EIA June DPR: Haynesville Growth Stumbles, Permian Gas Grows

The latest monthly U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) for June issued yesterday (below) shows a slowdown in the growth of natural gas production for the seven shale plays covered in the report. That does not mean we will produce less gas from shale in the coming month; it means the growth rate of new (all-time high) supplies is slowing. At some point, we expect to see negative growth–i.e., shrinking production. It’s coming. Of particular note in this report is that the Haynesville will add very little new production in the next month. Even bigger news: Haynesville production in June is down from May!
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Two major Marcellus/Utica drillers–Seneca Resources and Northeast Natural Energy (NNE)–have joined the CG Hub, the world’s first commodities trading platform focused exclusively on certified natural gas and certified natural gas certificates. Seneca and Northeast now provide access to a combined 1+ billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of certified natural gas to traders via the CG Hub.
Is shale energy beginning to peter out? We’re beginning to see stories in oil and gas publications about how the best locations to drill for shale oil and gas are gone, and the less desirable, less productive locations are now left. We don’t know if that’s true, but it seems people whose multi-billion-dollar businesses depend on it believe it–people like the CEO of Exxon Mobil, Darren Woods. The general attitude that we’re running out has led to two notable strategies to keep the good times rolling: (1) refracing existing wells, and (2) researching new technologies and techniques to get more oil and gas from existing and new wells.
In January, the hard-left Bidenistas who control the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC) floated a trial balloon that they want to ban natural gas stoves, forcing you (if you have one) to replace it with an electric stove at the cost of around $1,400 (see
An energy analyst and trader writing on the Seeking Alpha investor’s website published an intriguing post this morning that claims we are a few months away from the “potential start of a global energy crisis.” He predicts a massive energy price spike starting this fall and into next year, with both oil and gas prices potentially setting new all-time highs. He cites cuts in OPEC+ oil production, the big drop in U.S. shale drilling, and Europe’s “precarious” natural gas situation will combine to spike energy prices. Is he right?
Last Thursday around 30-40 environmental activists (anti-fossil fuelers), along with a handful of local residents, rallied in Beaver, PA, before showing up for the Beaver County Commission regular meeting. The protesters, who want the Shell ethane cracker plant shut down, vented their concerns about the plant to county commissioners. The three county commissioners listened while antis vented for more than an hour (they should receive hazard pay). The problem is, the protesters were in the wrong venue.
According to Baker Hughes, which has tracked rig counts since 1944, drillers cut the rig count once again last week (overall by a single rig), the sixth week in a row when the rig count has gone down. This is the first time the U.S. oil & gas rig count has gone down six weeks in a row since July 2020–nearly three years ago. Oil rigs rose by one last week to 556. Gas rigs fell two to 135, the lowest since March 2022. According to oil and gas expert David Blackmon (who writes for Forbes), a rig count slumping for six weeks in a row is a trend and cannot be ignored. What about the Marcellus/Utica?
Last June (one year ago), the story broke that Penn LNG, headed by Franc James, a native of Philadelphia, had “quietly lined up support to build a $6.4 billion liquefied natural gas export terminal near Philly.” Not wanting this golden opportunity to die from opposition by radicalized environmentalists, Pennsylvania State Rep. Marina White (Republican from Philadelphia, a true rarity) sponsored House Bill (HB) 2458, which passed and was subsequently signed into law by then-Gov. Tom Wolf (see
Researchers with Ohio Northern University recently published a study that finds that fracking for Utica Shale sometimes (“episodically”) reduces small Eastern Ohio River basin stream levels. The fluctuations in those stream levels “could” (but not necessarily do) negatively impact aquatic life (ecosystems) in those areas. The situation should, according to the researchers, be confirmed by more studies and monitoring.
We spotted a press release from an energy company that works in New York State called
Last week the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) shared some information that, strangely, has not been written about by mainstream media. Not a mention, not a peep. EIA found that U.S. electricity generation from natural gas was the highest it has ever been this past winter, 2022-23. U.S. electricity generation from natural gas reached a record-high 619 billion kilowatthours (BkWh) during the most recent winter heating season (November 1-March 31), averaging more than 120 BkWh per month and accounting for 38% of the country’s electricity generation mix.
In 2021 as he was running for the office of Governor in Virginia, Glenn Youngkin pledged if he won, he would remove the state from the onerous carbon tax on coal- and gas-fired power plants called the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI). True to his word, after winning, Younkin pledged to ax RGGI with an executive order (see
A radicalized left-wing organization hellbent on forcing the end of fossil energy called Evergreen Action, along with another radical nonprofit called Ceres, partnered and paid a for-profit company called Synapse Energy Economics (that works exclusively for left-wing groups) to produce a completely sham and false “report” that (try not to laugh) claims Pennsylvania residents will pay less for their electricity under the onerous, Marcellus-killing Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) carbon tax.
Yesterday a group of paid activists and climate zealots showed up at the White House to protest the debt ceiling bill provision that forces the completion of the 94%, very safe, Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) project. In what has to be one of the saddest things we’ve seen coming from the leftwing nutmob, one parent actually pushed her seven-year-old to the microphone to tear up and declare MVP would ruin the environment. Oh, and the kid doesn’t even live along the path of the pipeline! Not even in the same state!! That’s called brainwashing. What kind of parent scares their kid like this, telling them lies about a simple and safe natural gas pipeline? SHAME on you.
Last December, Rice Acquisition Corp II, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) started by the Rice brothers (Danny, Toby, and Derek), announced a deal to acquire NET Power–an electric power developer with revolutionary new technology to capture every last molecule of carbon dioxide from natural gas-fired power plants (see