How the Marcellus & Utica Affects the Price of Natgas
A blogger writing on the Seeking Alpha investor’s website recently published a lengthy (and excellent) article listing 12 reasons why he believes the current price level of $6+ per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) for natural gas won’t last long. The article’s aim is to warn investors not to get caught up in an irrational exuberance and belief that higher gas prices are here to stay. As we’ve commented before, the commodity price for natural gas is of concern to everyone–from landowners to drillers to midstreamers to traders and buyers–the entire gas ecosystem.
The reason we highlight the SA article is two-fold: One is he makes some great points about what influences the price of gas, and second, two of his points concern the Marcellus and Utica…
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No less than three press releases were issued by Cabot Oil & Gas yesterday. In fact, the news is coming so fast and furious from all corners, it’s hard to keep up! First, Cabot announced a deal with the Transco pipeline to ship up to 850,000 MMBtu per day on the Transco once a new section is built–estimated to go online in 2017. Second, Cabot announced proved reserves at the end of 2013 were up 42% from 2012–to 5.5 trillion cubic feet. And third, the company’s production for 2013 was up 55% over 2012 to 413.6 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe)–virtually all of it in the Marcellus Shale–and all of that from a single northeastern PA county, Susquehanna County. Cabot is an incredible story. No wonder their fourth quarter 2013 profit soared 91%!
Unfortunately our worst fears were realized when PA State Police announced yesterday they had removed “what appear to be” the remains of Ian McKee, 27, a Cameron International contractor working at the Chevron Marcellus well site in Greene County. A warning folks, this is a bit gruesome. Apparently they found some bones but no body. It is a heart-rending story. No matter who it would have been, it’s a tragedy. In the case of Ian, he was young, living with his fiance with a baby on the way. Please say a prayer for his family and friends–they will need it in the coming days as they deal with this.