Q2 U.S. NatGas Production Up 2%, Led by Haynesville & M-U
According to S&P Global’s Platts Analytics service, U.S. natural gas production in June increased slightly to an average 94.5 Bcf/d (billion cubic feet per day), up nearly 1.9 Bcf/d (roughly 2%) compared with a first-quarter average at 92.6 Bcf/d. The increase was led by more output in the Haynesville which has grown by 600 MMcf/d (million cubic feet per day) since March, and in the Marcellus/Utica, which has grown by 420 MMcf/d since March.
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Each month the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) issues a monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Last month, in May, the STEO made the startling prediction that the average Henry Hub price for natural gas (the national benchmark) would hit $8.13 for 3Q22 and $8.59 for the entire second half of this year (see 
A group of international scientists has discovered a fourth type of natural gas. Wait, there are different “types” of natgas? Yes, at least different types of origins for natural gas. To date, three main sources of natural gas had been identified–microbial, thermogenic, and abiotic. Scientists have discovered a fourth type or origin for natural gas–natgas generated by radiolysis, which is the dissociation of molecules by ionizing radiation of the organic matter in shale rock. Yeah, it’s science and it’s complicated. Let us bottom line this for you right here: The presence of natural gas with a “thermogenic” signature (i.e. fingerprint), which indicates gas coming from a drilled shale well, has been blamed for contaminating water supplies in places like Dimock, PA. It’s quite possible thermogenic gas has been misidentified as radiolysis gas, and that leaky wells are not the cause of gas in water.
Engineers at the University of Pittsburgh’s Swanson School of Engineering are developing a new way to reduce the environmental impact of drilling and fracking by cleaning produced water for reuse. Produced water is the water that comes out of the hole long after drilling and fracking is done. It is “water from the depths”–far below the water table–and it’s full of minerals, which is why it’s often called brine (or salt). Pitt engineers have researched membrane distillation (MD) to treat this salty wastewater. Pitt has discovered how to use MD to economically recycle and reuse produced water from shale.
On May 24, Cleveland State University researchers quietly published the “Shale Investment Dashboard in Ohio Q1 and Q2 2021” (full copy below). The new report details shale-related investment in Ohio, looking at upstream, midstream, and downstream activities. The investment estimates are from January through June of 2021–the first half of last year. The report shows investment in the Ohio Utica continued to increase last year, during the height of the pandemic. It also shows just two companies drilled 73% of Ohio’s new shale wells and 69% of the money invested in drilling new shale wells in the Buckeye State in 1H21. Which two companies?
The International Energy Forum (IEF), based in Saudi Arabia, is leading a research initiative examining the elements required to create a hydrogen market. Currently, hydrogen accounts for a piddly 1% of the energy mix worldwide, but is expected to scale up in the coming years and decades as countries strive to reduce carbon emissions (reducing CO2 is a futile effort, but it is what it is). Current research and discussions on hydrogen focus primarily on the various production cost outlooks for different “colors” of hydrogen (gray for hydrogen that comes from natural gas with no carbon capture, blue if there is carbon capture, green for using water and renewables to create hydrogen, etc.). There has been, according to IEF, little discussion around the possible trajectories of the “hydrogen business model.” Scaling up hydrogen production, regardless of color, will require new types of contracts, financialization (price discovery), and/or commoditization. The IEF has just issued a new report called “Scaling-Up the Hydrogen Market” (full copy below).
The Enverus rig count, as of Wednesday, stood at 821, up by three from the week before. We are only 17 rigs away from the pre-pandemic high of 838 rigs. Last week the Marcellus operated 41 rigs (down by two), while the Utica operated 11 rigs (down by one), for a total of 52 active rigs in the M-U, lower than in previous weeks. According to S&P’s read of the situation, rig count additions appear to be slowing down. Despite high oil prices, drillers are still unwilling to drill, drill, drill.
In September 2016, MDN editor Jim Willis had the good fortune and pleasure of hearing a keynote address from philosopher and author Alex Epstein at the Shale Insight conference in Pittsburgh (see 
Last week the Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its latest quarterly Natural Gas Production Report for January through March 2022 (full copy below). There was 136 new horizontal wells spud (drilled) in 1Q22, an increase of nine wells (7.1%) compared to 1Q21. However, natural gas production volume was 1,851 billion cubic feet (Bcf) in 1Q22, a slight decrease (-0.6%) from 1Q21. It is the first quarterly decrease in production in over a year.
The International Gas Union (IGU), Snam, and Rystad Energy partnered to produce and have just released the Global Gas Report 2022 (GGR). According to the authors, if the world wants to limit mythical global warming to 1.5C and fulfill so-called net-zero ambitions by 2050, greenhouse gas emissions will need to peak before 2025. (You know we don’t believe global warming bullcrapus, but bear with us here.) The GGR (full copy below) says the best, most realistic way to reduce GHG emissions and hit those targets involves–yep–natural gas. In fact, natgas will, says the report, play a “critical role” in decarbonization initiatives.