Research

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    OH DeBrosse Report – Belmont Most-Drilled County in 2016

    Last week the Ohio Oil & Gas Association (OOGA) held its 70th annual Winter Meeting in Columbus. One of the speakers was Martin Shumway, president of Shumway Resources–an engineering/geophysical consulting firm that specializes in the Appalachian Basin. Shumway shared details from the latest DeBrosse Memorial Report (full copy below). What does the report show for 2016? There were 620 oil and gas wells completed last year, of which 77% were Utica wells. Belmont Count saw the most wells drilled (120) with the most drilled footage (1.94 million vertical+lateral feet). Chesapeake Energy drilled the most wells last year in Ohio (99 wells), although that number is down 31% from 2015. The #2, #3 and #4 drillers last year were close: Ascent Resources, drilled 66 wells; Antero Resources drilled 64 wells; and Gulfport Energy drilled 62 wells. This is one of our favorite Ohio Utica reports each year, have a look…
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    NETL Research Discovers Microbes May Make Marcellus Gas Renewable

    NETL researcher Yael Tucker uses a special bio-reactor to study microbes from shale samples – click for larger version

    Dr. Yael Tucker, a research scientist working for the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) at West Virginia University (Morgantown, WV), continues to make important discoveries that have the potential to increase Marcellus Shale production. Her work involves tiny microbes. Dr. Tucker’s work “shakes the general assumption” that methane gas from the Marcellus is all thermogenic–or the result of decomposing dinosaurs put under extreme heat and pressure over long periods. At least some methane in the Marcellus, according to Tucker, is biogenic–the result of tiny LIVING microbes doing their thing. In other words, natural gas may be renewable! Who knew?! Tucker’s research has huge implications: “…there may be a faster recovery time than expected for the renewal of gas reserves” in Marcellus reservoirs. Contrary to the “leave it in the ground” dunces who say once the gas is gone it’s gone, now we know we can take it out and at least some of it will magically reappear again. Renewable. Sustainable. Shale gas…
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    Fake “Report” Claims 9K Health Complaints in PA from Fracking

    A fake report recently issued by the anti-drilling, radically left and biased Public Herald (populated with activists masquerading as “journalists”) claims that some 9,400 residents in Pennsylvania have filed complaints that fracking has caused them ill-health in one way or the other. It is, according to anti-drillers, a public health “crisis.” How do we know this so-called report is TOTAL BS? Look at who wrote it, and look at who funded it: community organizers wrote it, the Heinz Foundation funded it. This is another sterling example of Joseph Goebbels-like propaganda. The Harrisburg Patriot-News allowed one such community organizer/anti-fossil fueler to run an article on the opinion-editorial page touting the report as legitimate. You can fool some of the people some of the time…
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    Moody’s Says Global LNG Prices to Remain Flat “Beyond 2020”

    Two days ago MDN brought you Shell’s very first LNG Outlook report, which says demand for LNG around the globe will increase by a very brisk 4-5% per year from now until 2030 (see Shell Launches LNG Outlook 2017 – Rapid Growth Ahead). Shell out to know a thing or two about LNG, since they paid a staggering $69.7 billion last year to purchase BG, basically to get BG’s LNG business (see LNG Love Story: Shell Makes Play to Buy BG in $69.7B Megamerger). Someone else that watches the markets closely is Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s has just issued a report that says demand for LNG over roughly the same period (“after” 2020), is weakening, not growing. And because of weaker demand and more supply coming online in the U.S. and elsewhere, Moody’s says the price for LNG will remain flat. Shell says demand will be strong, Moody’s says it won’t. Who do we believe?…
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    Utica Wells Producing 420% More Today than Just 3 Years Ago

    Naysayers and peak oil & gas theorists always ignore the 800 pound gorilla in the room when they make their pessimistic predictions that “any day now” oil and gas production from shale will decline into oblivion. The 800 pound gorilla? Shale drillers keep getting better at what they do. Technology is changing. Techniques change. And drillers get more out of the holes they drill today than they did last year, and the year before that, and the year before that. Across all American shale plays, wells in January 2017 produced an average of three times more gas and oil than they did in January 2014. Let us put that another way: Today’s wells are producing 300% more than wells drilled just three years ago! Here’s another startling fact: the shale play with the most improvement in production is the Utica. Wells in the Utica are producing, on average, 4.2 times (420%) more today than they did three years ago…
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    Fake Research Study from Duke U on O&G Spills in PA, Elsewhere

    For some reason Duke University seems to have a fascination with the Marcellus Shale and seeks to denigrate it with fake research reports. Of course there’s big money in research grants, which is why Duke keeps issuing bogus studies. In fact, last year Duke was exposed for doctoring research data in a scheme to grab $200 million in grant money (see Duke University Exposed for Scientific Grant Fraud). Being exposed as fraudsters hasn’t slowed them down. Yesterday another faux research “study” was published analyzing oil and gas-related spills in four states, one of them Pennsylvania. It’s not until you dig into the report that you find the largest spill recorded, according to the research, is fresh water! Yes, water without chemicals of any kind. Water that you can put in a glass and drink. This sham study jumps up and down and screams to call attention–without pointing out the fact that some of the biggest spills are simple fresh water. And of the spills that happened with water “laced” with chemicals, or flowback, etc., the “vast majority of spills are contained on the well pad and never impact the environment.” Here’s the latest on the waste emanating from Duke University…
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    DOE’s 2016 LNG Year in Review – Sabine Pass Exports 184 Bcf!

    The U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Fossil Energy has just released a full report of LNG (liquefied natural gas) imports and exports for all of 2016. The history books will look back at 2016 as the year when the world of LNG changed. Although it seemed like it took forever, in February 2016 Cheniere Energy shipped its first LNG export cargo from its Sabine Pass facility in southern Louisiana (see Cheniere Finally Ships First Sabine Pass LNG Export – to Brazil //marcellusdrilling.com/2016/02/cheniere-finally-ships-first-sabine-pass-lng-export-to-brazil/). From February through the end of December, Sabine Pass, which (we believe) included some Marcellus/Utica gas, exported an astounding 60 cargoes of LNG, moving nearly 184 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of American-made natural gas to other countries. Prices ranged from $3.72 to $6.21 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf). Cheniere (and others) are just getting started! Below is the full report from the DOE Office of Fossil Energy…
    Read More “DOE’s 2016 LNG Year in Review – Sabine Pass Exports 184 Bcf!”

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    Frackenstein Returns – Insights on Microbes in Fracked M-U Wells

    For the first time, scientists reconstructed the genetic material from microbes in shale formations (represented here) being drilled for natural gas – click for larger version

    Last year MDN shared with you the news that researchers from Ohio State University analyzed the genomes of microorganisms (i.e. bacteria) that live in Utica Shale wells and found little communities of microscopic critters that live in those shale wells, including a brand new critter that lives only in fracked Utica Shale wells (see Frackenstein! Researchers Find New Life Form in Fracked Utica Wells). The hypothesis is that fracking itself created this new mutated life form. The researchers call this new microorganism “Frackibacter” (pronounced frack-uh-back-tor). We call it Frackenstein! Who knew fracking didn’t destroy life, but actually creates it?! Not long after the original announcement, those same researchers, in poring over their data, discovered those tiny critters may actually INCREASE natural gas output from the well (see Frackenstein 2: Gassy Utica Critters May Increase Well Output!). Since that time the same researchers have continued to review their data and now have important insights to add: microbes from the surface get injected deep in the earth during the fracking process. And those microbes do a good job of adapting and surviving, even in an environment with a lot of chemicals and minerals. That adaptation means more methane is produced, but it also means more corrosion of pipes and equipment. The researchers hope scientists will use this information to produce better fracking fluids and equipment used to extract natural gas…
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    Shell Launches LNG Outlook 2017 – Rapid Growth Ahead

    Click for larger version

    On Monday, Shell launched its first-ever “LNG Outlook,” an assessment of the global liquefied natural gas (LNG) market. Shell, you may recall, purchased BG in 2016 (announced in 2015), the largest such deal (at $69.7 billion) since Exxon bought Mobil and merged it in. The reason for the purchase? LNG (see LNG Love Story: Shell Makes Play to Buy BG in $69.7B Megamerger). According to the outlook released by Shell yesterday, global demand for unliquefied natural gas is expected to increase by 2% a year between 2015 and 2030, while LNG demand will rise at twice that rate–4 to 5% per year. The outlook says that while many expected a big increase in new LNG supplies that would outpace demand in 2016, something unexpected happened. Demand for LNG kept pace with supply due to a spike in demand coming from Asia and the Middle East. Two of the fastest growing buyers are China and India, growing their imports at a steep clip. Add to that, six new countries began importing LNG last year: Colombia, Egypt, Jamaica, Jordan, Pakistan and Poland. What it all spells is that even with more LNG supplies coming online in the U.S. (and other countries, like Australia), the demand is there to sop up the supply. Here’s the Shell LNG Outlook, first edition…
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    EIA Feb Drilling Rpt: Gas Prod. to Hit New Record High in March

    Yesterday MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report–the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. For the past four reports, estimating production for November, December, January, and February, Marcellus natgas has increased. The trend continues in this latest report, which forecasts production for the coming month of March. In fact, EIA says natgas production for six of the seven major shale plays will go up–by a lot. In fact, if the numbers prove to be true, the combined natural gas production for the seven major plays will hit a new record high of 49.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in March. Two months ago the EIA predicted natgas production in the Marcellus would zoom up by 160 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). Last month EIA predicted Marcellus production would go up another huge 188 MMcf/d. This month, it’s even higher: March production will go up 192 MMcf/d! The other big story (for us) is just how much natgas production is rising in the Texas Permian Basin–up another 129 MMcf/d. But wait, the Permian is an oil play, right? Correct. However, more than just oil comes out of the ground–plenty of “associated” natural gas also comes out, along with the oil. The Permian is seeing white hot levels of new drilling. The more oil drilling, the more associated natural gas that comes along with it. Below we have the latest report, long with some analysis…
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    10% of PA Farms Received Avg $154K in Lease/Royalties in 2014

    Some farms not only produce products like milk, meat, eggs and/or crops–some farms produce energy. Would it surprise you to learn that in 2014 (the most recent year with stats available), energy companies paid farmers a staggering $2.9 billion for the energy extracted from private farms? The U.S. Dept. of Agriculture posted a brief blurb from their Amber Waves magazine yesterday, recounting stats from a report released last November. The report, “Trends in U.S. Agriculture’s Consumption and Production of Energy: Renewable Power, Shale Energy, and Cellulosic Biomass” (full copy below) points out it’s not just oil and gas extraction that farmers receive income from. Some farmers lease their land for solar and wind generation. Some biomass. However, it was one particular chart and stat that caught our attention: About 9.6% of Pennsylvania farms received energy income in 2014. The average amount received, per farm? $157,000! Almost all of that revenue came from the Marcellus Shale…
    Read More “10% of PA Farms Received Avg $154K in Lease/Royalties in 2014”

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    WVU Program Converts Stranded Shale Gas into “Valuable Products”

    West Virginia University (WVU) has joined a national effort to “turn natural gas into valuable products and do it at the well.” There are many locations in the Marcellus (and Utica) where pipelines don’t yet connect. Wells drilled but not hooked up to production. WVU has joined the newest branch of the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Network of Manufacturing Institutes. Called Rapid Advancement in Process Intensification Deployment institute, or RAPID, the institute “will focus on using advanced manufacturing to develop breakthrough technologies to boost the productivity and efficiency of some of industrial processes by 20 percent in the next five years.” That is, they plan to design modular reactors–think of them as teeny tiny crackers–that can be carted around well site to well site, converting methane, ethane and other hydrocarbons into new chemical products. It’s a very exciting concept. WV in particular has a lot of hilly terrain that makes installing pipelines difficult. This is a potential solution to that problem…
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    Ohio Utica Shale Drillers Pay Millions of Dollars in Property Taxes

    Click image for larger version

    Hiking the severance tax is not only an anal fixation by Democrat governors, like PA Gov. Tom Wolf (see PA Gov Wolf’s New Budget Calls for 6.5% Severance Tax (Again)), it’s also a fixation for RINO (Republican) governors, like OH Gov. John Kasich (see OH Gov. Kasich Recycles Proposal to Increase Utica Severance Tax). Yet in both states drillers already pay more than their fair share of state and local taxes. In PA it’s called an impact fee (i.e. tax), and in OH it’s called a severance tax PLUS an ad valorem, or property tax. In OH, the ad valoreum tax is raising millions of dollars in counties with active Utica drilling. According to a new report from the Ohio Oil & Gas Association and Energy in Depth, from 2010-2015, the ad valorem tax in OH’s top 6 Utica Shale producing counties raised a total of $43.7 million! Over the next 10 years (2016-2026), the report finds OH counties will get $200-$250 million in new tax revenue from ad valorem taxes. And yet Gov. Kasich insists drillers aren’t paying their fair share. What a sham! The report, titled “The Utica Shale Local Support Series: Ohio’s Oil and Gas Industry Property Tax Payments” (full copy below) is chock full of great news for OH counties…
    Read More “Ohio Utica Shale Drillers Pay Millions of Dollars in Property Taxes”

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    Drexel Study Claims Fugitive Methane Increasing in the Marcellus

    For those of us in a certain generation, you will recognize this: Fred, Daphne, Shaggy, Velma…and of course, Scooby-Doo! If you were raised watching cartoons on Saturday morning, and you watched Scooby-Doo, do you remember the name of the van they traveled around in? That’s right, the Mystery Machine! An image of the Mystery Machine is what floated through our brain as we read about the latest venture in researching air quality in Pennsylvania near drilling sites. Researchers from Drexel University (in Philadelphia) set out across Marcellus territory in “Drexel’s Mobile Laboratory, a Ford cargo van equipped with all the equipment necessary for measuring concentrations of chemicals and particles in the air at 1-10 second intervals while driving.” The Mystery Machine! And what, pray tell, did our intrepid Marcellus sleuths find be-bopping around the countryside? In the recently published study, “Analysis of local-scale background concentrations of methane and other gas-phase species in the Marcellus Shale” (full copy below), researchers say they found that even though the number of Marcellus wells being drilled has slowed quite a bit over the past few years, the amount of fugitive methane in the air has increased. And the increase can’t be explained by a general global increase in fugitive methane. The increase in fugitive methane in the Marcellus is due, our methane sleuths say, to the “increased production of natural gas from the region which has increased significantly over the 2012 to 2015 period.” The researchers conclude that “because everybody knows how evil and nasty fugitive methane is for global warming” (our words), this study is yet more evidence that Marcellus shale drilling (and pipelines, etc.) leak so much methane as to make any benefits we get from extracting and burning methane, over say coal, muted–even lost. Because we can’t put a cork in it, by extracting and using methane we’re making poor old Mom Earth even sicker. Which is, of course, total bunkum…
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    Five Facts About Shale: It’s Coming Back, and Coming Back Strong

    Major multinational bank Société Générale, headquartered in Paris but with major operations here in the U.S., has just issued a 37-page report on U.S. commodities. The theme of the report caught our attention: “Five facts about shale: it’s coming back, and coming back strong.” Analysts working for Société Générale asked themselves this question: Will the U.S. recovery in oil and gas production offset OPEC cuts? They review some of the key dynamics of U.S. shale production in their report. Specifically, they highlight five facts about U.S. shale production that all point to the same underlying trend: shale is coming back in a big way…
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    Baker Hughes Rig Count for January Heads Higher Again

    The Baker Hughes rig count continued its rocket ride in January. The international rig count (worldwide) was 933, up 4 from the 929 counted in December. However, in the U.S., the January rig count was 683, up a huge 49 rigs from the 634 in December. The Marcellus/Utica displayed equally good news. The combined rig counts for PA-OH-WV was 61, up by 3 rigs from December’s 58. Both PA and OH gained 2 rigs while WV lost 1 rig in January. Here’s the full set of numbers (and a pretty chart)…
    Read More “Baker Hughes Rig Count for January Heads Higher Again”