The Coming Clash Between DC and NY re Pipeline Approvals
Yesterday MDN brought you the news that Williams is talking with White House officials about federal intervention into the illegal refusal by the New York Dept. of Environmental Conservation (DEC) to issue water crossing permits for their Constitution Pipeline project (see Williams Tries an End-Run Around NY DEC for Constitution Permit). As we explained in that post, NY has authority granted to it by the federal government to award stream crossing permits under Section 401 of the federal Clean Water Act. The DEC, for purely political reasons and under the direction of Gov. Andrew Cuomo, has refused to do so–not only for the Constitution, but also for a second major pipeline project in the western part of the state (NFG’s Northern Access Pipeline project). According to an analyst from Height Securities, there is “political will” in Washington “to strip New York of its permitting authority.” Andrew Cuomo has gone rogue. He ignores federal law. Will Washington allow NY to continue thumbing its nose at the law? It looks like this is a battle royale between Donald Trump and Andrew Cuomo. Our chips are on Trump… Read More “The Coming Clash Between DC and NY re Pipeline Approvals”

While Williams is battling New York State in court, and in Washington, to get its Constitution Pipeline approved, another Williams project in neighboring Pennsylvania is much closer to construction–the Atlantic Sunrise Pipeline project. Atlantic Sunrise is a $3 billion, 198-mile pipeline project running through 10 Pennsylvania counties to connect Marcellus Shale natural gas from northeastern PA with the Williams’ Transco pipeline in southern Lancaster County. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) gave its final seal of approval for the project in February (see
In March 2016, MDN reported that EV Energy Partners (EVEP)–an upstream master limited partnership (MLP) created by EnerVest that holds enormous acreage in the Ohio Utica Shale play–was in survival mode (see
Williams CEO Alan Armstrong sat down with a Reuters reporter earlier this week to discuss the company and its deal making over the past few years, and what lies ahead. And boy oh boy, what a ride it has been! In June 2014, Williams cut a deal to buy out (and merge in) Access Midstream for $6 billion (see
To say that how electricity in the Northeast gets generated has shifted dramatically over the past 10 years is an understatement. In the nine Northeast states, natural gas doubled its share of the region’s total generation to 41% in 2016, up from 23% in 2006. Coal-fired generation fell from 31% to 11% of generation over the same period. Nuclear-powered generation as a share of total generation remained relatively constant near 34%. And so-called renewables like wind and solar are almost undetectable as a percentage of electricity generation. Which means Andrew Cuomo’s insistence that New York get 50% of its electricity from “renewable” sources by 2030 is not only fantasy–it’s lunacy. The man is a crackpot if he thinks that will actually happen. Anyhow, the point of this post, which contains an article recently released by our favorite government agency, the Energy Information Administration, is that over the past 10 years, natural gas has essentially replaced coal in electric generation in the Northeast…
New England, with its opposition to new natural gas pipelines, is shooting itself in the head when it comes to electricity supplies. A recent announcement from ISO New England, charged with maintaining electric reliability for New England’s power grid, says everything should be fine this summer when it comes to electric generation–BUT “forecasts show possibility of occasional tight system conditions.” Rolling blackouts anyone? Some 700 megawatts (MW) of expected new resources “are delayed and may not be available this summer.” Natgas-fired electric generators in New England have been begging and pleading for pipelines to bring more natural gas to the region–to feed their plants. Yet the dopes in New England, like Sen. Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren and Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healy, keep shutting them out…
Bret Stephens, until recently, was a writer for the Wall Street Journal. He’s your typical liberal–Democrat and big believer in man-made global warming hysteria. Stephens recently left the WSJ and joined the New York Times. His very first column in the Times, published at the end of April, tackles the issue of “the science is settled” when it comes to “climate change.” Stephens does not say he’s flipped sides and not does not believe in man-made global warming–he simply wants to acknowledge that algorithms and suppositions change, and it’s better to be honest about it now, rather than have some of your theories proven wrong later–leading to the belief that the entire meme is wrong. Stephens is the kind of intellectual lefty lib that, quite frankly, we respect. He’s willing to deal honestly with facts–not ignore them and pretend they don’t exist. And for that, his own posse turned around and viciously attacked him. Stephens, a “never Trumper” was used to being attacked by the right, but the attacks he’s now getting from the left are “perhaps worse” than those he ever received from the right…
The “best of the rest” – stories that caught MDN’s eye that you may be interested in reading. In today’s lineup: Can Southeast infrastructure handle Southeast demand growth?; why more coal, oil and natgas investments are needed; coal and nuke plants think Trump just saved their bacon; energy revolutions hidden in plain sight; Senate GOP defections sink effort to repeal BLM venting, flaring rule; US shale spending dwarf competition; Sabine Pass exports rise; UK to become third world country?…considers nationalizing energy companies & frack ban; and more!
You can’t see we didn’t warn Rover Pipeline. In our story yesterday about the Ohio EPA’s frustration with Rover over regular spills of drilling mud (and other violations), we pointed out that the OEPA’s language is “Not good news for Rover, when one of the main state regulators (that can stop the project) is leveling criticisms like that” (see
Does Williams have an “ace in the hole” with respect to the Constitution Pipeline? The Constitution, a ~$900 million, 124-mile pipeline planned to run from Susquehanna County, PA into Upstate New York, was approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) in December 2014 (see 
In April, Rex Energy, a driller focused mainly on the Marcellus/Utica (headquartered in State College, PA), issued an operational update (see
Gulfport Energy turned in their first quarter 2017 update earlier this week–a very impressive report. Gulfport reports producing an average 849.6 million cubic feet equivalent (MMcfe) per day in 1Q17–8% higher than 4Q16 and 23% higher than 1Q16. They scored an average price of $2.68 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) for the gas they sold. Perhaps most impressively, the company went from losing $242 million in 1Q16 to making a profit of $154 million in 1Q17–a swing of $396 million. Gulfport is a big Utica Shale driller. During 1Q17, the company spud (began to drill) 26 new Utica wells. The average length of each well was 8,145 feet. They hooked up 5 Utica wells to pipelines. On an earnings call, Gulfport CEO Michael Moore said 38% of their Utica well completions during 1Q17 included fracture treatment designs of “greater than 2,500 pounds [of sand] per foot.” That’s a lot of sand! Marcellus and Utica drillers typically find more sand = better production–and that’s what Gulfport is finding. Gulfport works with Mammoth Energy and Evolution Well Services–which operates rigs run by natural gas instead of diesel fuel. Below is the full 1Q17 update, along with comments from Moore delivered during the quarterly earnings call…
Moody’s Investors Service issued a report earlier this week saying an abundance of cheap, clean-burning Marcellus Shale gas threatens to “wreak havoc” in the electric generation market in the PJM area, which covers all or parts of DE, IL, IN, KY, MD, MI, NJ, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, and Washington, DC. According to Moody’s researchers, a large influx of natural gas power plants entering PJM Interconnection, due to cheap gas supplies from the Marcellus Shale, will pose “severe challenges for generators operating in the region” in the next few years. Because of the Marcellus “glut,” new plants coming online will drive down power prices, which “could lead” to widespread closures of coal power plants, and pressure operating margins for all generators, including other gas-fired plants. The prediction is that a low-price Armageddon will result in widespread corporate casualties. What can be done to avoid this hideous future? Nothing. The only thing power plant operators can do is cut their debt load, which they are doing. In other words, good old American competition (coming from Marcellus Shale gas) is making the PJM electric industry get leaner and more efficient. Imagine that…
We’ve kept an eye on several LNG export projects along the Eastern shore of Canada (most of them in Nova Scotia) for some time. Why? Because they’re a huge potential market for Marcellus and Utica Shale gas. One of those projects, in Nova Scotia, is the Goldboro LNG project from Pieridae Energy. The U.S. Dept. of Energy approved the plant for exporting to non-free trade agreement counties in February 2016 (see
Hold that decline curve! Researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory have done “extensive data mining” and analysis of 20,000 shale gas wells. In a paper published in the journal Applied Energy titled “The shale gas revolution: Barriers, sustainability, and emerging opportunities” (full copy below), Los Alamos researchers say that refracking existing wells with new technology can transform those wells from “diminished producers” (so/so wells) into “high-performers” long after the wells had supposedly hit peak production. “We hypothesize that manipulating tail production could re-revolutionize shale gas extraction,” said lead author of the study, Richard Middleton. Refracking eliminates the cost of drilling a new bore hole, and provides a smaller environmental footprint. What’s not to love! Let’s get refracking…