NYMEX Gas Price Huge Spike of $0.80, Flies by $9, Heading for $10
In what is being called an “explosive” trading session yesterday, the price for the front-month NYMEX contract (July) spiked up 80 cents in a single day to close at $9.32/MMBtu–the highest level in over 13 years. The August NYMEX contract closed at one penny less, $9.31/MMBtu. The weather seems to be the main reason for the spike. Longer range forecasts for Texas and the Midcontinent region are for high heat in the coming weeks. The high heat will lead to running air conditioners that use electricity. Windmills in Texas are “faltering” and not expected to deliver their normal load, meaning natgas plants will need to make up the difference. Once again unreliable renewables prove they are not up to the task.
Read More “NYMEX Gas Price Huge Spike of $0.80, Flies by $9, Heading for $10”
It’s time to remove three radicalized Democrat judges who have consistently (12 of 14 times) voted against Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) in appeals brought by Big Green groups. The three judges of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit (we call it the 4th Circus) are bigoted and prejudiced against natural gas pipeline projects. We’re talking about Judge Stephanie Thacker, appointed by Barack Hussein Obama; Judge James Wynn, appointed by Barack Hussein Obama; and Chief Judge Roger Gregory, appointed by William Jefferson Clinton. These three leftwing judges find the smallest, nitpicky things to use as an excuse to block the completion of the 94% completed, 303-mile MVP project. MVP has just filed a request with the 15 members of the 4th Circuit to appoint three new judges in their place.
Broadcasting its intent to expand aggressively in the LNG export market, Chesapeake Energy is advertising to hire a liquefied natural gas (LNG) advisor. The LinkedIn ad shows that so far 41 people have applied. The ad opens by saying the company is looking for “a lead for new business opportunities for Chesapeake for liquified natural gas (LNG) and provides guidance on LNG Marketing activities in order to optimize the company’s revenue.” And hey, good news: The job can be 100% remote!
In August 2018 DTE Energy broke ground on a new state-of-the-art natural gas-fired power plant in St. Clair County, Michigan (see 
RBN Energy’s own Rusty Braziel (the R and the B in RBN) is back with another powerhouse post on the RBN blog site. This one is about the market for ethane. For those new to MDN, ethane is one of the primary NGLs (natural gas liquids) that comes out of the ground along with oil and natural gas. Propane and butane are a couple of other common NGLs produced in the Marcellus/Utica. Ethane is the raw material used to produce ethylene, and ethylene is turned into plastic pellets that are used to manufacture thousands of different products you use every day of your life. The ethane market is, according to Braziel, “in turmoil” right now. Ethane prices are up, almost double since January, and are at their highest level in 10 years. Ethane traditionally has been a waste product for many M-U drillers. Now it’s an important source of revenue.
MARCELLUS/UTICA REGION: Utica Shale graduates largest class; NATIONAL: Biden to waive tariffs for 24 months on solar panels hit by probe; Climate “scientist” goes wild and glues himself to bank; AEA launches digital advocacy campaign against a new national energy tax; 100 ways Biden and the Democrats have made it harder to produce oil & gas; INTERNATIONAL: Germany doesn’t want to be ‘too successful’ at replacing Russian natural gas.
From time to time we highlight deals by companies that purchase landowners’ (or rights owners’) royalty payments–giving them a lump sum payment upfront in return for signing over all future royalty payments to the company buying the rights. Buying future royalty payments is not unlike companies that approach and pay lottery winners who receive payouts over a long period (for life, or for a period of years), with the lottery winner selling his or her future payments for a single lump sum now. Two companies of the larger companies in this space are about to merge.
Energy Transfer (ET) has signed a fifth customer to accept shipments of LNG produced by ET’s yet-to-be-constructed LNG export facility in Lake Charles, Louisiana, located on the Calcasieu ship channel. Yesterday (yes, on a Sunday), ET issued a press release to announce a 25-year deal with China Gas to purchase 0.7 million tonnes (MT) of LNG per year on a free-on-board (FOB) basis. Added with the other deals, ET has now pre-sold 5.8 MT per year of the site’s planned capacity to produce 16.45 MT per year, meaning 35% of the capacity is now spoken for. More than a third of the way there!
In April the New York State Assembly passed Assembly Bill A7389C. Early Friday morning the New York State Senate, on the last day of the current session, passed the same bill, sending it to Gov. Kathy Hochul’s desk for a signature. A7389C (full copy below) slaps a two-year moratorium on cryptocurrency mining (i.e. bitcoin mining) powered by electricity generated from burning fossil fuels. Here’s how it works in New York (we’ve seen this multiple times): First comes a moratorium that lasts a year or two, then the moratorium gets extended, and eventually the moratorium turns into an outright, permanent ban. That’s how it worked with fracking, and that’s how it will work with bitcoin mining in New York, a state that has become extremely hostile to business.
Last week Congressional Republicans from the House of Representatives, led by the man who will become the Speaker of the House after November’s coming tsunami election, Kevin McCarthy, introduced a road map describing how they will mitigate rising gasoline prices and address so-called climate change if the party wins control of the House in November’s midterm elections (which they will). The Republican plan arises from the task force established last year by McCarthy, called the Energy, Climate, and Conservation (ECC) Task Force. The task force rolled out a six-part “plan” (more like a framework than a fleshed-out plan) to tackle the ongoing energy crisis and the challenge of “global climate change.”
Last Friday the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas issued a monthly update on energy indicators. This latest report tackles the popping price of natural gas and strong growth in the production of U.S. chemicals, including plastics (which largely come from oil and natural gas). We found the Fed’s analysis of where we are now, and where things are likely headed this year, of interest and value. We think you will too.
The International Energy Forum (IEF), based in Saudi Arabia, is leading a research initiative examining the elements required to create a hydrogen market. Currently, hydrogen accounts for a piddly 1% of the energy mix worldwide, but is expected to scale up in the coming years and decades as countries strive to reduce carbon emissions (reducing CO2 is a futile effort, but it is what it is). Current research and discussions on hydrogen focus primarily on the various production cost outlooks for different “colors” of hydrogen (gray for hydrogen that comes from natural gas with no carbon capture, blue if there is carbon capture, green for using water and renewables to create hydrogen, etc.). There has been, according to IEF, little discussion around the possible trajectories of the “hydrogen business model.” Scaling up hydrogen production, regardless of color, will require new types of contracts, financialization (price discovery), and/or commoditization. The IEF has just issued a new report called “Scaling-Up the Hydrogen Market” (full copy below).
The Enverus rig count, as of Wednesday, stood at 821, up by three from the week before. We are only 17 rigs away from the pre-pandemic high of 838 rigs. Last week the Marcellus operated 41 rigs (down by two), while the Utica operated 11 rigs (down by one), for a total of 52 active rigs in the M-U, lower than in previous weeks. According to S&P’s read of the situation, rig count additions appear to be slowing down. Despite high oil prices, drillers are still unwilling to drill, drill, drill.