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PJM Winter Outlook: Enough Power Available, Fingers Crossed

PJM Interconnection is the largest U.S. power grid operator, serving 65 million people in 13 states plus the District of Columbia (including PA, OH, and WV). PJM supplies power to more than 20% of the U.S. economy. The organization issued its annual Winter Outlook yesterday. The analysis says PJM and its members have adequate resources to serve the forecasted demand for electricity this winter under expected conditions, although reserve margins continue to shrink with continued generator (coal plant) retirements and increasing demand. However, if we have “extreme” weather events, problems like blackouts are possible. In other words, we will have enough electricity, but cross your fingers that we don’t experience any extreme weather. Read More “PJM Winter Outlook: Enough Power Available, Fingers Crossed”

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M-U Rig Count Stabilizes @ 33; National Rig Count Drops 2 @ 588

Two weeks ago, the national rig count, which counts all oil and gas rigs, added an astonishing eight rigs to the count after languishing for months — the biggest weekly gain in a year. As we told you, the Marcellus/Utica rig count from two weeks ago remained at 33, but that wasn’t the whole story (see Rig Bloodbath Continues – Pennsylvania Loses 7 Rigs in 3 Weeks). The whole story is that Pennsylvania is losing rigs, bleeding rigs, like crazy—four rigs gone in two weeks. And West Virginia is gaining those lost rigs. Last week’s Baker Hughes rig count shows the M-U maintained at 33. Thankfully, no rigs changed in any of the three M-U states. Read More “M-U Rig Count Stabilizes @ 33; National Rig Count Drops 2 @ 588”

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WhiteHawk Energy Buys Mineral Rights to Another 435K Acres in PA, WV

WhiteHawk Energy, headquartered in Philadelphia and owning mineral and royalty interests for over 1 million gross unit acres with over 3,400 producing horizontal shale wells between the Marcellus and the Haynesville, announced yesterday the acquisition of additional Marcellus Shale natural gas mineral and royalty assets for an undisclosed amount. The deal added 435,000 gross unit acres across southwestern Pennsylvania and northern West Virginia. Read More “WhiteHawk Energy Buys Mineral Rights to Another 435K Acres in PA, WV”

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ARCH2 Hydrogen Hub Looking for 3 New Projects to Replace Dropouts

Yesterday, Appalachian Regional Clean Hydrogen Hub (ARCH2) leadership team members presented an update on the ARCH2 initiative and its current status. Among the big news from the event was that ARCH2 is looking “for up to three” new projects that would be built in southwestern Pennsylvania, West Virginia, or eastern Ohio as part of the ARCH2 initiative. The new projects would replace several that are no longer part of ARCH2. Read More “ARCH2 Hydrogen Hub Looking for 3 New Projects to Replace Dropouts”

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Understanding the “Heat Content” of Natural Gas in PA, OH, WV

Here’s a new concept for some (including us): Have you ever heard about the “heat content” of energy like natural gas? Heat content is the amount of heat energy available to be released by the transformation or use of a specified physical unit of an energy form, like how much heat a cubic foot of natural gas produces when burned. Depending on where you go, the heat content of natural gas varies. A recent analysis by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that Texas has some of the lowest heat content, and West Virginia has some of the highest. Read More “Understanding the “Heat Content” of Natural Gas in PA, OH, WV”

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Did Jobs Promised by Shale in WV Materialize? Or Not?

An extensive article appearing in Mountain State Spotlight, a liberal publication aimed at publishing “sustained outrage” stories about happenings in West Virginia, boldly proclaims, “The natural gas boom was supposed to bring prosperity to West Virginians in poverty. That didn’t happen.” The article focuses on several individuals who are living (metaphorically) without a pot to pee in, claiming natgas was supposed to make them fat, dumb, and happy but didn’t. So why didn’t that happen? Read More “Did Jobs Promised by Shale in WV Materialize? Or Not?”

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Rig Bloodbath Continues – Pennsylvania Loses 7 Rigs in 3 Weeks

Hidden in last Friday’s weekly Baker Hughes official rig count is a big story happening in the Marcellus/Utica. From the 30,000-foot level, Friday’s latest rig count report appeared just fine. The national rig count, which counts all oil and gas rigs, added an astonishing eight rigs to the count after languishing for months — the biggest weekly gain in a year. Very nice. The M-U count maintained at 33, down from a few weeks ago, but still not completely terrible. But then you open the hood and look at the engine, and something startling happens. Pennsylvania is losing rigs, bleeding rigs, like crazy—four rigs gone in the last two weeks. And West Virginia is gaining those lost rigs. Typically, there’s no one answer as to why these things happen. Our best guess is that Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP), coming online from the northern panhandle of WV to southern Virginia, carrying natgas to markets outside the immediate region for higher prices, has much to do with this realignment.
Read More “Rig Bloodbath Continues – Pennsylvania Loses 7 Rigs in 3 Weeks”

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Sept. STEO Predicts NatGas Price to Stay Down Near $2 This Fall

Once a month, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) analysts issue the agency’s Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), their best guess about where energy prices and production will go in the next 12 months. Starting in June, the EIA axed its monthly Drilling Productivity Report that focused on shale plays and instead rolled it into the monthly STEO (see Biden EIA Dumps Detailed Monthly U.S. Shale Drilling Report). We’re still grumbling about the change. So, what did the September 2024 STEO, issued yesterday, show? The EIA has lowered its estimation of the average price of natural gas for both this year and next. Read More “Sept. STEO Predicts NatGas Price to Stay Down Near $2 This Fall”

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Trend Accelerates: Pennsylvania Loses 2 More Rigs to West Virginia

A very big story is unfolding in the Marcellus/Utica, and nobody else is talking about it. There is a major reshuffling of rigs in the M-U, with Pennsylvania losing active rigs and West Virginia picking them up. Two weeks ago, PA dropped from 21 to 18 active rigs, the lowest count it has had in 2 1/2 years (see Pennsylvania Dropped 3 Rigs Last Week, Lowest Count in 2.5 Years). WV picked up one of those rigs, moving from five to six active rigs. Last week, the trend accelerated.
Read More “Trend Accelerates: Pennsylvania Loses 2 More Rigs to West Virginia”

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Pennsylvania Dropped 3 Rigs Last Week, Lowest Count in 2.5 Years

The big news (for us) with the weekly Baker Hughes rig count is that last week, Pennsylvania laid down its use of three active drilling rigs, resulting in the lowest rig count in the state in 2 1/2 years. PA now operates 18 active rigs, down from 21 the week prior. The last time PA operated only 18 rigs was, according to our records, in November 2021. Fortunately, West Virginia picked up one of those rigs and improved its count from five to six. Ohio remained the same with nine active rigs. So, the Marcellus/Utica, in total, went from 35 active rigs two weeks ago to 33 active rigs last week. The national rig count (for both oil and gas rigs) dropped by two, now with 583 active rigs. Read More “Pennsylvania Dropped 3 Rigs Last Week, Lowest Count in 2.5 Years”

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West Virginia NatGas Production Hits New Highs with MVP Startup

Earlier this month, MDN brought you the important news that just one month after the mighty Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) went online, natural gas production in the State of West Virginia increased more than 9% (see WV Marcellus Production Up 9.5% in One Month Thanks to MVP). We now have data for another full month of production since MVP’s June 14 startup. What does the data show? The increase in WV production remains elevated.
Read More “West Virginia NatGas Production Hits New Highs with MVP Startup”

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Jay-Bee Paying $42M to Settle WV Post-Production Deduction Lawsuit

Here’s a lawsuit that flew under our radar — until now. Several landowners in West Virginia sued Jay-Bee Oil & Gas, alleging “improper royalty deductions” were made from royalty checks for post-production work from 2010 to 2023. The landowners (their lawyers) convinced a court to turn the lawsuit into a class action. Jay-Bee denies the claims in the lawsuit but has agreed to settle the dispute to avoid additional litigation by paying $42.6 million into a settlement fund established to disburse payments to participating class members.
Read More “Jay-Bee Paying $42M to Settle WV Post-Production Deduction Lawsuit”

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WV Judge Blocks Class Action in Diversified Old Wells Lawsuit

MDN has an exclusive update on a lawsuit by several West Virginia surface landowners who are suing Diversified Energy over Diversified’s failure to plug their unproducing conventional wells. At the prompting of the Sierra Club, the landowners attempted to turn the lawsuit into a class action. Yesterday, a federal judge for the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of WV struck down the class action request, meaning a couple of surface owners from the original lawsuit can proceed with their lawsuit. The outcome won’t affect anyone else. However, a second related case and a second request for a class action are still alive.
Read More “WV Judge Blocks Class Action in Diversified Old Wells Lawsuit”

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Analyzing Monthly New Permit Trends for PA, OH, WV Shale

We spotted an article on the always-excellent NGI website (the Daily Gas Price Index) that said exploration and production (E&P) permitting activity shows a “summer slump” in natural gas plays, including in the Marcellus/Utica. The information in the article is from data compiled by Enverus and Evercore ISI. So, we decided to review our weekly new permit reports for the M-U to see if our data shows a slump over the past three months. Our data shows no slump in permitting but rather the opposite.
Read More “Analyzing Monthly New Permit Trends for PA, OH, WV Shale”

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National Rig Count Down Again: U.S. Drops 1 @ 585, M-U Even @ 35

We continue to be range-bound with respect to the Baker Hughes U.S. rig count. The count has gone up and down every few weeks. But since the third week of June, the range has been as low as 581 and as high as 589. And that’s it. We seem to have found the bottom (we hope we have). Last week, the national rig count lost another rig and now stands at 585. The Marcellus/Utica remained even at 35 active rigs after losing one rig two weeks ago. Pennsylvania operates 21 active rigs; Ohio operates nine active rigs; and West Virginia operates five active rigs.
Read More “National Rig Count Down Again: U.S. Drops 1 @ 585, M-U Even @ 35”

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Manchin Permitting Bill Takes One Small Step, Remains Stalled

U.S. Senator Joe Manchin from West Virginia (aka Traitor Joe) spoke to the Pittsburgh Business Times Wednesday afternoon about a bill he and Republican Sen. John Barrasso (from Wyoming) recently introduced, the Energy Permitting Reform Act of 2024 (see Barrasso, Manchin Release Bipartisan Energy Permitting Reform Bill). Manchin told PBT reporter Paul Gough he thinks it’s likely to get a vote on the measure by both the Senate and House by the end of this year. We want to drink some of the same funny juice Manchin is drinking.
Read More “Manchin Permitting Bill Takes One Small Step, Remains Stalled”