Economic Impact

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    Harvard Says Shale Spells the End of Boom & Bust Cycle in Oil/Gas

    Thanks to our right hand, Chris Acker, MDN was alerted to a fascinating article in the Harvard Business Review. The very first time MDN heard Cornell professor and climate change huckster Tong Ingraffea (see Cornell Hydraulic Fracturing Expert Headlines First Meeting of New York Residents Against Drilling (NYRAD) in Vestal, NY), was the first time we’d heard of “boom and bust” cycles in relation to natural resources. During that meeting Ingraffea discussed “Gilmore’s 4 Stages of Boomtown Attitudes” and described how extracting coal, or cutting timber, etc. leads to cycles where communities are rapidly built up, only to later be devastated when that industry runs it course and leaves town–after exhausting the natural resource it sprang up to tap. Ingraffea described nightmare scenarios that awaited communities “foolish” enough to buy into shale gas development. Our response was and always has been–we’ll take that development, and any “bust” that comes with it–over never having had any investment at all! No industry stays in a particular geography forever. Back to the HBR article. The authors theorize that boom and bust–at least for oil and gas–may now be over. Why? Because with shale drillers can literally overnight begin producing more oil and gas when prices reach an attractive level. Meaning the price of oil will eventually hit and likely stay at around $50 barrel–like, forever…
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    Connecticut NatGas Electric Plant Gets Funding, Construction Soon

    Competitive Power Ventures (CPV) and GE Energy Financial Services announced last week they have closed financing on the 785 megawatt CPV Towantic Energy Center in the western Connecticut town of Oxford. Some 16 investors ponied up a combined $753 million and the project, green lighted back in 1999 but on hold until it made sense economically, will now be built. The plant will be powered by clean-burning natural gas. No doubt it will be Marcellus/Utica gas flowing to the plant to power it. The project represents one of the largest private-sector infrastructure projects in the state. And it’s all thanks to shale gas. Here’s the announcement with details…
    Read More “Connecticut NatGas Electric Plant Gets Funding, Construction Soon”

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    Somber Milestone – US Rig Count Hits Lowest Level in 68 Years

    Baker Hughes released their weekly rig count numbers last Friday (see full report below). We typically don’t report on the weekly ups and downs of rig counts, preferring to check in on a monthly basis to get an idea of the overall trend. But last week’s weekly report was historic, which is why we’re commenting on it now. Baker Hughes began tabulating weekly rig counts 68 years ago. The number of working rigs in the United States last Friday hit 480–the lowest number on record since Baker Hughes began keeping records. While the Marcellus count went up by 3 last week, right now there are only 19 rigs operating in Pennsylvania–less than before the Marcellus boom began and down from the high water mark of 114 rigs operating in 2012. When rigs are operating, it means jobs and economic stimulus for a community and region. It also means landowners get royalties, and that money gets invested and/or spent in a community. The converse is also true: no rig activity, fewer jobs and economic impact. Therefore the number of rigs operating is always of keen interest…
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    Super Secret Study Details Plan to Transform NEPA Using NatGas

    Shhhh. It’s a secret. A super secret. Well, sort-of a secret. The Institute of Public Policy and Economic Development, a cooperative between a bunch of colleges located in northeastern PA, researched and compiled a new study–more than a year ago–for how northeastern PA can make the most out of the abundant, cheap and clean-burning natural gas that sits beneath them. The Institute tapped local drillers for $50,000 to research the project–and the findings are being kept secret. Why? Think of it as an NFL playbook. You don’t share your plays with the opposing team. In this case, opposing teams are other economic development agencies in other regions–like southwestern PA, eastern OH and WV. The secret study is very specific in naming names for how the region can attract new businesses that use cheap Marcellus Shale gas. The Institute doesn’t want to give away their best thinking so other regions can use the same strategies and target the same companies. Want to know what we think?…
    Read More “Super Secret Study Details Plan to Transform NEPA Using NatGas”

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    Report: Benefits of a Second American Shale Boom

    A fascinating new research paper just published by conservative think tank Manhattan Institute says there IS an antidote to being manipulated by America’s enemies, many of them members of OPEC. There IS an antidote to wild price swings in oil and gas prices. There IS an antidote to the poor economic conditions we experience here in the U.S. under Barack Obama. Know what it is? A second shale boom. IF the U.S. were to become the dominant exporter of energy around the world, we reap economic and geopolitical benefits like you can’t believe. In “Expanding America’s Petroleum Power: Geopolitics in the Third Oil Era” (full copy below), the author notes that the number of cars in use worldwide has risen threefold, aviation miles have gone up sevenfold, and maritime shipments increased threefold in the last 40 years. What powers 95% of that transportation? Oil and its derivatives. We need a second American shale boom and we need it soon. Read about it below…
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    More Evidence of the Slowdown in the Marcellus

    We won’t continue to beat the drum indefinitely that “it’s bad out there.” Everyone knows it. However, we did honestly and truthfully report when the Marcellus industry was on the upswing and it seemed like everything was coming up roses. So we will now honestly and truthfully report when our beloved industry is on the downswing. We don’t sugarcoat it here at MDN. The latest bit of “it’s bad out there” evidence comes from Greene County, PA and Hot Rod’s House of Bar-B-Que where it used to be you couldn’t get a seat at lunchtime, but now it’s “walk right in, sit right down”…
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    WV Oilfield Services Co. Extreme Plastics Files for Bankruptcy

    Extreme Plastics Plus, Inc. is an oilfield services contractor that provides environmental lining services for oilfield and other commercial markets. The company offers above ground water containment, environmental lining, steel wall secondary containment, and rig mat services. The company’s environmental lining services include freshwater impoundments, double lined with a leak detection system, wastewater impoundments, primary and secondary lining, and rig pads. Extreme Plastics Plus was founded in 2007 and is based in Fairmont, West Virginia with other offices in eastern Ohio, northeastern Pennsylvania, Texas and Oklahoma. Other names used by the company are Three Amigos Rentals and American Well Services. On January 31, Extreme Plastics Plus filed for bankruptcy protection…
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    MSC’s Dave Spigelmyer Says Rough Few Years Ahead for Marcellus

    David Spigelmyer, who once headed up Chesapeake Energy’s efforts in the Marcellus Shale region, is and has been head of the Marcellus Shale Coalition for the past couple of years. Great guy. Smart guy. Dave published an op-ed in the Pittsburgh Post Gazette in today’s issue. It’s titled, “Shale hits a rough patch: But natural gas remains a boon to Pennsylvania.” The sobering news, according to Dave, is that the price northeast drillers (drillers everywhere) are getting for their gas will remain low in 2016 and 2017 “and perhaps longer.” Businesses are “in survival mode” and and the slowdown in drilling is being felt by “tens of thousands of men and women” who work for this marvelous industry. The statistics, according to Dave, are “numbing.” Sobering words. But we have to face the reality and not look away and pretend otherwise. But, according to Dave, there is hope and we will get through it. Here’s a portion of his no-rose-colored-glasses op-ed…
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    CLNG Merges with NGSA, Gets New Director from Former ANGA

    The downturn in oil and gas prices doesn’t only affect drillers, and midstreamers, and landowners, and supply chain companies. It also affects trade associations. Last November we told you that America’s Natural Gas Alliance (ANGA) merged with/became part of the American Petroleum Institute (see Two Top O&G Trade Groups to Merge: ANGA & API). Another two trade groups announced a merger yesterday. The Center for LNG (CLNG) announced it is merging with the Natural Gas Supply Association (NGSA). CLNG will retain its identity and become a division of NGSA. In addition, CLNG has a new executive director–Charlie Riedl. Charlie joins CLNG from ANGA. Here’s the low down on two more trade groups combining…
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    Debate Rages: How Many Shale Drillers will go Bankrupt?

    Fadel Gheit, senior oil and gas analyst at Oppenheimer & Co., speculated on CNBC on Monday that half of all U.S. shale oil producers could go bankrupt before the price of oil reaches equilibrium. For Gheit, equilibrium price will be somewhere around $60-$70 per barrel. But, he says, it will take a few years to get there. His thesis is that in the meantime oil and gas companies are spending money out the wazoo and cannot sustain it and a good many of them (the smaller ones anyway) will go under. We compare his comments (below) with what Rusty Braziel recently said to Jim Cramer…
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    Shortages Begin: Tangible Result of No Pipelines in New England

    In December 2014 the Massachusetts-based utility Berkshire Gas Company announced the amount of natural gas they could purchase from the Tennessee Gas Pipeline (TGP) was at full capacity. There’s no additional gas supplies to buy–unless TGP builds their Northeast Energy Direct (NED) expansion project. So Berkshire was forced to tell new customers for natural gas in portions of Franklin County they won’t be able to tap into Berkshire’s line (see Guts: No New Pipeline in MA? Then No New Natgas for Utility Customers). In September, the Massachusetts Dept. of Public Utilities (DPU) approved long-term contracts for three utilities, including Berkshire Gas, to buy natural gas supplies from TGP’s NED pipeline when/if it gets built (see Mass. Approves Plan for Utilities to Buy Gas from New Pipeline). Anti-drilling nutters promptly sued to stop that plan (see Anti Group Sues to Stop Mass. Utilities from Buying Natural Gas). It’s now a year after Berkshire’s first announcement that some communities in Franklin County won’t get new natgas service. Berkshire has had to expand the prohibition area. They’re now turning down new businesses in neighboring Hampshire County, which is causing a stir. We’re not sure why antis don’t get it. No new gas, no new service. It’s pretty simple. Below is the story of a jilted Texas Roadhouse, who says they wouldn’t have purchased land and built had they known they couldn’t get natgas service. Translation: more businesses will stay away, or perhaps even leave, because they can’t get natgas due to the shortage…
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    API 2016 State of American Energy Report

    Earlier this week the American Petroleum Institute (API) released its annual report, the State of American Energy (full copy below). Several themes are prominent in the report: shale energy’s creation of jobs, the economic growth we’ve experienced due to shale energy, and the fact we are now more secure than we’ve been in generations with respect to energy. We’re far less dependent on foreign oil than we were just a few years ago. That’s great news!…
    Read More “API 2016 State of American Energy Report”

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    SWPA Local Leaders Forecast 2016, What’s Ahead for Marcellus?

    We’ve brought you a number of opinions and perspectives on what lies ahead for 2016 with respect to our beloved shale energy industry. But it’s one thing for investors and politicians and commentators to pontificate. What about leaders in local communities, like the leaders of one of the most-drilled places in the Marcellus: southwestern Pennsylvania? What do local economic leaders see coming along in 2016? We think getting the opinion of some locals provides much-needed balance…
    Read More “SWPA Local Leaders Forecast 2016, What’s Ahead for Marcellus?”

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    DOE Study: More LNG Exports Don’t Mean Higher Prices at Home

    What would happen if the U.S. increased LNG (liquefied natural gas) exports from 12 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) to 20 Bcf/d? A new report just published by the Dept. of Energy and researched by Rice University and Oxford Economics, titled “The Macroeconomic Impact of Increasing U.S. LNG Exports” (full copy below) finds that although prices for U.S. consumers may go up a little, what would happen is that the production pie would grow and most of the delta (the difference between 12 and 20 Bcf/d) would come from new production. In other words, it’s a win/win. More jobs, more money flowing into the U.S., while at the same time very little rise in gas prices here at home–even if we ratchet up exports significantly…
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    Rig Counts Hit Lowest Level Since 1999

    1999What was happening in the year 1999? Let’s see. Then-President Bill Clinton went on trial in the Senate for lying under oath about getting a BJ in the Oval Office by a young girl, Monica Lewinski. Even though he was guilty, the Republican-controlled Senate lost its nerve and didn’t convict him. He was later stripped of his license to practice law in Arkansas for perjuring himself. The “Sopranos” debuted on HBO in 1999. Seth MacFarlane’s “Family Guy” first aired on Fox. Tom Cruise and Nicole Kidman star in the movie “Eyes Wide Shut.” Basketball star Michael Jordan announced his (first) retirement–only to return in 2001. Hip Hop artist Eminem released his first major record album called ‘The Slim Shady’ which would win him a Grammy the following year. The great Wayne Gretzky played his last hockey game in the NHL. Gretzky’s New York Rangers lost 2-1 to the Pittsburgh Penguins. Quarterback John Elway retired from the NFL in 1999. The third Harry Potter book, “Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban” was published. “Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace,” directed by George Lucas, was released in 1999. Oh, and one more thing. The year 1999 was the last time oil and gas rig counts were as low as they were last week, just 700 rigs operating…
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    Dominion East Ohio Gas Bills Fall 40% in 1 Year, Thx to Shale

    Utility company Dominion East Ohio says it’s customers are benefiting from the low cost of natural gas, thanks to the Marcellus and Utica Shale. In fact, according to Dominion, the cost of the gas itself is down 53% this year over last–and the savings gets passed on to consumers. That’s really good news for those who heat and cool using natural gas. Just because the commodity itself is only half the price, doesn’t mean rate payers will see their bills go down by the same amount. There are two components to the price consumers pay: the commodity flowing through the pipes, and the pipes/infrastructure itself. Even though Dominion East utility bills won’t go down by 53%, they will go down by about 40%. Not too shabby! Here’s what Dominion East is saying about rate decreases for its customers…
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