average, 4.2 times (420%) more today than they did three years ago…
    Read More “Utica Wells Producing 420% More Today than Just 3 Years Ago”

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    Fake Research Study from Duke U on O&G Spills in PA, Elsewhere

    For some reason Duke University seems to have a fascination with the Marcellus Shale and seeks to denigrate it with fake research reports. Of course there’s big money in research grants, which is why Duke keeps issuing bogus studies. In fact, last year Duke was exposed for doctoring research data in a scheme to grab $200 million in grant money (see Duke University Exposed for Scientific Grant Fraud). Being exposed as fraudsters hasn’t slowed them down. Yesterday another faux research “study” was published analyzing oil and gas-related spills in four states, one of them Pennsylvania. It’s not until you dig into the report that you find the largest spill recorded, according to the research, is fresh water! Yes, water without chemicals of any kind. Water that you can put in a glass and drink. This sham study jumps up and down and screams to call attention–without pointing out the fact that some of the biggest spills are simple fresh water. And of the spills that happened with water “laced” with chemicals, or flowback, etc., the “vast majority of spills are contained on the well pad and never impact the environment.” Here’s the latest on the waste emanating from Duke University…
    Read More “Fake Research Study from Duke U on O&G Spills in PA, Elsewhere”

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    DOE’s 2016 LNG Year in Review – Sabine Pass Exports 184 Bcf!

    The U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Fossil Energy has just released a full report of LNG (liquefied natural gas) imports and exports for all of 2016. The history books will look back at 2016 as the year when the world of LNG changed. Although it seemed like it took forever, in February 2016 Cheniere Energy shipped its first LNG export cargo from its Sabine Pass facility in southern Louisiana (see Cheniere Finally Ships First Sabine Pass LNG Export – to Brazil //marcellusdrilling.com/2016/02/cheniere-finally-ships-first-sabine-pass-lng-export-to-brazil/). From February through the end of December, Sabine Pass, which (we believe) included some Marcellus/Utica gas, exported an astounding 60 cargoes of LNG, moving nearly 184 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of American-made natural gas to other countries. Prices ranged from $3.72 to $6.21 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf). Cheniere (and others) are just getting started! Below is the full report from the DOE Office of Fossil Energy…
    Read More “DOE’s 2016 LNG Year in Review – Sabine Pass Exports 184 Bcf!”

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    Frackenstein Returns – Insights on Microbes in Fracked M-U Wells

    For the first time, scientists reconstructed the genetic material from microbes in shale formations (represented here) being drilled for natural gas – click for larger version

    Last year MDN shared with you the news that researchers from Ohio State University analyzed the genomes of microorganisms (i.e. bacteria) that live in Utica Shale wells and found little communities of microscopic critters that live in those shale wells, including a brand new critter that lives only in fracked Utica Shale wells (see Frackenstein! Researchers Find New Life Form in Fracked Utica Wells). The hypothesis is that fracking itself created this new mutated life form. The researchers call this new microorganism “Frackibacter” (pronounced frack-uh-back-tor). We call it Frackenstein! Who knew fracking didn’t destroy life, but actually creates it?! Not long after the original announcement, those same researchers, in poring over their data, discovered those tiny critters may actually INCREASE natural gas output from the well (see Frackenstein 2: Gassy Utica Critters May Increase Well Output!). Since that time the same researchers have continued to review their data and now have important insights to add: microbes from the surface get injected deep in the earth during the fracking process. And those microbes do a good job of adapting and surviving, even in an environment with a lot of chemicals and minerals. That adaptation means more methane is produced, but it also means more corrosion of pipes and equipment. The researchers hope scientists will use this information to produce better fracking fluids and equipment used to extract natural gas…
    Read More “Frackenstein Returns – Insights on Microbes in Fracked M-U Wells”