Research

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    EIA Sept Drilling Report: Marcellus/Utica Production Hits New High

    MDN’s favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), issued our favorite monthly report, the Drilling Productivity Report (DPR), yesterday. The DPR is the EIA’s best guess, based on expert data crunchers, as to how much each of the U.S.’s seven major shale plays will produce for both oil and natural gas in the coming month. Last month EIA combined the Marcellus and Utica plays into a category they call Appalachia–a big change in the report (see EIA Makes Big Changes to Monthly Drilling Report, Combines M-U). What does the latest report forecast for the coming month? EIA says that natural gas production across all seven major shale regions will jump another 788 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d) to a record high of 59.7 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), with nearly half of the increase next month coming from one region–Appalachia. Here’s the latest edition of our favorite monthly report, with some analysis…
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    EIA: Gas & Oil Will Dominate Energy Mix for Next 20+ Years

    Last week our favorite government agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), released its annual “International Energy Outlook 2017” (full copy below). What does the report show? EIA predicts energy consumption is set to increase 28% from 2015 levels by 2040–in a little over the next 20 years. To meet this huge uptick in energy, EIA predicts fossil fuel use–led by natural gas and oil–will continue to account for about 77% of energy consumption through 2040. So much for the renewable nirvana future we’re always just a year or two away from (according to Al Gore). Fossil fuels will remain the #1 fuel of choice by the world for the next generation, and almost certainly the generation after that, and the one after that. Do you now see why drilling for oil and gas in shale is so vital to the future of not only our country, but the world? According to EIA, most of the growth in energy consumption (and fossil fuels) will come from China and India. Here’s the lowdown on what’s just around the corner…
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    History Made! FERC Overrules NY DEC on Millennium Pipe Permit

    Finally the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has had enough shenanigans from the corrupted New York Dept. of Environmental Conservation (DEC). In a historic, precedent-setting decision, on Friday FERC overruled DEC’s denial of a water permit for Millennium Pipeline’s tiny 7.8 mile pipeline spur from the main Millennium Pipeline to a natural gas power plant under construction in Orange County, NY. On Wednesday, Aug. 30, the DEC issued a denial letter to FERC and Millennium. In it, they claim that FERC’s review of the power plant project (that the pipeline will feed) is deficient based on a recently-decided court case about a pipeline project in Florida (see Corrupt NY DEC Denies Water Permit for 7.8 Mile Power Plant Pipeline). The radicalized DEC used the Florida case as an excuse to refuse stream crossing permits for the Millennium Pipeline project–claiming FERC had not considered long-term effects of mythical man-made global warming that would come from the power plant if the Millennium pipeline is connected to and feeds the plant. The DEC decision was a naked attempt to grab power not given to it under federal law. FERC said ENOUGH, and ruled on Friday the DEC had taken too long (over one year) in dithering with a decision on the Millennium pipeline request. A recent ruling by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia said FERC has the power and authority to overrule the DEC when they take longer than one year to grant permits (see DC Court Tells Millennium FERC Can Override NY DEC Pipeline Delay). So FERC just exercised their federal, court-approved authority and smashed the DEC into the ground. LOVE IT! Of course the humiliated DEC spit and sputtered and said they will likely sue…
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    French Schizo: Ban Gas Drilling; Gas Bridge to Renewable Future

    MDN editor Jim Willis had the pleasure of visiting France in 2006. It is a breathtakingly beautiful country. Jim found the French people to be personable and easy to deal with, contrary to the popular myth they are arrogant and hate Americans. But hey, that was just one guy’s experience. Maybe you have had a different experience? We’ve written about France’s on again, off again frack ban over the years (see our stories about France here). You don’t have to worry about whether or not France will ever allow fracking. Beginning this fall, the country will stop issuing ANY/ALL permits to drill for ANY/ALL oil and gas–conventional, shale, doesn’t matter (see France Commits Energy Suicide – No New Oil & Gas Exploration, Ever). France says it will transition to “environmentally-friendly energy.” You know, like solar and wind–even though discarded solar panels are about the same thing as disposing of nuclear waste (an ecological disaster). But appearances are everything for French President Emmanuel Macron and his certifiably-insane government. France (as of 2013, the most recent stats we could find) gets 44.5% of its energy from oil and gas, the single largest block of energy powering the country. Nuclear is second, at 41%. Wind and solar? Together they make up less than 1% of France’s energy supply. Here’s another bit of evidence that France is schizophrenic when it comes to energy: Recently the French international association for gas, CEDIGAZ, released a report (copy below) that predicts worldwide natural gas use will rise 1.6% per year from 2014-2035, outstripping all other forms of energy, renewable or not. CEDIGAZ also says natural gas and LNG are “a key transition fuel” to the renewable, sustainable nirvana that awaits us in the future. And yet France is banning all oil and gas drilling–eliminating the bridge to that future. How do you reconcile that?…
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    Manhattan Institute Report: Why America Needs More Pipelines

    The New York-based Manhattan Institute, a non-profit think tank with a mission “to develop and disseminate new ideas that foster greater economic choice and individual responsibility” recently released a new report titled, “The Energy Bottleneck: Why America Needs More Pipelines” (full copy embedded below). The 16-page report says that while America is enjoying an energy renaissance thanks to fracking, there is a growing energy bottleneck that is forcing oil and gas companies to turn increasingly to more “accident-prone and more expensive shipping alternatives, such as trucks, railroads, and tankers.” The report says to maximize the benefits of America’s energy renaissance, the Trump administration, Congress, and federal and state regulators should “prioritize expanding and upgrading the country’s inadequate pipeline infrastructure.” We agree! Here’s the latest from the MI calling for more pipelines…
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    Yale U Launches Another Sham Fracking Study, Predetermined Outcome

    In June 2016 MDN told you about a sham “study” on the way from an anti-drilling “researcher” from Yale University, funded by Big Green groups (see Yale Arrives in Belmont County to Study the Evils of Fracking). “Researcher” Nicole Deziel arrived in Belmont County and announced, in so many words, she would drag a $20 bill through a trailer park (literally willing to pay only $20) to “study” air and water samples from residents’ domiciles as part of a new research “project” with a predetermined outcome–that they’re being poisoned by fracking. Ms. Deziel wanted 100 participants and ended up with 66. After eight weeks of collecting samples and talking to people, Ms. Deziel held a wrap-up rally with area residents before departing town to discuss the “study”–saying she has no conclusions, yet. The reason we knew the Yale “study” is a put-up job, and not real science, is because at the very same wrap-up meeting residents also heard from the radical anti-drilling group Ohio Environmental Council. That was the tip-off that this was not real research but hucksterism with a predetermined outcome (see Put-Up Job: Yale “Researchers” Meet with Locals in Belmont County). Ms. Deziel and a cabal of Yale “researchers” are back to “launch a new study on the health effects of hydraulic fracturing.” This time Deziel and company have hit big money–the “study” is being funded with $2 million grant from the Environmental Protection Agency. Antis doing “research” have fleeced the EPA into backing them for another study with a predetermined outcome. A true waste of taxpayer’s money. But hey, it’s made millionaires out the researchers!…
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    DOE Electric Grid Report: Shale Killed Coal, Go Easy on Renewables

    Two weeks ago the U.S. Dept. of Energy released a 187-page study called “Electricity Markets and Reliability” (full copy below). Often referred to as “the grid study,” it is the result of a directive in April by the then-new Secretary of DOE, Rick Perry, to develop a report including an assessment of the reliability and resilience of the electric grid and an overview of the evolution of electricity markets. Perry called it “long overdue.” Radical environmentalists predicted the study would take aim at so-called renewable sources of energy and promote more coal use. What did the study actually find? (1) The shale gas revolution had a bigger impact on the decline of coal than did the federal government propping up renewables. (2) The electric grid is in pretty good shape, even though it flows a lot more electricity than it did eight years ago. (3) Lawmakers should not be too eager to force the use of more solar and wind as sources of electricity–not if you want a reliable grid that doesn’t crash when the wind doesn’t blow and the sun doesn’t shine. Natural gas plays a big part in the report…
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    PA DEP Report on Emissions Exposes Wolf’s Methane Plan as a Dud

    In January 2016 Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf and his now-fired Secretary of the Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP), John Quigley, introduced an awful four-point plan to supposedly reduce methane emissions by 40% over the next five years (see PA Gov. Wolf’s Plan to Kill Drilling via Methane Emissions Regs). Even though the plan has not (so far) been implemented, due to the negative effects it would have on the drilling industry, the happy news is that air emissions have improved, dramatically, as a recent PA DEP annual report chronicled (see PA DEP Reports: Air Emissions from Shale Industry Improved in 2015). Although methane emissions went up a tiny bit because there’s more drilling and more pipelines than ever, the big news is that methane emissions per unit of production actually went DOWN. But you won’t read that in mainstream news where they trumpet a so-called increase in methane as an excuse to implement Wolf’s dud plan…
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    OH Utica Production 2Q17: Oil Down, Gas Up, Purple Hayes Slips

    The Ohio Dept. of Natural Resources (ODNR) has just issued production numbers for the second quarter of 2017. In a pattern that keeps repeating, oil production was down in 2Q17, down 17% from the same quarter in 2016. However, that’s an improvement from 1Q17 when oil production was down 29% from the year before, and 4Q16 when oil production was down 44% from the year before. So oil is down, percentage-wise, but down less than last quarter. The good news continues to be natural gas production, which was up 16% over the same period in 2016. In 1Q17 natgas production was up 13% over the same period in 2016. Eclipse Resources once again dominated with four of the top 5 spots on the natural gas production list, all of those wells drilled in Monroe County. Ascent Resources continued to dominate oil production with 17 of the top 25 most productive wells. Eclipse had the #2 most productive oil well, the first time the record-breaking Purple Hayes (at one time the longest on-shore lateral well in the world) has slipped from it’s #1 spot since it went online in 2016. Below we have the ODNR’s high level overview of the numbers, along with MDN’s own exclusive analysis showing: the top 25 producing gas wells, the top 25 producing oil wells, and then the top 25 gas and oil wells as ranked by average production per day. There is a difference…
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    WVU Appalachia Ethane Storage Hub Final Report – We Need it Bad

    A research team from West Virginia University spent the past year studying geologic regions in 50 counties in the Marcellus/Utica Shale region to see if our region would support a proposed $10 billion ethane storage hub. The conclusion was delivered last week at a meeting in Southpointe, PA: Heck yeah! Some 100 geologists, chemical engineers, oil and gas people members of academia gathered to hear about the results. WVU researchers released their findings in a published 181-page report titled “A Geologic Study to Determine the Potential to Create an Appalachian Storage Hub for Natural Gas Liquids” (full copy below). Among the study’s findings: A shale ethane storage hub could help create $36 billion in investment and more than 100,000 permanent jobs. It’s HUGE! Our region currently produces three times the amount of ethane that can be used by the mighty Shell ethane cracker, pointing out the need for more cracker plants. Here’s the exciting news that we need an ethane storage hub, and we need it bad…
    Read More “WVU Appalachia Ethane Storage Hub Final Report – We Need it Bad”

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    PA DEP Reports: Air Emissions from Shale Industry Improved in 2015

    The Pennsylvania State Dept. of Environmental Protection (DEP) keeps track of emissions from various sources–including the shale industry. When drillers drill and pipeline companies pipe, the equipment used leaks some nasty stuff into the air. Frankly it’s no different for any industrial activity or business. Even homes. We all emit stuff into the air. The question is, how much do we emit and does it rise to the level of being harmful? Yesterday the DEP released air emissions numbers for the shale industry for 2015–the most recent year in which they have completed data. What does it show? According to DEP Secretary Pat McDonnell, it presents a “mixed picture.” Some of the nastiest pollutants, like nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SOx) and particulate matter (PM2.5), decreased from 2014 levels. Some things like methane (natural gas, considered a “pollutant” if it escapes into the atmosphere where it’s said to contribute to mythical global warming) are increasing. Because methane is increasing, McDonnell says more needs to be done to stem the leaking. On balance, this report looks pretty good to us–pollution from the gas industry (the things that really matter like NOx, SOx and PM2.5, are decreasing. A reason to celebrate the good work being done by the industry…
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    PA 2Q NatGas Production Report – Another New Record

    It continues to be another banner year for natural gas production in Pennsylvania, going by the latest quarterly production report. Yesterday, the PA Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released their latest quarterly Natural Gas Production Report for May-Jun 2017 (full copy below). It shows natgas production rose 3.8% compared to the same period last year. It also shows the number of producing wells is up 7.5% from last year. Total natural gas production volume was 1,315.7 billion cubic feet (Bcf) and the number of producing wells in 2Q17 was 7,853. Perhaps the biggest news is that 2Q17 saw the highest quarterly production–ever. Another interesting fact from the latest report: Four counties (Susquehanna, Washington, Bradford and Greene) comprised two thirds (68%) of statewide production. All counties except Greene and Lycoming registered production gains. The #1 county for natgas production in 2Q17? Susquehanna County. The #1 driller in that county? Cabot. You might say, with some justification, that the success of Cabot’s drilling program in Susquehanna County has translated into success for all of Pennsylvania…
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    EIA: Gas Processors Key to Rapid Growth in Marcellus/Utica

    Ever hear the old proverb: “Success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan.” There are many reasons, many “fathers” for why the Marcellus/Utica region has become the highest producing natural gas region in the U.S. We have great shale rock. We have a lot of shale rock. We’re located close to major markets. We have a large and ready workforce. Increasingly, we have pipeline infrastructure to move the gas to new markets. All of those things contribute to the success of our region. But there’s one element that is critical, but often overlooked–gas processing and fractionation. Gas processing cleans up the hydrocarbons coming out of the ground–removing water and impurities, and separating methane (i.e. natural gas) from natural gas liquids (NGLs). Fractionation further separates NGLs into their components–ethane, propane, butane, pentane, etc. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (our favorite government agency) published an article yesterday looking at they critical role played by processing and fractionation in the Marcellus/Utica. They point out that when the shale revolution really began to take off in our area, circa 2010, we had roughly 1.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of gas processing capacity. In 2016, that number had zoomed up by a factor of nearly 10, to 10 Bcf/d of gas processing capacity. Without the ability the process the gas, it can’t be sold. One of the main “fathers” of success in the Marcellus/Utica, is processing…
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    3rd University of Cincinnati Finds No Problems with Utica Fracking

    The University of Cincinnati (UC) has now used $470,000 of taxpayer money for three research studies (over the past four years) to study the health effects of Utica Shale fracking. One of the studies dealing with ambient air pollution (published in March 2015) had such major errors the authors retracted it in June 2016 (see Ohio Air “Study” Near Frack Sites Retracted for Basic Math Error). Kind of embarrassing. Another study was completed 18 months ago, looking at potential issues of fracking on nearby water wells in Ohio. That study was funded, in part, by anti organizations who didn’t like the findings–that there IS NO negative impact of fracking on groundwater. So they’ve hushed it up and have refused to allow it’s publication (see Chorus Grows Louder for U of Cinci to Release Fracking Study). Now come leaks that a third research project has been completed at UC, once again looking at air samples near fracking sites–this time looking for elevated levels of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and formaldehyde. The findings are that, “none of the air sample averages exceeded EPA levels of health concern.” Looks like yet another UC study that will get buried and never see the light of day…
    Read More “3rd University of Cincinnati Finds No Problems with Utica Fracking”

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    WVU Study: How CNG/LNG Vehicles Can Lower Methane Emissions

    Researchers at West Virginia University have just published a new study that looks at how to reduce methane emissions from LNG (liquefied natural gas) and CNG (compressed natural gas) fleet vehicles in coming years. Today’s heavy-duty natural gas fueled fleet is less than two percent of the total fleet. However, in the next 20 years, the heavy-duty truck fleet is expected to undergo a massive change–to as much as 50% of those vehicles powered by natural gas. That is a HUGE number! And potentially a huge new market for Marcellus/Utica gas! Natgas has a lot of advantages over diesel fuel, but folks are concerned over the mythical global warming potential of methane leaking into the atmosphere. Hence this study which looks at ways to prevent that…
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    Utica Shale Powers Ohio’s Economy with Massive $68B Investment

    The Utica Shale’s economic impact on Ohio has been nothing short of “staggering.” In fact the shale revolution has fundamentally changed the United States over the past 10 years. But nowhere is it more obvious than in the Buckeye State. Our friends at Energy in Depth have assembled the results of several research studies of just how much shale has impacted Ohio, and summarized it in a handy infographic download (below). The short version is this: through the first quarter of 2016, if you add the number all up thus far, the “upstream” (drilling) industry in Ohio has invested a whopping $39.2 billion. Amazing! But that’s not all. The “midstream” (pipeline) industry has invested $13.7 billion. But wait! There’s more! The downstream (petrochemicals) industry has invested, so far, $15.3 billion. And there’s far more downstream investment coming, especially if/when PTT Global Chemical decides to move forward with building a $5 billion ethane cracker facility in Belmont County. When you add it all up, the Utica industry has invested $68.2 billion SO FAR. And that’s all private money–not taxpayer money. In fact, millions of dollars have flowed into communities from taxes on the industry. It’s truly hard to put into words just how big a deal this is…
    Read More “Utica Shale Powers Ohio’s Economy with Massive $68B Investment”