Crude & NatGas Drilling Slowing, Which Affects Propane Supplies
Commodities like oil and natural gas are just about the purest form of free market capitalism on the planet. They are textbook supply-and-demand commodities. When supply goes up or down, given the same demand, the price for the commodity will go up or down inversely. It doesn’t take long for the markets to “balance.” The same on the demand side. If demand goes up or down and supply stays the same, the price will go up or down. But what about propane? The propane market is different and much harder to predict.
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We’re not even sure how to process this, or where to begin. We previously warned MDN readers that New York Gov. Kathy Hochul, an extremist, is trying to ban natural gas hookups in every single new home and business across the “Empire” State (see 
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Southwestern Energy, with major assets in the Marcellus/Utica and Louisiana Haynesville, issued its first quarter 2023 update late last week. The company generated an impressive $1.9 billion in net income for the quarter versus losing $2.7 billion in 1Q22. That’s an incredible swing of $4.6 billion in one year! The company generated $99 million in free cash flow for the quarter. Southwestern reported total net production of 411 Bcfe (billion cubic feet equivalent), or 4.6 Bcfe per day, including 3.9 Bcf per day of gas and 107 MBbls (thousand barrels) per day of liquids. Southwestern invested $665 million of capital and placed 36 wells online to sales, including 13 in the Marcellus/Utica and 23 in the Haynesville.
Last week CNX Resources issued its first quarter 2023 update. The company generated $710 million of net income versus losing $923 million in the same quarter last year. However, actual revenue for selling gas and NGLs was down from a year ago ($456 million vs. $745 million). The net income figure also includes gains and losses on derivatives (hedging). In 1Q22, CNX lost $1.7 billion on its derivatives, but in 1Q23, the company made $762 million on derivatives. Production fell in 1Q23, down to 135.9 Bcfe (or 1.51 Bcfe/d), versus 150.9 Bcfe (1.68 Bcfe/d) in 1Q22.
The Delaware River Basin Commission (DRBC), which treats the 17 counties in Pennsylvania under its jurisdiction as a fiefdom, has colluded with the leftists of the Big Green group Damascus Citizens for Sustainability to “settle” a lawsuit brought by the group against DRBC “forcing” the DRBC to further restrict and ban wastewater from conventional wells from being spread on roadways (dirt roads) in the 17 PA counties located behind the Iron Curtain of the DRBC.
Last summer Pennsylvania House Bill (HB) 2644 was passed into law, becoming Act 96 of 2022 (see 
During the second week of May, Marcellus driller Northeast Natural Energy will begin to drill a geothermal and carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) data collection well–all the way down to 15,000 below the surface. The test well is being done in cooperation with (under the direction of) West Virginia University and the U.S. Dept. of Energy. The study and the data collected from the well aim to test the potential of geothermal energy in the region and gather information on the potential for underground CCS in the Appalachian basin.
To store carbon dioxide (CO2) underground, you need a Class VI CO2 injection well. Currently, the federal EPA is the primary regulator (has “primacy”) in regulating Class VI wells in all but two states (neither of which is a Marcellus/Utica state). PA and other oil and gas states are seeking to become the lead regulator for Class VI CO2 wells, which we explained in a post in March (see 
EQT Corporation, the largest natural gas producer in the U.S., issued its first quarter 2023 update yesterday. The company reported a profit of $1.2 billion in net income during 1Q23 versus losing $1.5 billion in the same quarter a year ago. That’s nearly a $3 billion swing in one year! The company generated $774 million in free cash flow in 1Q. Production was 459 Bcfe (billion cubic feet equivalent) for the quarter, which works out to be 5.1 Bcfe/d, down 7% from last year’s 1Q, which was 492 Bcfe (or 5.47 Bcfe/d).
Yesterday Antero Resources, which is 100% focused on the Marcellus/Utica with over 500,000 net acres under lease (and the largest M-U driller in West Virginia), issued its first quarter 2023 update. The company reports net production averaged 3.3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day (Bcfe/d), an increase of 3% year-over-year. Of that production, liquids (NGLs) averaged 187 thousand barrels per day (MBbl/d), an increase of 17% from the year-ago period. Natural gas production averaged 2.2 Bcf/d, a decline of 3% from the year-ago period.