Research

Economic Impact | Industrywide Issues | Ohio | Pennsylvania | Research | Statewide OH | Statewide PA | Statewide WV | West Virginia

Cleveland Fed Finds PA Natgas Production Up 1000% from 2009-2014
March 5, 2015March 5, 2015

Earlier this week the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland published a paper titled “Trends in Energy Production and Prices” (full copy below). In the paper, Cleveland Fed researchers examine national and Fourth District (KY, OH, WV, PA) trends in energy production and prices. What did they find? OH and WV doubled their natural gas production from 2009 to 2014. However, production in PA went up 1000% during that time, thanks to the Mighty Marcellus. Because of shale gas, energy prices are generally down across the region. Coal production is also on the decline in the northeast…
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Industrywide Issues | Research

Bentek Energy: Feb Natgas Production Comes Close to All-Time High
March 5, 2015March 5, 2015

Researchers at Platts’ Bentek Energy division estimate natural gas production in the lower 48 States increased by 0.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) to 72.3 Bcf/d during the month of February. That’s a 10.5% increase over February of 2014. It still doesn’t quite match the all-time production high achieved just last December of 72.8 Bcf/d, but it comes close (see Marcellus/Utica Lead in New Record High Production for Dec 2014). The main reason February didn’t fly by last December’s high is due to “freeze-offs”–wells that freeze up and stop flowing due to the cold winter weather…
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Housing | Industrywide Issues | Pennsylvania | Research | Statewide PA

New Report: Housing and Marcellus Shale Development in PA
March 5, 2015March 5, 2015

The Center for Rural Pennsylvania, a bipartisan, bicameral legislative agency that serves as a resource for rural policy within the Pennsylvania General Assembly, continues to pump out the reports on the Marcellus Shale and its impacts on the state. In January, the Center published their third report in the Marcellus series (see New Report: Marcellus Shale Drilling’s Impact on PA Schools). In February, they issued their fourth report (see Report: PA’s Youth Not Impressed with Marcellus Industry). In March? Yep–a fifth report. This one is titled “Housing and Marcellus Shale Development” (full copy below). This study takes a look at how you house all those Marcellus workers when they show up to start drilling–and does it affect rent prices?…
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Anti-Drilling/Fossil Fuel | Hydraulic Fracturing | Industrywide Issues | New York | Research | Statewide NY

Peer Review Fraud at Cornell, Ithaca College re Fracking “Studies”
March 5, 2015March 5, 2015

It seems you have to go all the way to Canada to find real investigative journalism. The Toronto Financial Post exposes the fraud perpetrated by “acting” New York State Health Commissioner Howard Zucker in using a number of so-called “studies” to support his ban fracking recommendation last year that were authored by, and “peer reviewed” by people like the anti-drilling Sandra Steingraber–who is paid with Park Foundation money and holds a position on the faculty of Ithaca College, where she teaches nothing. She’s a paid environmentalist hack. A pretender. The Financial Post calls Zucker’s use of so-called studies written by anti-drillers and “peer reviewed” by Steingraber and other zealots “junk science” in support of “New York’s phoney fracking ban”…
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Economic Impact | Industrywide Issues | Jobs | Research

New Research: Shale Drilling has Enormous Benefits for Economy
March 2, 2015March 2, 2015

A new research paper recently published by researchers at the University of Wyoming takes a close look at the economic benefits and potential pitfalls of shale drilling. The paper, titled “The Economics of Shale Gas Development” (full copy below) was accepted last November for publication later this year in the Annual Review of Resources Economics. The upshot of the paper is this: there are ENORMOUS economic benefits from shale drilling–and we’ll realize those benefits as long as we don’t screw it up. That is, we need to be mindful of, and careful to manage, the environmental impacts from drilling…
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Earthquakes | Industrywide Issues | Research | Wastewater

USGS Scientists: Earthquakes from Injection Wells Can be Mitigated
February 25, 2015February 25, 2015

Last week a scientific research paper was published in the magazine Science on the topic of earthquakes related to injection wells. The paper is the result of a series of workshops by the U.S. Geological Survey. Although we don’t have a copy of the full paper, we do have a summary. A summary of the summary is this: fracking shale results in a lot of fluid that gets disposed of via Class II injection wells. Some of those wells are near faults and result in tremors–most of the time unfelt. There is, in the opinion of the USGS scientists, a direct connection between the increase in fluid injection from shale drilling and the rise (and clusters) of low-level earthquakes. The good news? There are strategies for “mitigating the effects of human-induced earthquakes caused by wastewater injection” which are discussed in the paper…
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Antero Resources | Blue Ridge Mtn Res/Magnum Hunter | Energy Companies | EV Energy Partners | EXCO Resources | Halcon Resources | Industrywide Issues | Research | Rex Energy | Warren Resources

19 Oil/Gas Companies on “Death List” – 8 are in Marcellus/Utica
February 23, 2015June 23, 2015

David Fessler is energy and infrastructure strategist (i.e. stock analyst/researcher) with The Oxford Club–a publisher based in Baltimore, Maryland that publishes the Oxford Resource Explorer, among other financial publications. Fessler spends his days immersed in the energy industry and in the stocks of companies in that industry. Fessler and The Oxford Club have produced a special report called “The Oil Company Death List” which is a list of 19 publicly-traded oil and gas companies that, according to a formula worked out by Fessler, will “die soon.” That is, they’ll go bankrupt if they don’t sell themselves or otherwise sell off major assets. Why? They’re “swimming in debt” and way over leveraged with “ugly balance sheets.” Fessler’s simple formula is all about a company’s debt ratio. When a company’s debts reach 4 times or higher its earnings (EBITDA), that’s a huge red flag. Below we have the list of 19 on the “death list” along with a copy of Fessler’s full report (describing his methodology). The interesting/troubling aspect is that 8 of the 19 are Marcellus/Utica operators–one of which is #1 for highest debt-to-earnings ratios. Some companies in the list surprised us–others did not. Is your favorite Marcellus/Utica driller in the list?…
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Energy Services | Industrywide Issues | Pipelines | Research | Spectra Energy

Access Northeast Pipeline — Pulling Ahead of Kinder’s NED Project?
February 20, 2015February 20, 2015

Spectra Energy’s Access Northeast pipeline project is shaping up to be a worthy competitor to Kinder Morgan’s proposed expansion of the Tennessee Gas Pipeline, a project they call Northeast Expansion Direct (NED). On Wednesday, Spectra announced a new partner for Access Northeast–National Grid–along with an open season to sign up more potential customers–mostly electric generating companies (called LDCs or Local Distribution Companies) that use natural gas to fire their plants. The new partnership means Spectra has locked up electric generating plants that serve 70% of all the electric customers in New England–and they’re trying to get even more. Spectra is also trying to build as little new pipeline as possible, using looping (new pipeline laid next to existing pipeline) in areas where extra capacity is needed. Below we have the announcement about the open season and National Grid joining the project, a copy of the Access Northeast project map, and a brand new study by ICF commissioned by the Access Northeast partners that details how this project will save New Englanders $1 billion+ per year in electric costs. We also throw in a few of our own observations on this bold plan and whether or not the region can support both the Access Northeast and NED projects…
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Air Quality | Industrywide Issues | Pennsylvania | Research | Statewide PA

New Peer Reviewed Study: Marcellus Fugitive Methane is Minuscule
February 20, 2015February 20, 2015

A new study on methane emissions in the Marcellus by researchers at the University of Colorado’s Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has just been published in the peer reviewed Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. The study, titled “Quantifying atmospheric methane emissions from the Haynesville, Fayetteville, and northeastern Marcellus shale gas production regions” (full copy below), finds very little methane leakage in the Marcellus Shale region. This study is one more nail in the coffin of the wild theories of professors Robert Howarth and Tony Ingraffea (from the once-great Cornell University) about “fugitive methane” leaking out all over the place, heating up Mother Earth. In fact, this new research finds leakage from Marcellus operations is between 0.18% to 0.41%. That’s less than 2/10ths of a percent to about 4/10ths of a percent on average. It’s minuscule…
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Industrywide Issues | M&A | Research | Supply Chain

New Report on Shale Energy Deals from Top Energy Law Firm
February 17, 2015February 17, 2015

In July 2013 one of the country’s top energy law firms, Steptoe & Johnson, published a report detailing the biggest legal challenges faced by drillers that operate in shale plays (see New Report Details Top Legal Issues for Shale Drillers). Steptoe & Johnson have just published a follow-up report. Titled “Below the Surface 2: Digging Deep on Deals” (full copy embedded below), this new report takes a look at energy transactions and deals to find where natural gas producers are exploring for energy, their level of involvement, lessons they’ve learned, and what roadblocks they must overcome to succeed…
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Industrywide Issues | Research

Just 4 Countries Around the World Produce Shale Gas – Why?
February 16, 2015February 16, 2015

Here’s an interesting factoid from our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Did you know that shale gas is currently produced in just four countries around the globe? One of them is the U.S., of course. Can you name the other three? Before reading the EIA article (which we’ve included below) we didn’t know there are only four countries currently producing shale gas. The other three countries are…Canada, China and Argentina…
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Earthquakes | Industrywide Issues | Ohio | Research | Statewide OH | Statewide WV | Wastewater | West Virginia

EPA Sees Connection Between Some Injection Wells & Earthquakes
February 13, 2015February 13, 2015

On February 5th the Underground Injection Control National Technical Workgroup, part of the federal Environmental Protection Agency, released their final report on a potential link between wastewater injection wells (called Class II wells) and earthquakes. To which we say, we knew a probable connection existed three plus years ago. That’s the typical lag you get with when the federal government “investigates” something. The report is titled “Minimizing and Managing Potential Impacts of Injection-Induced Seismicity from Class II Disposal Wells: Practical Approaches” (the full 415-page copy is embedded below). The report says, in essence, while they can’t prove there’s connection between injection wells in some locations and earthquakes, the relationship is “undeniable.” MDN’s comment: What everyone acknowledges is that when you inject fluid into the earth over an active fault line, that fluid acts like grease and eventually the rock layers can, in RARE circumstances, slip and slide, causing a LOW LEVEL earthquake–typically so light no one feels it at the surface. The EPA study was based on cases from four states, two of them (OH & WV) in the Marcellus/Utica region…
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Air Quality | Industrywide Issues | Regulation | Research

New Study: Most Natgas Processing Facilities Leak < 1% Methane
February 13, 2015February 13, 2015

The EPA is getting ready to drop draconian new regulations on the oil and gas industry claiming that methane is leaking out everywhere. A major field study led by Colorado State University and published this week in the peer reviewed journal Environmental Science & Technology examined 114 gathering facilities and 16 processing plants across 13 states looking for methane leaks. What did they find? The vast majority natural gas facilities had minuscule leak rates of less than 1%…
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Industrywide Issues | Research

EIA’s Feb Drilling Productivity Report: Marcellus/Utica Up Again
February 12, 2015February 12, 2015

Our favorite monthly report from our favorite government agency was released a few days ago. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) produces the monthly Drilling Productivity Report (DPR), which looks at production from both new (drilled in the last month) and legacy (drilled more than a month ago) wells along with overall production numbers for the seven top commercially active shale plays in the U.S. In a consistently recurring theme, all seven plays showed an increase in natural gas production from February to what they predict will be the numbers in March. The Marcellus stands head and shoulders above all other shale plays in producing what they say will be 16.7 billion cubic feet per day in March, up from 16.5 Bcf/d in February. The Utica is also forecast to increase–from 1.86 Bcf/d of natgas production in February to 1.93 Bcf/d in March. Below is the full February 2015 DPR report along with two charts not included in the full report…
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Hydraulic Fracturing | Industrywide Issues | Research

New Research: USGS In-Depth Study of Fracking from 1947-2010
February 10, 2015February 10, 2015

The U.S. Geological Survey recently released two new comprehensive studies on fracking. The publications are a “first of their kind” and look at the history of fracking and how it’s changed from 1947 to 2010. The report is a nationwide study of hydraulic fracturing trends, but most of the data comes from (unsurprisingly) Texas, where fracking was born. The report is an analysis of data on nearly one million hydraulically fractured wells and 1.8 million fracturing treatment records. Dunderheaded anti-drillers believe fracking is some new fangled, dangerous technology. It’s not. It’s been around for nearly 70 years! Horizontal drilling has been around for decades too. It is the combination of horiztonal drilling and fracking that is relatively “new”. The more you know about fracking, the more you love it. This pair of studies helps us understand how the technology has changed and evolved over the past seven decades…
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Anti-Drilling/Fossil Fuel | Industrywide Issues | Landfills | New York | Research | Statewide NY

Anti-Drillers Try to Ban Drill Cuttings from PA in NY Landfills
February 9, 2015February 9, 2015

The anti-drilling group Environmental Advocates of New York has just published a 24-page “report” that claims drill cuttings–leftover rock and dirt from drilling a hole in the ground–that are being landfilled in New York State are radioactive and will make us New Yorkers all glow in the dark. Any day now. The report is titled “License to Dump” (full copy embedded below). Since anti-drillers successfully cowed the impotent Gov. Andrew Cuomo once, well, it ought to work again, right? Ban those drill cuttings Andy! Right now!! This is 24 pages of “notoriously toxic and radioactive” garbage…
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