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    Will Oil Hit $60 by Year’s End? Shale Giant Harold Hamm Says Yes

    The price of natural gas is somewhat tied to the price of oil. They don’t track exactly together, but we think it’s a fair statement to say as goes the price of oil so goes natgas. One of the pioneers of drilling for oil and gas in shale deposits is Harold Hamm, CEO of Continental Resources. What Hamm thinks and says about the price of oil is of keen interest to everyone. He is, perhaps, the closest thing to an oracle our industry has. Hamm was interviewed on Wednesday and asked where he thinks the price of oil is headed in 2016. This is what he said…
    Read More “Will Oil Hit $60 by Year’s End? Shale Giant Harold Hamm Says Yes”

  • Marcellus & Utica Shale Story Links: Fri, Jan 15, 2016

    The “best of the rest” – stories that caught MDN’s eye that you may be interested in reading. In today’s lineup: Energy slump bleeds into housing marketing in PA; should wastewater be used for crop irrigation?; Tom Steyer won’t answer funding questions; the year ahead for LNG; climage exaggeration; drillers facing $102B in cash shortage this year; and more!
    Read More “Marcellus & Utica Shale Story Links: Fri, Jan 15, 2016”

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    WV County Officially Bans Injection Wells; Children Brainwashed

    brainwashedchildren.jpgAs we reported in December, two left-wing Democrats in Fayette County, WV voted, in a first reading of a new ordinance, to ban all injection wells in the county (see 2 Democrat Commissioners Ban Injection Wells in Fayette County, WV). The full commission (three members instead of two) took a final vote Tuesday night and passed the measure, making it “the law” in Fayette County (until it’s found illegal by a court). The interesting part in reading about this turn of events is how some of the left loony toons parents have brainwashed their own children into becoming socialist/communists. One little girl gave “an impassioned plea” to encourage passing the ordinance, and then ignorantly accused people from the oil and gas industry of causing the death of “our grandparents, family and friends for you to have private jets.” Talk about colossal stupidity on parade. We call it brainwashing…
    Read More “WV County Officially Bans Injection Wells; Children Brainwashed”

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    Antero Resources 4Q15 Update: NatGas Sales Averaged $4.40/Mcf

    Yesterday Antero Resources, one of the biggest drillers in the Marcellus/Utica, filed their fourth quarter 2015 operational update. As in the past they did not disclose their financials–they wait a few more weeks to disclose those numbers. However, as in the past, the operational update is full of great information. Of chief importance (for us) is how much they sell their natural gas for. Because they have such a great hedging program–locking in future sales at a given price–Antero sold their gas for an average of $4.40 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) during 4Q15–which is an average of $2.13 MORE than gas sold for at the benchmark Henry Hub! Astonishing. Companies can make money selling gas at those prices. Antero reports that although 4Q15 production volumes were 18% higher than 4Q14, the volume was down 1% from the previous quarter, 3Q15. Why? Antero is selectively shutting in production at some locations so they don’t have to sell it at depressed prices at the Dominion South and TETCO M2 trading points. Smart. During 4Q15 Antero drilled and brought online 14 Marcellus wells and 16 Utica wells. Below is the full update they released yesterday, along with a copy of their latest PowerPoint presentation…
    Read More “Antero Resources 4Q15 Update: NatGas Sales Averaged $4.40/Mcf”

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    Atlas Energy Subsidiary Threatened with NYSE De-Listing, IPO?!

    As we pointed out last week in a post, Atlas Energy (based in Pittsburgh) used to be a major player in the Marcellus but sold off huge holdings in the Marcellus in two different tranches–in a $4.3 billion deal with Chevron in 2011 and in a $7.7 billion deal with Targa Resources in 2014. Atlas still has some holdings in the northeast, but as we previously pointed out, the company with a golden touch seems to have lost that touch. In December the New York Stock Exchange sent Atlas Energy (stock ticker ATLS) a notice that the stock price had fallen so far they are in danger of having it de-listed (see Atlas Energy Luck Run Out? NYSE Threatens Company with De-Listing). We noticed two more stories from yesterday. One story is about a second notice from the NYSE telling Atlas that their subsidiary company Atlas Resource Partners (ticker symbol ARP) is now also in danger of being de-listed. The other story is about yet another Atlas subsidiary company–Atlas Growth Partners–filing a plan with the Securities and Exchange Commission to float an initial public offering (IPO) of 100 million shares of stock, hoping to raise $1 billion! Stock for two parts of the company is threatened with becoming penny stock, and yet they’re offering new stock in essentially the same company hoping to raise another bil. Go figure…
    Read More “Atlas Energy Subsidiary Threatened with NYSE De-Listing, IPO?!”

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    USFWS Finally Gets Something Right, Relaxes Northern Bat Rule

    This is so unusual, it’s big news. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), an organization known for its thuggish behavior, finally got something right. It was just yesterday we were commenting on the need for Williams to begin clearing trees for the Constitution Pipeline in New York State because the Northern long-eared bat, a “threatened” species, roosts in trees in upstate NY between April and October and tree cleaning needs to be done in the months of November to March (see Williams Plans to Start Clearing Trees for Constitution Next Week). Yesterday the USFWS issued their long-awaited “final conservation rule” for the Northern long-eared bat. Environmental radicals were hoping the USFWS would bump the bat from the lower “threatened” designation to the higher “endangered” designation. That didn’t happen. Not only did they not upgrade the designation, the USFWS also loosened the rules so that the oil and gas industry (and others) clearing trees for drill pads and pipelines can legally kill a bat or two as they do so. No longer if you find a single bat does it put that area off-limits. The USFWS recognizes, officially, that the biggest threat to the bat is a spreading fungal disease, and that killing a single bat here or there is not going to affect the population of this species…
    Read More “USFWS Finally Gets Something Right, Relaxes Northern Bat Rule”

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    OH Dem House Members Introduce Bill to Restrict Injection Wells

    Three Democrat members of the Ohio State House of Representatives have just introduced a new bill, HB 422, that will clamp down on injection wells in the state, creating new hoops and regulations for injection wells. Reps. Sean O’Brien (D-Bazetta), Mike O’Brien (D-Warren) and John Patterson (D-Jefferson) want to ban injection wells in hundred-year flood plains, require GPS trackers in brine-hauling trucks, require dye be used when injecting fluids and several other measures. The Dems say they’ve worked with both the industry and environmentalist wackos in crafting the bill. We have a full copy of the bill as introduced, below. One of the provisions is that you can’t have an injection well within 2,000 feet of a…stream, river, watercourse, water well, pond, lake, other body of water (mud puddles?), railroad tracks, or the traveled portion of a public street, road, or highway. That pretty much covers it all. You just can’t have an injection well, period…
    Read More “OH Dem House Members Introduce Bill to Restrict Injection Wells”

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    Europe Puts Halliburton/BH Merger Under a Microscope

    The Halliburton buyout/merger with Baker Hughes continues to be in trouble. In November 2014 MDN first reported on the deal, really Halliburton forcing Baker Hughes, to merge, with Haliburton paying an expected $34.6 billion (see Shotgun Wedding: Halliburton Forces Baker Hughes to Sell). Both companies have major operations in the Marcellus/Utica, so this merger is of keen interest for those of us in the northeast. Along the way both companies have had to sell off certain assets to please government regulators (see Halliburton/Baker Hughes Hold a Pre-Merger Garage Sale). The “marriage” was supposed to happen by the end of last year, but the U.S. Dept. of Justice isn’t satisfied. They have anti-trust concerns that, so far, Halliburton has not been able to address to DOJ’s satisfaction (see DOJ Tells Halliburton/Baker Hughes “No Deal Yet” – What’s Next?). What was a few whispers has become a chorus that the deal may be in trouble (see Whispers Turning in Chorus, Halliburton/BH Deal in Trouble). Add one more worry to the list: The European Commission has launched a “second phase” of their investigation into the deal, which is problematic for Halliburton. The European Commission says they see “serious potential competition concerns” with the deal. Halliburton/BH says, no big deal…
    Read More “Europe Puts Halliburton/BH Merger Under a Microscope”

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    Pulling the Curtain Back on EIA 2016/2017 Oil Price Predicition

    Yesterday MDN brought you the latest thinking/preview for where the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) believes energy production and prices will go over the next 12-24 months, something called the Short-Term Energy Outlook (see EIA’s STEO Predicts NatGas Price Constant This Year, Up Next Year). Today we bring you a deeper dive into the EIA’s predictions with respect to the price of crude oil. The EIA forecasts Brent crude oil prices will average $40 per barrel in 2016 and $50/barrel in 2017. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices are predicted to be $38/barrel in 2016 and $47/barrel in 2017. Here’s a bit more background on how the EIA calculates its numbers for crude oil price…
    Read More “Pulling the Curtain Back on EIA 2016/2017 Oil Price Predicition”

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    Dynegy Proposes 6,300 MW of Shale Gas-Fired Electric Plants in OH

    There is a tug of war brewing in Ohio over who has the best plan to provide an increase in electricity while at the same time complying with Obama’s onerous Clean Power Plan. American Electric Power Company (AEP) and FirstEnergy have floated plans to Ohio that involve a mix of methods to produce electricity. Dynegy, on the other hand, wants to construct 6,300 megawatts of new electric capacity using natural gas-fired plants. AEP and FirstEnergy say Dynegy’s plan is dangerous because it ties the state too closely to one source of electric generation. Are they right?…
    Read More “Dynegy Proposes 6,300 MW of Shale Gas-Fired Electric Plants in OH”

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    Black & Veatch Warns Electric Plants, Time to Prep for CPP is Now

    We’ve written plenty about Obama’s abominable Clean Power Plan, including an article yesterday about how the original plan was corrupted by radical environmentalists to freeze out natural gas (see How Environmentalist Radicals Ruined Obama’s Clean Power Plan). More than half of all states have joined a lawsuit to oppose this draconian “rule” (really an un-legislated law) that would force electric power plants to abandon using coal, natural gas and other fossil fuels in favor of obscenely high-priced so-called renewables. Electric rates will go through the roof, and it’s no joke there may be rolling brownouts and blackouts if fully adopted–we simply can’t generate the amount of electricity we need using renewables. Not now, not for several generations. No wonder states are suing to stop the CPP. But here’s the problem: If power generators don’t start to “comply” with the CPP now, if those lawsuits are not won for whatever reason, energy companies risk being shut down–fined out of existence. Obama and his cronies are using fear of a jackbooted government to force electric generators to comply now–and after they do, even if Obama loses in court he’s still won because he’ll say, “See, they’ve already complied, so it doesn’t make any difference that the regulation was struck down. We’ve made the U.S. a cleaner place. I did it. Me me me. Look at me.” Utter nonsense, but that’s the strategy. Black & Veatch, a huge engineering and construction firm that builds major projects for the energy industry is only too happy to help energy companies comply with the new CPP rules. Black & Veatch says, in essence, that energy companies shouldn’t sit on their hands, hoping to win the lawsuit. The time to act is now…
    Read More “Black & Veatch Warns Electric Plants, Time to Prep for CPP is Now”

  • Marcellus & Utica Shale Story Links: Thu, Jan 14, 2016

    The “best of the rest” – stories that caught MDN’s eye that you may be interested in reading. In today’s lineup: Drillers donate to worthy causes in Ohio; how low can oil prices go; Obama wants to hike lease prices for drilling on fed land; industry leaders tell Obama to wise up; Hillary used to be for fracking, before she was against it; the future of MLPs; Stanford prof changes the data after being pressured; CSX predicts bad year for railroads; LNG demand in Asia down; and more!
    Read More “Marcellus & Utica Shale Story Links: Thu, Jan 14, 2016”

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    Westlake Chemical Expanding Kentucky Ethane Cracker Capacity

    Westlake logoWestlake Chemical Partners has just announced it will expand ethylene capacity at its Calvert City, Kentucky facility. The expansion will add 70 million pounds of annual ethylene capacity to the Calvert City facility during the first half of 2017. OK, what does this have to do with the Marcellus/Utica? As it turns out, a lot. The Westlake Calvert City petrochemical plant is an ethane cracker plant by a different name. Cracking ethane into ethylene is not the only thing that happens at the facility, but it’s one of the main things that happens there. And the ethane that feeds the cracker at the Calvert City facility comes, in part, from the Marcellus/Utica…
    Read More “Westlake Chemical Expanding Kentucky Ethane Cracker Capacity”

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    Williams Plans to Start Clearing Trees for Constitution Next Week

    Since last October MDN has been calling on Williams, the company planning to build the 124-mile Constitution Pipeline from Susquehanna County, PA to Schoharie County, NY, to take the gloves off and go after New York State, aggressively (see Time to Force NY DEC to Issue Permit for Constitution Pipeline). Earlier this month we re-posted an article from MDN friend Tom Shepstone and his Natural Gas Now website (always excellent, must read) that chronicles where we are at and how we got here with ongoing delays of the Constitution from the NY Dept. of Environmental Conservation (see Time for Williams/FERC to Sue NY & End Constitution Pipe Delays). In short, the DEC is now arbitrarily (for political reasons) intentionally withholding stream crossing permits that are delaying construction of the Constitution. The state is in danger of being sued by, and their authority to grant those permits taken over by, the federal government if they don’t issue those permits forthwith. Williams is attempting to advance the ball, still playing nicey nice, hoping to coax the DEC into issuing the permits. Williams has asked for and received permission (from the DEC) to begin clearing trees along the pipeline’s path, a process that will begin next week. However, rabid anti-drillers have asked NY’s out-of-control Attorney General, Eric Schneiderman, to step in and stop the tree clearing. If Williams doesn’t start the tree clearing now, they risk losing another entire construction season. There is a finite window each year you can clear trees because of nesting Northern long-eared bats, an endangered species…
    Read More “Williams Plans to Start Clearing Trees for Constitution Next Week”

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    Seventy Seven Energy Hires Turnaround Expert, Hopes to Stay Afloat

    Seventy Seven Energy, an oilfield services company with major operations in the northeast, is the old Chesapeake Oilfield Operating division of Chesapeake–spun off into its own company on July 1, 2014. It’s very first quarterly income statement, issued in August 2014, was the first and last time the company actually cleared a profit (see Seventy Seven Energy’s 1st Quarterly Update: Revenue Down 6%). Since that time, quarter after quarter the company has lost money. One of the challenges faced by Seventy Seven is that its main customer was and continues to be Chesapeake Energy. As of the third quarter 2015, Chesapeake provided Seventy Seven with 58% of its revenue, down from a previous 64% (see Seventy Seven Energy 3Q15: Still Losing Money, But Not as Much). As we said at the time, “You can’t stay in business long with multi-million dollar losses quarter after quarter.” Indeed. Seventy Seven announced yesterday they’ve retained the services of Lazard Freres–an international financial advisory and asset management firm. One of Lazard’s talents is in helping companies “restructure” and/or find a buyer. Here’s what Seventy Seven said yesterday…
    Read More “Seventy Seven Energy Hires Turnaround Expert, Hopes to Stay Afloat”

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    Severance Tax Not a Panacea After All – Down 50%+ in 2015

    There’s been a lot of talk over the past 5+ years in Pennsylvania that the state needs a severance tax. We’ve heard the repeated drumbeat that “eeeevvvvery other oil and gas state has a severance tax and we need one too.” A severance tax would, according to sticky finger Democrats and teachers unions, instantly solve funding shortfalls for education. Bam–solved. It would also fund a variety of “worthy” programs that the beneficent politicians in Harrisburg salivate to fund. A severance tax might even be the cure for cancer–who knows? Just one teeny, tiny problem. With the collapse of prices for oil and gas, and the resulting collapse in drilling, all of those “other states” with a severance tax are now scrambling to make up the difference in the shortfall they face in their own budgets. Turns out a severance tax isn’t a panacea after all. It also turns out an impact fee (PA’s equivalent of a severance tax), while sure to go down, will go down a lot less than a severance tax would. To our PA friends: Are you still happy you traded Tom Corbett, who was smart enough to create the impact fee, for the inept Tom Wolf who’s chasing a St. Elmo’s Fire severance tax? Here’s a look at the rapid fall of severance taxes in key oil and gas states in 2015, by the experts at the U.S. Energy Information Administration…
    Read More “Severance Tax Not a Panacea After All – Down 50%+ in 2015”