Research

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    Empire State Showdown: The NatGas Battle For New York

    Marcellus Drilling News began in early 2009 after editor Jim Willis noticed an article in the Binghamton Press & Sun-Bulletin detailing how a group of farmers in Broome County (near where Jim lives) had become overnight millionaires after signing leases with XTO Energy–to allow shale drilling on and under their land. Jim was stumped. He had never heard of gas drilling in the Southern Tier of New York, nor had he heard of XTO Energy. The issue of shale drilling appeared to be an interesting issue, full of technology, politics and money. Sounds like the makings of a soap opera! And what a soap it has been since that time–at least in New York State. Jim has followed the ups and downs (mostly downs) of attempting to launch shale drilling in the Empire State. When Andrew Cuomo was first elected governor, it appeared that he would (eventually) allow fracking. Now? He won’t even allow the state’s environmental agency to approve major interstate pipelines–projects most residents were unaware of just a few short years ago. Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI) ace reporter Jamison Cocklin recently wrote an in-depth series of articles focusing on New York and what’s happening with the gas industry in the state. It was/is an EXCELLENT series of articles. NGI has assembled the series, along with extra information, into a 16-page Special Report titled, “Empire State Showdown: The NatGas Battle for New York.” Below is a description of the report, with information about how you can download a copy…
    Read More “Empire State Showdown: The NatGas Battle For New York”

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    FERC Report Says Warm Winter Ahead, Gas Prod to Grow 5 Bcf/d

    Last week the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) Office of Enforcement (OE) released their 2017-18 Winter Energy Market Assessment, an annual look ahead to the coming winter. OE shares their thoughts and expectations about market preparedness, including an assessment of risks. What does the report show? OE says production is going up (increasing another 5 billion cubic feet per day by next April), natural gas in storage is “robust” (meaning high), and the upcoming winter weather looks to be warmer than normal in most of the country, including the northeast. Translation: Don’t expect the price of natural gas to spike this winter. Prices will remain relatively low. Here’s the full OE report (interesting reading, pretty charts)…
    Read More “FERC Report Says Warm Winter Ahead, Gas Prod to Grow 5 Bcf/d”

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    RAND Report: Fracking Creates Jobs for STEM Workers in PA-OH-WV

    In 2014, Chevron launched the Appalachia Partnership Initiative (API) with $20 million to fund education (for students) and training (for workers) in STEM–Science, Technology, Engineering and Math across 27 counties in Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Ohio (see Chevron Launches Appalachia Partnership Initiative with $20M). Chevron’s partners in the effort are the Allegheny Conference and the Claude Worthington Benedum Foundation. So how is the API doing in its mission? That was what RAND Corporation was hired to study. RAND has just published an analysis of the first two years of API’s efforts (see the study below). Among the key findings: “Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing has created a need for workers in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia.” Although the oil and gas industry is just now coming out of a several-year slump, RAND says in the future there will be a shortage of workers for the industry. API is hoping to fill that gap, and is (according to RAND) making progress. But more needs to be done…
    Read More “RAND Report: Fracking Creates Jobs for STEM Workers in PA-OH-WV”

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    EIA Oct Drilling Report: NatGas Production Flies by 60 Bcf/d

    MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report, the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR), yesterday. The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. Last month the EIA predicted combined natural gas production across all of the major plays they track would hit 59.7 billion cubic feet per day (see EIA Sept Drilling Report: Marcellus/Utica Production Hits New High). In this month’s report, the numbers are revised. Now EIA says October production will have surpassed 60 Bcf/d, and next month is projected to hit nearly 61 Bcf/d! What else does this month’s report show? The Marcellus/Utica region (i.e. Appalachia) will hit 25.7 Bcf/d of production, up 398 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d) from the previous month. This is yet another all-time record high and represents 42% of the entire country’s natural gas production from shale plays. You read that right. Our beloved Marcellus/Utica is coming to close to half of all natgas production for the entire country…
    Read More “EIA Oct Drilling Report: NatGas Production Flies by 60 Bcf/d”

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    Annual SRBC Water Report Finds No Impacts from Shale Drilling

    Susquehanna River Basin

    The Susquehanna River Basin Commission (SRBC) established the Remote Water Quality Monitoring Network (RWQMN) in January 2010 in response to natural gas drilling activities in the basin. More than 50 water quality monitoring stations are operating in watersheds experiencing unconventional shale gas development. Each station continuously monitors the following parameters: pH, temperature, specific conductance, dissolved oxygen, turbidity, and relative water depth. The data are collected at five-minute intervals and uploaded to SRBC’s publicly accessible web site. Each year the SRBC releases an annual report evaluating their findings. So far, since, 2010, the SRBC has found no adverse impacts on the basin’s water supplies due to Marcellus drilling and fracking. The SRBC has just released the latest report, for 2016 (full copy below). The trend continues yet again for last year: no impacts from natural gas drilling on the Susquehanna River Basin…
    Read More “Annual SRBC Water Report Finds No Impacts from Shale Drilling”

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    Utica Summit V: Investment in Utica Hits $55B, Petchem a Big Deal

    Yesterday Utica Summit V was held in North Canton, OH. MDN could not, unfortunately, attend. But others did and the reports we’re reading indicate it was another great event. Two major news items of interest came from the event. The first was the results of a recent economic study that show an amazing $54.7 billion has been invested in the Utica Shale play from 2012-2016, across upstream ($42.7 billion), midstream ($8.6 billion) and downstream ($3.4 billion). In a surprise statement, the report’s author said, “the biggest impact of the Utica may be the development of gas-fired power plants in Ohio and surrounding states.” The second news item was a big emphasis at the event on the downstream–on the really big deal the petrochemical industry is and will be for Ohio and surrounding states. Presenters made the point that some manufacturers in Ohio were cut off from plastics supplies from the Gulf Coast after the recent hurricanes to hit that area–and that with the Shell and potentially PTT Global cracker plants coming along, manufacturers in the region change where they source their supply of raw plastics. In fact, the petchem industry will explode in Appalachia. All thanks to the Utica (and Marcellus) and the ethane produced. Here’s a pair of reports from yesterday’s event…
    Read More “Utica Summit V: Investment in Utica Hits $55B, Petchem a Big Deal”

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    Deloitte 2017 Survey: O&G Execs Not Confident in Price Recovery

    Each year the consultants at Deloitte conduct a survey of oil and gas industry professionals. Last year the survey showed o&g execs believed we were already in the midst of a recovery for the industry (see Deloitte’s 2016 Survey: O&G has Finally Turned the Corner). What about this year’s survey? Deloitte reports the pendulum has swung back–from optimism back to full-blown caution. They are cautious about prices for oil and gas over the next few years, and cautious about how much activity we’ll see in new drilling (spending will be lower). With respect to the price of gas, a majority of execs believe the price of natural gas at Henry Hub will remain between $2.50–$3 per million British thermal units (mmbtu) in 2017, with slight price increase next year, and eventually $3.50/mmbtu by 2020. Most execs think there will be a 10% decrease in drilling budgets in 2018. Here’s the report, hot off the presses…
    Read More “Deloitte 2017 Survey: O&G Execs Not Confident in Price Recovery”

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    Is Marcellus/Utica Gas Getting Exported from Cheniere’s Sabine Pass?

    One of the reasons we periodically report, and keep a close eye on, Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass LNG export facility in southern Louisiana is our suspicion that at least some Marcellus/Utica gas makes its way to that facility and gets exported to other countries. We’ve never been able to prove our suspicion, but we got a lot closer to proving last February when Williams confirmed that the mighty Transco Pipeline now has a direct connection to Sabine Pass (see Williams Confirms Transco Now Ships Gas Directly to Cheniere LNG). Our friends at RBN Energy have done a deep dive into this topic. Using flow data and their own knowledge of pipelines and reports about new projects coming online, RBN has determined that “there are early indications that recent pipeline takeaway and reversal projects from the producing region and the resulting connectivity are indirectly bridging the divide.” Meaning that by using indirect routes (gas passed from one pipeline to another to another), indeed some of our gas is making its way to the Sabine Pass export facility…
    Read More “Is Marcellus/Utica Gas Getting Exported from Cheniere’s Sabine Pass?”

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    Important Marcellus/Utica Primer Available to Download – for FREE

    MDN editor Jim Willis has once again partnered with NGI (Natural Gas Intelligence) to bring you a great (and FREE) opportunity to learn more about everyone’s favorite twin shale plays: The Marcellus and Utica Shales. NGI produces a mountain of data and information as part of their research and development efforts, publishing it in a Shale Plays Factbook, which costs $179. However, because of MDN’s special partnership with NGI, they have agreed to combine the Marcellus/Utica sections from the Factbook into a special primer, available free for MDN readers only. Here’s what’s in the Marcellus/Utica Shale Primer, a few sample pages, and how you can get a copy instantly
    Read More “Important Marcellus/Utica Primer Available to Download – for FREE”

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    NGSA: NatGas Production & Demand Heading Higher This Winter

    Each year the Natural Gas Supply Association (NGSA) issues an annual Winter Outlook assessment of the wholesale natural gas market. Yesterday the NGSA issued its 17th such report. Among their predictions: demand for natural gas will hit an all-time high this winter, even outstripping the infamous Polar Vortex from two years ago. However, production, Canadian imports and existing natural gas in storage (in record numbers) will be able to meet the demand, therefore prices will remain steady–no huge ups, no huge downs. NGSA’s forecasts are based on weather forecasts. They assume this winter will be an average of 13% colder than last winter. We don’t like the sound of that, since we live in the cold northeast! Bottom line from NGSA: “The picture that emerged for the upcoming winter is of a natural gas market experiencing substantial growth in both demand and supply.” Below is the NGSA press release/overview, a copy of the full report, and a copy of the NGSA PowerPoint slide deck, with lots of pretty charts and graphs…
    Read More “NGSA: NatGas Production & Demand Heading Higher This Winter”

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    EIA’s 2016 Natural Gas Annual Report – TX Down, PA Up

    Last Friday the U.S. Energy Information Administration, our favorite government agency, released its Natural Gas Annual 2016 report (full copy below). Weighing in at 214 pages, this report is full of data. It is a datamonger’s dream come true. A few highlights: In 2016, U.S. dry gas production actually FELL from the previous year, the first time that has happened since 2005. Texas saw the biggest dry gas production decline (10%), while Pennsylvania had the biggest increase in production (10.2%). This is the fourth straight year PA production has gone up–thank you Marcellus Shale! Natural gas consumption across the country reached a new record high–for the seventh year in a row. Imported natural gas went down again–for the ninth year in a row. Here’s the full report, and a few bullet point highlights to feed your inner datamonger…
    Read More “EIA’s 2016 Natural Gas Annual Report – TX Down, PA Up”

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    “Fugitive” Methane on the Rise. Why? Cow Farts & Burbs

    We’ve written in the past about silly nutters who stay awake at night worried that the earth is going to fry to a crisp–any decade now. Often the oil and gas industry (i.e. fossil fuels) are blamed for an increase in methane in the atmosphere. But the reality, as we’ve written many times before, is that agriculture–cows and rice paddies–are the real culprit. In Oct. 2013, we wrote this article: Cows Belch Methane Like a Fire Breathing Dragon! In Feb. 2014, this: Biggest Producer of “Fugitive” Methane is… Cows?! By August of 2016, the nutters had truly lost their minds, attaching experimental backpacks on cows to trap fugitive methane: Environmentalists Lose Their Minds, Strap Methane Backpacks on Cows. In Oct. of 2016, a pair of studies: NOAA Research: Cows & Rice Farms Biggest Source of Fugitive Methane and 2nd Study Affirms Cow Burps & Rice Paddies Causing Fugitive Methane. Must be something about the month of October and methane anxiety. The fake news outlet Washington Post has just run yet another article on methane and how it gets into the atmosphere. Once again the researchers have concluded (for the umpteenth time) that the increase we are seeing in so-called fugitive methane in the atmosphere largely comes from cows–burping and farting…
    Read More ““Fugitive” Methane on the Rise. Why? Cow Farts & Burbs”

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    Shale Insight 2017 – Day One News Roundup

    MDN is once again attending the Shale Insight event–in Pittsburgh. Yesterday was the first day of the event. The crowd was definitely smaller than last year when then-candidate Trump spoke to attendees. However, Day One saw a number of heavy-hitting speakers, including Secretary of Labor Alexander Acosta, Deputy Secretary of Energy Dan Brouillette, XTO Energy President Sara Ortwein, Chevron Appalachia President Stacey Olson, and People’s Natural Gas CEO Morgan O’Brien. Marcellus Shale Coalition President Dave Spigelmyer served as master of ceremonies and seemed to be everywhere-present during the event (how does he DO that?). From the opening session to the exhibit floor to attending the breakout sessions, MDN editor Jim Willis made the rounds–and took lots of notes. In the coming days he will write up those notes and share them. For now, we have links and extracts of articles from other publications attending and reporting on this year’s Shale Insight…
    Read More “Shale Insight 2017 – Day One News Roundup”

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    Chevron & People’s Natural Gas Team Up to Map Out PA’s $60B Future

    One of the big announcements coming from Shale Insight 2017 on the first day was the release of a new study tag-team researched by Chevron Appalachia and People’s Natural Gas. As People’s CEO Morgan O’Brien explained it–everyone assumes “someone else” has a master plan, a statewide strategy for how to develop this phenomenal resource. But when you look around you come to the realization that no one has such a plan. So Chevron Appalachia CEO Stacey Olson approached People’s CEO O’Brien and asked for help to research and author a study that would provide such a plan–a plan to unlock what they believe is a $60 BILLION opportunity for Pennsylvania that will create 100,000 new jobs statewide. The result is a study called “Forge the Future: Pennsylvania’s Path To An Advanced, Energy-Enabled Economy” (full copy below), released yesterday. We now have, according to Chevron’s Olson and People’s O’Brien, the road map. What we need is for people in the industry to step up and seize the day and take action to create that amazing future…
    Read More “Chevron & People’s Natural Gas Team Up to Map Out PA’s $60B Future”

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    NETL Morgantown Working on Breakthrough Shale Production Techniques

    As enormously productive as the Marcellus/Utica wells are, did you know that the best wells only recover perhaps 20% of the available gas trapped in shale rocks? Often it’s more like 10%, or 5% recovery. The National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) in Morgantown, WV is trying to change those numbers. In a research program NETL calls “mastering the subsurface,” researchers are learning what happens at the smallest level of fracturing shale–so they can improve recovery rates using new processes and materials. In addition to improving recovery, they’re also looking for ways to cut down on water use. Since there’s a fair bit of water already trapped in shale, NETL is experimenting with carbon dioxide foam, as a way of using less water. (Don’t tell Al Gore. He HATES carbon dioxide, calling it a “pollutant” and saying it causes Mom Earth to toast). NETL is also using natural gas itself to frack rock. A lot of very important research is happening at NETL–research that may one day change the way we frack…
    Read More “NETL Morgantown Working on Breakthrough Shale Production Techniques”

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    New Rice U Filter Cleans Frack Wastewater on Location for Reuse

    Flowback (water that comes back out of the well after fracking) and produced water (naturally occurring water from the depths that comes out the well for months and years after it’s drilled) have long been a “problem” drillers have to deal with. The choices are to: (1) haul it away to an injection well, (2) haul it to a centralized recycling facility, or (3) recycle it on location and reuse it for more drilling/fracking. That third option is really the brass ring for drillers. If only there were an economical way to recycle the water on location and reuse it. Researchers at Rice University (in Texas) believe they have made a breakthrough in option #3. Using a ceramic membrane with microscale pores, Rice researchers have found a way to clean flowback and produced water, removing 90% of hydrocarbons, bacteria and particulates in a single pass through the filter. The Rice discovery is aimed particularly at flowback–the 10-15% of fluid pumped down the hole to frack a well. Rice researchers published their research online, today, in Nature magazine’s open-access Scientific Reports. We have a copy of the paper, titled “Superhydrophilic Functionalization of Microfiltration Ceramic Membranes Enables Separation of Hydrocarbons from Frac and Produced Water,” below…
    Read More “New Rice U Filter Cleans Frack Wastewater on Location for Reuse”